Dynasty Nerds

Devy Stock Watch Week 4

As Week 4 of the college season came to a close, we saw massive upsets and a top conference in the SEC open up play. We were finally able to put eyes on some of the top NFL draft prospects for the incoming 2021 class. It was exciting to watch some players succeed while, unfortunately, others faltered. Let’s take a look at the players who’s stock changed over this weekend, including a chart at the bottom, giving you a more detailed look at how values have changed over the past few weeks.

Stock Up

Matt Corral- QB, Ole Miss

Matt Corral looked good Saturday. He made some very good throws into tight windows, looked poised in the pocket, and showed some true leadership on the field. Florida is a talented team and defense that outing for Corral was very positive. I’m excited to continue to watch Corral throughout the season. He’s a quarterback I think will continue to rise playing against tough SEC competition.

Att/CmpCom%Pass GradeYds Td/IntNFL Rating
31/2271.078.73953/1132.1
Matt Corral stats vs Florida per PFF.com

KJ Costello- QB, Mississippi State

www.foxnews.com

Costello saw his senior year cut short last year at Stanford after just five games due to injuries to his thumb and suffering a concussion. Costello transferred to Miss. St. with Head Coach Mike Leach, whos well known for his air raid offense. It’s only been one week, but this pairing has already been amazing. Costello threw for his personal best and an SEC record 623 passing yards in a single game against a very good LSU team.

Att/CmpCom%Pass GradeYdsTD/IntNFL Grade
62/3658.178.16235/2105.8
KJ Costello stats vs LSU per PFF.com

Malik Willis- QB, Liberty

www.al.com

Malik Willis spent his first two college seasons with Auburn and never really saw the field, having just 11 pass attempts in two years. He transfers to Liberty and wins the starting job. Not many analysts talked about Willis before the season or gave him much due, myself included. After two games in 2020, we need to be paying attention to Willis now. In two games, he’s has shown to not only be a very good passer but be able to create offense with his legs, as he is currently the leading rusher on his team. While Western Kentucky isn’t anything to write home about, FIU finished last season as a top 50 defense finishing 46th. Willis will some other tough matchups on the schedule, move the kid up your board now before you’re left behind.

Att/CmpCom%Pass GradeYdsTd/IntNFL Rating
29/2379.367.72782/0129.6
Malik Willis passing stats vs FIU per PFF.com
AttYdsRush GradeExplosive PlaysAVT
710564.135
Malik Willis rushing stats vs FIU per PFF.com

Najee Harris- RB, Alabama

(Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)

Harris decided to come back for his senior season, likely to try and improve his draft stock. This will likely the last time you’ll see him on my stock up list as he has moved up to my RB1 for the 2021 draft class. Harris is a bruising runner but can also hurt you in the receiving game. He looked as good as expected to start the season, and I expect him to dominate all season.

AttYdsTdRush GradeExplosive PlaysYCOAVT
1798379.34384
Najee Harris stats vs Missouri per PFF.com

Kylin Hill- RB, Mississippi State

Credit: Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports

Kylin Hill came back for his senior year, which was surprising for some. While he likely wouldn’t have been a high pick, he was considered a good prospect. The biggest knock on Hill last year, not enough work in the receiving game. Already in 2020, we can see that it won’t be an issue. Head coach Mike Leach and his air raid offense will see Hill get most of his work in the receiving game. He still has some inconsistencies running the ball, but being in this offense will likely continue to raise his stock.

AttYdsTdRush GradeExplosive PlaysYCOAVT
734071.21262
Kylin Hill rushing stats vs LSU per PFF.com
RecRec%YdsTdRec GradeAVTRating
880.0155177.93152.1
Kylin Hill receiving stats vs LSU per PFF.com

CJ Johnson- WR, ECU

247sports.com

CJ Johnson is a divisive prospect currently in the devy community. Many like him because of his size and great hands. He does a good job attacking the ball in the air and winning contested catches. His ability to get YAC is also one of his game’s better parts, and we saw that Saturday in his lone touchdown. While only two catches in this game, he did turn one into a touchdown with a great run and stiff arm after the catch.

RecRec%YdsTdRec GradeAVTRating
240.052161.12118.3
CJ Johnson receiving stats vs UCF per PFF.com

Jordan Addison- WR, PITT

www.ctpost.com

True freshman Addison has been on fire these past two games and playing like a veteran as he is the teams leading receiver through two games. Addison has stepped up into the top role with star wide receiver Taysir Mack being out. Mack should be back soon, so we will see how that will affect Addison moving forward. If he stays in the slot role, though, I’m expecting a huge year and some awards coming Addison’s way.

RecRec%YdsTdRec GradeAVTRating
770.077168.11125.8
Jordan Addison receiving stats vs Louisville per PFF.com

Treylon Burks- WR, Arkansas

flipboard.com

Treylon Burks is one of the phenomenal wide receivers on Arkansas. Burks YAC ability and catch radius make him a very intriguing prospect, even on a bad offense and team like Arkansas. Burks first game was a successful one. It will be fun to watch how he and fellow wide receiver Trey Knox play this year. Burks so far has looked better one game into the season.

