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Draft Casualties: 2020 Edition

The NFL draft can really hurt the value of a dynasty asset. We take a look at the values of some big name fantasy players were impacted post NFL draft.

The best three days of the year for dynasty owners is the NFL draft. It’s an exciting time to see where the guys you have been researching for countless hours land in the NFL. We can start to get a great idea of what our rookie picks are going to turn into for our upcoming rookie drafts. 

At the same time, it can be a stressful few days if you own veteran players on your dynasty roster. If you were counting on those players to help you compete in 2020, you were just hoping their teams wouldn’t use high draft capital on their replacements.

A lot of dynasty assets lost value due to the draft this year; some players managed to salvage some value while others lost all the appeal they had as a late flier or deep stash. It is important not to overreact even if your player’s value took a hit. You don’t want to panic and make the wrong decision. 

Casualties

These are the players that were negatively impacted by incoming rookies and lost significant value as dynasty assets. 

We’ll go by division and talk a little bit about each player and how the draft changed their dynasty value. We’ll be sticking to players that were previously fantasy relevant and see how they fared over this past weekend. 

NFC East

DAL

Source: Insidethestar.com
  • Michael Gallup- Casualty, with some long term value

Gallup was one of the biggest losers of the entire draft. Dallas addressed WR in a significant way by drafting CeeDee Lamb with the 17th overall pick. Lamb was regarded by many as the best receiver in this stacked WR class. For Gallup, he now has to compete with Amari Cooper and CeeDee for targets. His floor takes a significant hit as Gallup will be more boom or bust with all the mouths to feed in that offense. Gallup still has value as a long term asset, and if you can find a nervous owner, he is worth trying to buy low on. 

PHI

  •  JJ Arcega-Whiteside- still hanging on but loses some sleeper appeal 
  •  Alshon Jeffery- Casualty 

The Eagles were in desperate need of WR help, and they got it in the first round with their selection of Jalen Reagor. Reagor is a fantastic prospect and profiles to be the Eagles number 1 WR right away. As a result, we have most likely seen the last of Alshon Jeffery as a dynasty asset. Jeffery is getting up there in age and is coming off an injury. He’s worth keeping on your bench, but you shouldn’t expect much. As for JJAW, the 2019 2nd round pick struggled to do much as a rookie despite the Eagles depleted receiving corps. He’s a hold in dynasty, and hopefully, he shows improvement in year 2. 

NYG

  • No Casualties or value hits

Giants GM Dave Gettleman ignored offensive skill positions in this draft and instead decided to bolster the Giants Offensive line and defense, this bodes well for Darius Slayton, Sterling Shepherd, and even Golden Tate. Slayton comes out of the draft as a massive winner. Gettleman showed confidence in last year’s 5th round pick by not adding any WR’s. Look for him to take a step in his second professional season. 

WASH

  • Derrius Guice- on notice 
  • Bryce Love- casualty

The Redskins continue to add running backs and draft WR/RB Antonio Gibson in the 3rd round. Gibson is an explosive player that fits better as an RB, and that’s where the Redskins have him listed. Derrius Guice was a highly touted prospect but has failed to stay healthy in his first two NFL campaigns. He sees his dynasty value decrease and will likely be in a committee. His value takes a hit, but if you have him, you should just hold. As for Love, he was a popular deep stash, and with the addition of Gibson as well as free-agent signings Peyton Barber and J.D Mckissic, I can’t see him returning value. I wouldn’t cut him yet, but I wouldn’t expect much from him in 2020.

NFC North

Green Bay

Aaron Jones (Packers Wire)
  • Aaron Jones- long term value takes a hit 
  • Jamaal Williams- Casualty 
  • Jace Sternberger- gets competition

The Packers had one of the most head-scratching drafts I’ve seen starting with drafting QB Jordan Love in the 1st round. They then went on to select RB AJ Dillion in round 2, which makes Jamaal Williams a Casualty and hurts his value as a deep flex play and high-end handcuff. Aaron Jones’s long term value takes a hit here.  It’s been getting rarer to see running backs get that second contract, and the Packers may not be as likely to give Jones his now. Hopefully, you sold Jones at peak value this offseason. Jace Sternberger also takes a slight hit with the addition of TE Josiah Deguara in round 3.

MIN

  • Bisi Johnson- Casualty 
  • Tajae Sharpe- casualty 

The Vikings added LSU WR Justin Jefferson in round 1, and he should step right in for Stefon Diggs, who was traded to Buffalo earlier in the offseason. Jefferson hurts any sleeper appeal Johnson or Sharpe had. You can cut Sharpe if you need a roster spot, but I’d still hang onto Bisi Johnson if you have the roster space. 

