To me, Martez Carter is 2018’s version of Tarik Cohen (just slightly bigger). Just watch this clip and it’s easy to see why!
— #CelebrationBowl🎉 (@CelebrationBowl) December 3, 2016
His elusiveness jumps off the page. He stops on a dime and has elite agility. For me, Carter is going to be a scat back who does major work in the passing game. In PPR leagues I believe he has RB2 upside, similar in production to Chris Thompson. Despite that potential, he seems to be flying under the radar right now.
Perhaps that could be because he played at Grambling State where it’s easy to fly under the radar. But, Carter has been putting in steady work on the ground and in the air. A full breakdown of his college production can be seen below.
What’s most impressive is his 33 receptions for 449 receiving yards, combined with consistently getting double digit rushing TDs. His receiving yards ranked him 11th among all college RBs in 2017. Not only was he impressive catching the ball, but he was quite efficient when pounding the rock, averaging 6.7 YPC over the final 3 years of his career.
One concern I have is that he hasn’t faced the best competition. Looking through his games in 2017, he almost never faced a top 50 defense, so it’s hard to say how he’d do against top level defenders. That always worries me. We’ve gotten used to smaller ‘scat back’ type guys seeing more playing time in the NFL in recent years, as the game transitions to a more spread pass happy system. However, it’s unrealistic for all of them to pan out.
Currently I’d expect Carter to get drafted in rounds 4 or 5, making him a 2nd or early 3rd round rookie pick. His upside is limited in my opinion, but he will break off occasional big plays and have a decent floor in PPR leagues because of his catching.
A year after fellow Tiger, Chad Williams, was selected in the 3rd round by the Arizona Cardinals, and Chester Rodgers entering the league the year before, it would appear that scouts are keeping their eye on the school and the prospects it’s producing offensively.
Like his nickname, fans love excitement. If he can break off big highlight reel plays early in his career, his price tag will jump. For that reason, it could be worth investing and looking to flip, in the hope that he can elicit excitement from dynasty owners.