RecRec%YdsTdRec GradeAVTRating
770.0102171.53136.3
Treylon Burks receiving stats vs Georgia

Osirus Mitchell- WR, Mississippi State

hailstate.com

Osirus Mitchell literally came out of nowhere. No one in the devy community was discussed the breakout year for Mitchell, but it definitely looks like it’s on its way. While some will argue Mitchell is a product of the Mike Leach system, he looked really good Saturday against a top defense in college. The system definitely helped showcase Mitchell Saturday. He is now firmly on my radar moving forward.

RecRec%YdsTdRec GradeAVTRating
758.3183279.81142.4
Osirus Mitchell receiving stats vs LSU per PFF.com

Holding Stock

Spencer Rattler- QB, Oklahoma

www.koco.com

Spencer Rattler came out and had one of the best starts to a college career you can ask for. Then all of sudden, week two hits, and he looks like a different quarterback. Rattler still made some good throws but had some bad mistakes. My biggest takeaway from this game was, Kansas State has had Lincoln Riley’s number the past couple of years. This was just Rattler’s second college start. He’s still one of the more talented quarterbacks in college. Don’t panic trade or fade Rattler just yet. His best is yet to come.

Att/CmpCom%Pass GradeYdsTd/IntNFL Grade
41/3073.281.03874/3104.4
Spencer Rattler stats vs Kansas State per PFF.com

Myles Brennan- QB, LSU

www.theadviser.com

Myles Brennan had to step in after one of if not the most prolific college offenses last year. There was some hype for Brennan in that LSU didn’t seem to want to go after any transfer-listed quarterbacks and decided to stick with him with Joe Burrow entering the draft. Brennan is a very accurate passer and seems to read defenses well, which we were able to see some of Saturday. While it was not an overall great game, it was Brennan’s first game as the starter with a serious loss of weapons around him. I’m holding on Brennan right now as I expect his stock to rise moving forward.

Att/CmpCom%Pass GradeYdsTd/IntNFL Grade
46/2758.771.33453/285.9
Myles Brennan stats vs Mississippi State per PFF.com

Eric Gray- RB, Tennessee

www.saturdaydownsouth.com

Eric Gray broke out late last year and got his run due to injuries to the starting running back. Gray played so well he built up a little bit of a cult following among the devy community and secured the starting job. While not a good game against South Carolina on Saturday, Gray did have a couple of good runs that reminded us just how good he could be. Tennessee will not have a good offense this year, but Gray is a player you should hold and make sure you watch on Saturdays.

AttYdsTdRush GradeExplosive PlaysYCOAVT
1240177.21293
Eric Gray rushing stats vs South Carolina per PFF.com

Stock Down

Brock Purdy- QB, Iowa State

www.thegazette.com

Brock Purdy was in the discussion to be one of the top quarterbacks drafted outside the top three players. It’s hard to imagine Purdy could look any worse to start the season. Both of his first games have accentuated everything about his game scouts didn’t like. Purdy needs to turn it around quickly, but honestly, the damage may already be done. He has been my biggest faller over the past two weeks.

Att/CmpCom%Pass GradeYdsTd/IntNFL Grade
23/1878.359.32111/0119.4
Brock Purdy stats vs TCU per PFF.com

Chase Brice- QB, Duke

www.dukechronicle.com

Brice was a player I had hoped would have some sneaky NFL upside after transferring out of Clemson. While Brice didn’t win his first game, he made some good throws and looked impressive. Since then, he has continued to trend downwards and hasn’t shown much to be excited about. Brice is a guy I hope can turn it around, but he’s sliding down my ranks.

Att/CmpCom%Pass GradeYdsTd/IntNFL Grade
36/1644.442.92462/446.5
Chase Brice stats vs Virginia per PFF.com

Chuba Hubbard- RB, Oklahoma State

www.forbes.com

Chuba Hubbard in 2020 has not looked like 2019 Chuba Hubbard. He still has some juice and has had some good runs, but he doesn’t look as explosive as he did last year. Hubbard looked like the best back in college football last year and now doesn’t even look like the best running back on his team this year. This could be more an effect on not having any spring games or real practices. Plus, to be fair, Hubbard only moved down one spot in my running back ranks, falling behind Najee Harris.

AttYdsTdRush GradeExplosive PlaysYCOAVT
22106152.83454
Chuba Hubbard rushing stats vs West Virginia per PFF.com

Here is a quick chart of the players from last week’s stock watch and this week’s stock watch and how they’ve moved in my ranks at their position. All of my devy ranks are available on dynastynerds.com.

NameTeamPositionTrendSpots
Phil JurkovecBoston CollegeQBUp6
K.J. CostelloMississippi StateQBUp3
Desmond RidderCincinnatiQBUp3
D’Eriq KingMiami (FL)QBUp5
Matt CorralOle MissQBUp3
Malik WillisLibertyQBUp2
Najee HarrisAlabamaRBUp1
Kylin HillMississippi StateRBUp2
Jordan AddisonPittWRUp12
Treylon BurksArkansasWRUp6
Osirus MitchellMississippi StateWRUp10
Brock PurdyIowa StateQBDown4

This concludes my devy stock watch for week four of the college football season. Continue to check back every week as we will continue to watch the stock trends of devy players moving throughout the year. You can follow me on Twitter for all my devy content. You can also check me out on my podcast, the Fantasy Football Roundtable.

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