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2019 4-Round Mock Draft and Fantasy Implications: Round One

Who doesn’t love mock drafts?  Well, it’s officially the end of #MockDraftSZN and I have my final mock of 2019 ready to roll.  However, this isn’t like any mock draft you’ve seen. This four round mock draft focuses solely on the fantasy prospects and what their specific landing spots mean for immediate and future value.  There were no trades factored in. *Disclaimer: When I say standard, I don’t mean 0 PPR, I mean non-superflex.*

Round 1, Pick 4 – Oakland Raiders select Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma

I have officially jumped off the “Kyler Murray to Arizona” bandwagon.  With reports coming out that Arizona is likely passing on Murray, along with incumbent starter Josh Rosen reporting to veteran minicamp, I’m convinced they will be selecting either Quinnen Williams or Nick Bosa first overall.  That said, I believe there is a chance Oakland trades up from four to snag Murray. It remains to be seen if Derek Carr is actually a part of new GM Mike Mayock and HC Jon Gruden’s master plan, and I can definitely see them pivoting to Murray to make a splash.  Who knows, maybe they could fetch another first round pick for Carr? Combining Murray’s elite athleticism and playmaking ability with a revamped offensive line and receiving core led by Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams, Murray would cement himself as the 1.01 in upcoming Superflex rookie drafts.

Round 1, Pick 6 – New York Giants select Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State

Here’s where things could get dicey following the Raiders selecting Murray.  I could see Carr as a New York Giant in the aftermath which would wipe this pick away.  But for argument’s sake, let’s say Carr isn’t a Giant. Following a breakout 2018 campaign, Haskins skyrocketed up NFL draft boards this fall and has seemingly been penciled in as a Giant for quite some time.  There are reports that New York actually prefers Daniel Jones from Duke, but I’m not buying that. Or maybe I should, considering GM Dave Gettleman’s track record. There are concerns about Haskins’ overall college production, having only started for the Buckeyes for one season but New York should walk away from this pick happy, having finally secured their franchise quarterback post-Eli Manning.  Barring any sort of dream scenario with one of the class’ coveted wide receivers, Haskins to the Giants should lock him in as a top-5 Superflex rookie, if not 1.02.

Round 1, Pick 7 – Jacksonville Jaguars select TJ Hockenson, TE, Iowa

There aren’t many perfect arranged marriages in life or football.  But this is one of them. While the argument can be made that the Jaguars need a playmaking receiver, the hole is much bigger at tight end.  With the depth chart currently consisting of former Cowboy Geoff Swaim and returning Jaguar James O’Shaughnessy, Hockenson would easily slide in as the starter if his name is called by Jacksonville.  Pairing him with former Eagles quarterback Nick Foles is a dream scenario. Foles has shown the propensity to throw to the tight end (Zach Ertz averaged 9.3 targets, 6.3 receptions and 55.9 yards per game with Foles as the starting quarterback in 7 games in 2018, including playoffs) and I believe the current WR group of Marqise Lee (coming back from a knee injury), Dede Westbrook, Keelan Cole, and DJ Chark is plenty sufficient for the Jags’ new signal caller.  Hockenson to the Jags locks him in as the TE1 of the class, and offers surefire top-10 upside, even in his rookie campaign.

Round 1, Pick 10 – Denver Broncos select Drew Lock, QB, Missouri

Drew Lock isn’t a first rounder to me, which means this pick makes perfect sense for John Elway.  I really don’t need to say much more about Elway, Lock and the Broncos, but do yourself a favor and don’t reach for Lock in a Superflex draft.  You’ll be much happier that way. Just know that if Elway likes him, you probably shouldn’t.