DET

  •  Kerryon Johnson- Casualty

This one hurts if you are a Kerryon Johnson owner. Johnson’s value takes a massive hit with the arrival of RB D’andre Swift. The Lions chose Swift with the 35th pick in the draft, and he was regarded by many as the best RB prospect in the class. Kerryon has struggled to stay healthy in his first two NFL seasons. Now he’s likely to be in a split in 2020, and his future after that is murky. 

CHI

  • Jimmy Graham- Casualty 

Not much to talk about for the Bears since they didn’t have many draft picks. Their only Casualty is Jimmy Graham, who will be replaced by rookie Cole Kmet. Everyone else is safe. Anthony Miller makes it out as a winner and should see an uptick in playing time. 

NFC South

TB

  • Ronald Jones- facing competition

Ronald Jones was a player fantasy owners were hoping would survive the draft, and it looked good for a while until the Bucs selected  Vanderbilt RB Ke’shawn Vaughn. I don’t consider RoJo a total casualty; I expect him to have a role on early downs still and be a flex starter for fantasy. His value still takes a dip with the addition of Vaughn, but I don’t think RoJo owners should panic too much and sell for pennies. He’s someone I’d be looking to acquire for cheap in a trade.

CAR

  • No casualties or value hits

The Panthers showed that they have faith in their skill players and spent all of their draft picks on defense. You can breathe easily if you own DJ Moore, Curtis Samuel, or Robby Anderson. Reggie Bonnafon also remains the clear handcuff for CMC owners. 

NFC West

LAR

  • Darrell Henderson- gets stiff competition 
  • Malcolm Brown- Casualty 
  • Josh Reynolds- gets competition 

Well, I hope you sold high on Henderson when you had the chance. His value takes a massive dip with the addition of RB Cam Akers in round 2. Henderson should still see some touches and will likely split with Akers to start. Henderson was a star in college, but it doesn’t look like that will carry over into the NFL. As for Malcolm Brown and even John Kelly, you can cut them if you were holding out hope. The Rams also added WR Van Jefferson in the 2nd round, who should challenge Josh Reynolds as the WR3 for LAR.

ARI

  • No casualties or value hits

Everyone is safe in Arizona! Kyler Murray rallied for the Cardinals to draft his college teammate Ceedee Lamb but his wish didn’t come true. Christian Kirk dodges a bullet and remains the teams WR2. If you own Kenyan Drake, you should be ecstatic that they went mostly defense in the draft.

 SF

  • Deebo Samuel- faces competition for targets 
  • Kendrick Bourne- casualty 

The 49ers were among the teams expected to land one of the premier WR prospects, Deebo owners were excited when they passed on WR and took defense with the 13th pick, but they then traded up to 25 for Arizona State WR Brandon Aiyuk. Deebo’s value takes a slight hit due to the lack of volume in the San Fran offense, but he should still be involved in both the rushing and receiving game. If you own Deebo, you shouldn’t panic, although a big breakout looks less likely. If you were holding onto Kendrick Bourne, you could let go and cut him.

SEA

  • no casualties or value hits

Seattle didn’t have many players’ fantasy values affected in the draft. Chris Carson seems to have survived and will retain the lead role in the backfield, although the Seahawks did draft Miami RB Deejay Dallas in the 4th, and he should be on your radar. 

AFC East

BUF

  • Devin Singletary- gets competition,  takes slight value hit 

Devin Singletary loses some value here with the Bill’s selection of third-round RB Zack Moss out of Utah. Moss and Singletary are pretty similar players, and I’d expect them to split some carries with Singletary being the lead back of the committee. Moss will likely take over the role leftover by Frank Gore as a bruiser on early downs. If you own Singletary, don’t panic, he should still be a mid RB2 in 2020. Though he loses the RB1 upside, some owners thought he may had. 

NYJ

  • Breshad Perriman- gets competition 

I don’t see any Jets losing much value because of the draft; they did add Denzel Mims, which may affect Perriman’s target volume but not enough to make him a casualty. Jamison Crowder still holds his value as the primary slot guy. 

NE

  • No casualties or value hits

Surprisingly, no casualties here, the Pat’s didn’t address WR, RB, or QB. New England didn’t add a single WR despite having a below-average group. They showed they believe in N’keal Harry to take a  leap in year 2. Sony Michel, James White, Damien Harris are all safe. Jarrett Stidham made it out of the draft safe as well. Not much changed in New England 

MIA

  • No casualties or value hits

 All of the Dolphins skill players survived the draft and didn’t lose any value. Preston Williams, Davante Parker, Jordan Howard are all safe. Isaiah Ford is a guy to look for on the waiver wire in deeper leagues.

