The Los Angeles Chargers are a high powered, fantasy-friendly team with assets for dynasty, redraft and IDP. With, Philip Rivers, a quarterback that has consistently been a winner for the “wait on a QB” gang is teamed with bell cow back Melvin Gordon, PPR machine Keenan Allen, red zone monster Mike Williams and emerging tight end Hunter Henry. The defense brings some cache to the table with Joey Bosa, Derwin James, Melvin Ingram, and Jatavis Brown all being tackle machines at their positions with Bosa being a sack master.
Philip Rivers has been a consistent fantasy producer for years ranking outside the top 12 in only three of his thirteen years as a starter and averaging 285 points per season over the past ten seasons. I think Rivers maintains his top 12 status for another year. At his current www.fantasypros.com ADP of QB16 Rivers will continue to be a value. Kennan Allen has established himself as a WR1 after a couple of injury-plagued seasons in 2015-2016. Allen has averaged 100 catches and 6 touchdowns over the past two seasons. As of this writing, Allen has an ADP of WR11. A target vacuum with a +70% catch rate in 2018 Allen is primed to deliver top 12 wide receiver numbers again.
From the IDP side of the ball, Derwin James fell to the Chargers at pick 17 in the 2018 draft. James stepped right into the starting line up delivering 105 tackles, 13 passes defensed, 3 interceptions and 3.5 sacks from his safety position. Bosa, despite only playing in seven games was second on the team in sacks with 5.5 and tackles for loss with 7. So, if your league scoring boosts those items Bosa is going to be a guy to get.
A lot of folks are high on Melvin Gordon based on he RB6 ADP. The past three seasons Gordon has been a top eight running back in PPR scoring. Coming off another season where he missed time with an injury, I’m reluctant to value Gordon that high. While he does bring bell cow traits, last year was his first season above 4.0 ypc. If you are a Gordon owner I’d be looking to get out before the lower body injuries catch up to him had he reverts to his sub 4.0 ypc form.
Third-year breakouts are primed for the Los Angeles Chargers. Both Mike Williams and Hunter Henry, who lost his actual third year to injury, are set up for success in 2019. Williams had a mini-breakout last season with a 43/664/10 stat line. In 2019 Williams will be stepping into the clear WR2 role for the Chargers with the exit of Tyrell Williams to Oakland. With an additional 65 targets available Mike Williams should get additional volume to offset any touchdown regression. The other breakout guy is tight-end, Hunter Henry. A preseason torn ACL sidelined Henry for all of 2018 but he should be fully recovered for training camp in 2019. Henry seemed poised to take a big step before the injury with 81 receptions and 12 touchdowns his first two years. There will be close to 85-100 targets available for the starting tight end and Henry looks poised to take the step.
And now for the lottery ticket section of today’s program. Depth is more important to actual NFL teams that your fantasy team, believe it. Like NFL teams stash players for depth so do we on our fantasy teams. The Chargers have a couple of guys that I love in running back Justin Jackson and wide receiver Dylan Cantrell. After being a four-year starter at Northwestern Jackson was drafted in the seventh round by the Chargers and showed well in games that Gordon missed averaging 4.1 ypc and catching 15 passes. Dylan Cantrell played in the Texas Tech air raid system. At 6’2” 226 Cantrell is a 92nd percentile SPARQ-x on playerprofiler.com. With the departure of Tyrell Williams, Cantrell has an opportunity to climb the depth chart this year.
The Los Angeles Chargers have had a high-powered offense during Philip Rivers tenure and this year should be more of the same. The stars for the Chargers will continue to produce at a high level. Melvin Gordon is my only real concern as he has only had one year over 4.0 ypc and has thrived on the fantasy players best friend – volume. I’d be looking to move Gordon before the bottom falls out as running backs decline pretty fast. There are some breakouts and stashes to keep an eye on. Mike Williams is ascending and is a red zone threat who can get open deep. Guys you can currently get pretty cheap are Justin Jackson and Dylan Cantrell, both provide potential at the end of your bench.Follow @culture_coach
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