Round 1, Pick 12 – Green Bay Packers select DK Metcalf, WR, Mississippi

Aaron Rodgers still needs a complementary receiver to Davante Adams.  The writing is on the wall for Green Bay to select a wideout here. Having selected a punter in the 2018 draft before taking three receivers (J’Mon Moore, MVS, ESB), there isn’t significant capital invested at this position outside of Adams.  Metcalf isn’t my WR1 in this class, but there’s been so much hype around him since the combine that I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if he is the first receiver off the board on Thursday. Quite frankly, this is a really good spot for Metcalf to land.  He isn’t the most polished receiver by any stretch, but he’s a freak athlete who’s joining an offensive system with one of the game’s greats at quarterback. With Adams taking on the more difficult coverage schemes, Metcalf could thrive as Rodgers’ number two. Though I’m not the biggest Metcalf fan, this landing spot would cement him in the top-3 of standard rookie drafts and in the top-5 of Superflex drafts.

Round 1, Pick 15 – Washington Redskins select AJ Brown, WR, Mississippi

And just like that, the top two Rebel products are off the board.  Brown, an advanced route runner with 4.49 speed and soft hands, is arguably my WR1 pre-draft and would immediately step in as the most talented option for Case Keenum or whoever is under center for Washington in 2019.  He’s got a JuJu Smith-Schuster comp according to his NFL Combine profile and I don’t think that’s too far off. I don’t love this landing spot for Brown, but it could be a lot worse. I would take him in the middle of the first if this comes to fruition.  The QB situation in DC worries me here.

Round 1, Pick 22 – Seattle Seahawks select N’Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State

If Harry makes it this far, I think this is Seattle’s guy.  Last year, they shocked the masses by reaching for Rashaad Penny in the first round.  Doug Baldwin is getting up there in age and was hampered by injuries in 2018, as well as undergoing multiple surgeries this offseason.  Tyler Lockett is a great number two receiver, but there is a need for a new Alpha in town. This landing spot would scare me initially given how there isn’t that much-passing volume to go around, but if Harry could easily develop into Baldwin’s successor as the top dog and be Russell Wilson’s guy for years to come.  Harry to the Seahawks would be more detrimental to the other incumbent receivers in Seattle, rather than Harry himself. He is likely to be the 1.01 in standard drafts, but it would be roster dependent.

Round 1, Pick 26 – Indianapolis Colts select Hakeem Butler, WR, Iowa State

Stay calm, it’s happening!  What can I say about Butler, other than that he’s a total freak?  In case you missed, Butler lit up the combine scoring 96th-percentile or better in all of the physical testing (height, weight, hand size, etc.) and followed that up with a 4.49 40-yard dash time.  There are some drop concerns, but he reminds me a lot of Mike Evans. Now, combine Mike Evans with Andrew Luck and you have fireworks. TY Hilton is quickly approaching 30 years old, and the Colts lack a true a secondary option behind him.  Devin Funchess truthers, seek solace elsewhere. He becomes a locked-and-loaded top-3 rookie pick in standard leagues in Indy.

Round 1, Pick 27 – Oakland Raiders select Noah Fant, TE, Iowa

I still find it absolutely bananas that Iowa is churning out two first round tight ends, two years removed from producing George Kittle.  Fant was the TE1 for 2019 going into this past season, but Hockenson’s breakout and blocking ability move the needle in favor of the former for me.  That’s no knock on Fant, however as he demolished the physical testing to no surprise at the combine. The athleticism doesn’t necessarily play in game film, but he’s still my only other first round tight end.  With Jared Cook bolting for New Orleans (lucky guy), there is serious void for Gruden and company to fill at tight end. He would easily be a middle-to-late first rounder for me in standard leagues.

Round 1, Pick 32 – New England Patriots select Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown, WR, Oklahoma

Ok, this is terrifying.  The hype behind Brown has mostly fizzled away in recent months due to him missing the combine because of a Lisfranc injury but I’m still buying into the talent.  Brown is an absolute burner and is much more than a straight line field stretcher (John Ross). Give me DJ Moore’s playmaking ability with the ball in his hands, with Ross-like speed and you get Hollywood.  New England wasn’t able to pry Hollywood’s cousin, Antonio, from the Steelers, but they could get the next best thing. With a current receiver core of Julian Edelman, Demaryius Thomas (recovering from a torn Achilles), Phillip Dorsett and Braxton Berrios; Brown would step into the number two role behind Edelman and oh yeah, Tom Brady is still the quarterback.  Watch out.

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