Hello, devy faithful!
Week 7 was hit hard by postponements, but we still saw some awesome football.
Some of our favorite young signal callers continued to shine (looking at you, Zach). Other did not, as Matt Corral threw six (yes, six!) INTs. And the best defense in the SEC might just be not Alabama, not LSU, but Arkansas?
This week we’re hitting two wide receivers, each enjoying a breakout season, that deserve attention from devy players and dynasty owners alike.
Treylon Burks is a sophomore WR playing for the Arkansas Razorbacks. Hailing from Warren, AR, he was deemed a raw if talented prospect coming out of high school, but was still a top-20 WR in the 2019 recruiting class.
Clocked running a 4.4 40 at 6’3″, 225 lbs, Burks has the build and athleticism that NFL coaches covet, and he’s beginning to show high-level receiving skills as well.
Elijah Moore, a junior from Ole Miss, slid right into AJ Brown’s slot role when the latter moved on to the NFL. At 5’11”, 181 lbs, he couldn’t be more different physically from the Titans star. He’s putting up elite production nonetheless, accounting for 46.2% of Mississipi’s REC and 42.7% of receiving yards (coming into week 7) .
Let’s look at the young Razorback first:
He’s a playmaker. He’s got speed and agility that you don’t see from a 225 lb man. They have different play styles, but athletically, he’s similar to Laviska Shenault: a freak size/speed baller with a hybrid skillset.
Here’s another little backwards pass from Franks:
They use him at the LOS a lot. This offense revolves around getting Burks the ball. And with good reason: he can win with speed or with physicality as a ball carrier. He’s a weapon.
But Burks isn’t just a runner, he’s a talented receiver. His short-passing-game usage has more to do with Frank’s strengths and less to do with his own limitations.
He shows savvy instincts here. He sees Franks in trouble and works into space to turn a negative play into a big gain.
Here you can actually catch one of his routes, a rarity with normal game film:
It’s a solid out route. He clearly has the timing down with Franks. He decelerates rapidly, is fairly sharp into the break, and he creates a lot of separation.
And then there’s this:
This is the play where you see Burks’ true upside. The ball is overthrown and he just goes up and gets it, and somehow gets a foot down in bounds. Burks is a big, bad dude, and he’s going to be a baller in the NFL.
Moore can do his own fair share of damage from the backfield:
Like Burks, Moore is heavily featured on passes around the LOS:
And, also like Burks, he chews up yardage after the catch, though he gets it done more with his crazy acceleration and agility.
He’s got great lateral movement and anticipation. He’s not running through guys, but he’s tough to even get a hand on when he’s got any room at all.
And he’s hardly just a short-route guy:
I love seeing guys that can catch a ball deep and then still add yards after the catch. Like his fellow Rebel AJ Brown, Moore has this skill.
We need to see that again:
It’s a silky route from Moore, threatening the go before a nice break right into the hole in the zone. Corral puts it on him in stride.
Here’s another nice Moore catch from week 7:
I need to see some all-22 to see more of Moore’s routes and to see if he can get off press (I don’t think I’ve any reps from him at X) but he absolutely destroys zone coverage. He’s got the slot skills, but I also see similarities to a guy like Brandin Cooks, who is smaller but can win all over the field with speed and clean routes.
If you’re in a C2C, these guys got drafted. You’ll have to trade for them, and their trade value might be tough to pin down. I have no doubt that Moore gets drafted this spring, and I like Burks to go fairly high in ’22 if he keeps on his current trajectory. But neither is going to command a fraction of the trade value of any of the big names from the ’21 class.
Guys like this I like to get as throw-ins on bigger deals. I could argue that Burks in particular is worth pursuing, but I doubt you have to pay much for him. These are the types of wide receivers that don’t yet have name value to the casual dynasty or devy player.
If you’re doing a C2C startup, target both these players. You’re going to get them far later than guys like Damonte Coxie or Chris Olave, and I absolutely think they have the same upside.
In devy, either is worth a pickup if you have a weaker player rostered. Moore you’ll get sooner (’21) but Burks has true #1 WR upside in the NFL.
For dynasty players, Moore is going to be one of those players you can grab in the late 2nd or even the 3rd round of rookie drafts; there’s just so much talent ahead of him. But he has all the tools to excel in the League, and I do expect late day two draft capital for him, though it wouldn’t be surprising from him to slip into the 4th in this loaded 2021 WR class.
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