AFC North

Mark Ingram (USA Today)

BAL

  • Mark Ingram- Casualty, for the long term, still has value in 2020.
  • Gus Edwards- casualty 
  • Justice Hill- Casualty 
  • Miles Boykin- gets competition 

Star RB J.K Dobbins lands in Baltimore and crushes the values of Mark Ingram, Gus Edwards, and Justice Hill. Ingram still has flex appeal in 2020 and could even return RB2 value next season. As for Edwards and Hill their values plummeted, Hill was a popular sleeper last year and didn’t return value. It’s hard to see either of them returning much value now in the crowded Baltimore backfield. 

PIT

  • Benny Snell- casualty 
  • James Washington- casualty 
  • James Conner- survived with added competition 

Conner was one of the biggest winners of the draft, and he survived as the lead running back for the Steelers. They did add RB Anthony McFarland, which makes Benny Snell a casualty. McFarland should be the top handcuff to Conner. James Washington takes a massive hit with the addition of Chase Claypool. Juju and Diontae Johnson remain safe. Washington is just a bench stash at this point.

CLE 

  • No Casualties or value hits

All of the fantasy-relevant players in Cleveland remain safe. However, they did add TE Harrison Bryant in the 4th round, which leads me to believe David Njoku may be on another team in 2021.

CIN

  • John Ross- casualty 
  • Tyler Boyd- value takes a small hit

The Bengals added Clemson WR Tee Higgins with the first pick of round 2. Higgins profiles as number 1 WR, he crushes the value of John Ross, though Ross will be a free agent in 2021. He’s still worth a stash, but it’s hard to see him being consistently startable in 2020. For Boyd, he’s still safe and under contract until 2023, although his upside takes a small hit. 

AFC South

Marlon Mack (Co;ts Wire)

IND 

  • Marlon Mack- Casualty 
  • Zach Pascal- Casualty 

If this year’s draft has taught us anything, it’s to sell running backs that are nearing the end of their rookie deals. Jonathan Taylor lands in Indy and decimated the dynasty value of Marlon Mack. If you own Mack, you’re just hoping he gets traded. Mack should still be involved on early downs to start the season, but it’s hard to imagine you can start him with confidence if he remains on the Colts in 2020. Nyheim Hines is likely to keep his role on passing downs. For Zach Pascal, he showed some flashes last season, but with the addition of Micheal Pittman Jr., Pascal’s value takes a hit. 

JAX

  • Dede Westbrook- gets competition 
  • Chris Conley-  casualty

Laviska Shenault lands in Jacksonville and should be the number 2 WR behind D.J. Chark. Westbrook should still start in the slot for the Jags, but there won’t be much target volume to go around in that offense. Conley gets buried on the depth chart, and it would take an injury for him to be relevant in 2020

AFC West

KC

  • Damien Williams-Casualty 
  • Darwin Thompson- casualty 

The Chiefs shocked the dynasty community by taking LSU RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire with the last pick of round 1. The Chiefs were the best landing spot for a rookie RB, and the added draft capital crushed any dynasty value that Damien Williams had left. Remember Darwin Thompson? You can say goodbye and release him to the waiver wire. 

DEN

  • DaeSean Hamilton- casualty 
  • Noah Fantvalue takes a small hit

Denver went heavy on WR in this draft and thus buried DaeSean Hamilton on the depth chart. Hamilton had some dynasty owners excited coming out of Penn State, but the Broncos showed they don’t have faith in him by adding Jeudy and Hamler. If you need a roster spot, you can cut Hamilton. Fant sees a small hit here due to the new competition for targets in the Denver offense. Fant still has plenty of upside, though he may lack target volume.

OAK

  • Hunter Renfrow- gets competition 
  • Tyrell Williams- casualty
  • Jalen Richard- Casualty 

The Raiders went all-in on revamping their WR corps in this draft. They took Henry Ruggs as the first WR off the board, followed by Bryan Edwards and Lynn Bowden Jr. back to back in the third round. Bowden is an RB/WR hybrid but was listed as an RB by the Raiders. He should take over the Richard role as the third-down back. Hunter Renfrow has more competition for targets, but he should hold his slot role and has a solid floor in PPR. As for Williams, I’d say his days as a fantasy-relevant asset are behind him.

 

LAC

  • Justin Jackson- casualty 
  • Tyrod Taylor- casualty

Jackson was one of my favorite sleeper running backs to target in dynasty, and his value now takes a huge hit as he’s likely now the third RB on the depth chart with the addition of Joshua Kelley in the 4th round. The chargers have said they still love Jackson, but using that draft capital on Kelley doesn’t seem like it. I’m still holding onto Jackson, but I’m a lot less excited about his future.  The Chargers also took QB Justin Herbert at 5; this doesn’t bode well for owners that were hoping to get a full season out of Tyrod Taylor in Superflex. 

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