Looking for some breakout dynasty players this year? Come check out Jake Oliver’s potential players to acquire in the AFC East.
It’s Fantasy Football season once more! Though, if you’re in dynasty leagues, it’s year-round for you. For example, right now, you’re trying to make trades/waiver claims and get your team ready for the season. This is the prime trading season to get guys you’re high on for a lower price!
So, what guys should you acquire? If you have them, what should you sell them for or don’t sell them? Well, I’m here to help you with that issue. This is the first article in a series of articles that will cover all 32 teams in the NFL.
I’ll be recommending one main breakout player from each division, along with a player to get from every team. Explain why I chose them/my predictions and what I’d trade for them. This is for any league as well since I’ll be including IDP players too. This article is about the AFC East.
Miami Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa
Admittedly, this one is a bit obvious and risky. Tua did not have the best rookie year last year. He not only had to learn a new NFL system, rehab from a massive hip injury, and develop NFL QB leadership, but he also had to compete alongside the great Ryan Fitzpatrick. In addition, he had to deal with the Covid climate, all with no training camp.
This year is different; Fitzpatrick is now in Washington with the Football Team. Tua is fully healthy from the hip injury. He was able to have a normal off-season that included working on the issues that plague QB’s like his deep throws, completely reading the field, and growing into the franchise QB that the Dolphins believe him to be.
Tua was a quick-throwing QB last season, averaging only 2.54 seconds before releasing the ball. He didn’t take the time to see the field and pick the best target fully. Tagovailoa only completed 10 of 29 pass attempts that were more than 20 air yards last year. From those 10 completions, he had 259 yards, two TDs, and one INT.
Of course, that might have been partially due to who Tua was throwing to. To that end, the Dolphins upgraded who Tua is throwing to during the off-season. Last year, he only had Mike Gesicki and Devante Parker as reliable targets.
Why Tua’s About to Breakout in Dynasty
This year, the Dolphins added deep threat Will Fuller and star Alabama WR Jaylen Waddle. Tua has played with Waddle before during his time at Alabama. That should help the getting adjusted to the NFL process for each party. The Dolphins kept Gesicki and Parker along with Myles Gaskin.
Additionally, the Dolphins have anointed Tua as the full-time starter for the Dolphins. They brought in Jacoby Brissett as the backup. Tua has all the tools in place to break out this year. A full-time gig with a complete set of talented weapons and a strong coaching staff.
He has shown his progress in abilities already this year during camp and the first preseason game against the Bears. Below, Tua takes the time to read the field, connect on a deep pass, and be patient in the pocket. These are all things he struggled with last year.
Why You Should Buy Tua Tagovailoa and His Price in Dynasty
People have forgotten that Tua was a Heisman candidate before his injury. Also, as a left-handed QB, he’s had to learn and adapt even more to football than most players. He’s been successful so far, and he continues to get better.
He’s an insane buy-low target right now who’s primed to break out. The Dolphins’ rushing game is still going to be rather “meh.” Tagovailoa will be passing more this year with the number of target-hungry receivers. Don’t let recency bias cost you a rising QB for your dynasty team.
Tagovailoa is a capable and rather high-end QB2 for this year. He’s got rushing upside, although I am hesitant to say he will rush a ton. He’s accurate and is set up for the best chance to succeed this year. If Tua can’t do it with these weapons, then he might be a bust. Yet, that risk is baked into his price.
If you’re in a start-up for a Superflex Dynasty league, then his ADP of 61 in Sleeper leagues is insanely cheap. That’s 6th-7th round territory. For a QB2 who has the potential to rise into the QB1 area, you have to grab him at that price. He’s in the range of Kirk Cousins and Daniel Jones. I love Cousins but what you see is what you get. Tua still has a ton of potential. You don’t want to kick yourself a few months from now for passing on him.
His dynasty trade price is only a first and second-round rookie draft pick. If you need a QB on your team, that’s a worthy price, especially since that price should rise after Tua plays well over the course of the season with his weapons. Suppose you’re rebuilding and trying to sell an older QB or older skill player, target Tua. He’s extremely young (23) and will grow with your dynasty team. That way, when you’re ready to compete, you got your QB already. Don’t miss out on Tua.
Buffalo Bills: Zack Moss
I always try to avoid crowded backfields that don’t have much clarity to them. However, when there’s a special player in that crowd, I take them. Zack Moss could be that special player. After being drafted from Utah in the third round of the 2020 NFL Draft, Moss came to the Bills.
He was a co-RB1 with Devin Singletary to start the season. He suffered multiple injuries during the season that limited his ability to separate himself from Singletary. Plus, he had Josh Allen taking all the goal-line rushes, which is an area Moss excels in.
Moss is a hard-nosed rusher who goes north-south. He finds open holes and engages with the second-level defender. He’s powerful enough to get those yards for a first down against a loaded box. Devin’s much more the pass-catching back. Devin’s better in space but isn’t talented enough to truly pull himself ahead.
Allen stole most of the goal-line work from the running backs. However, after signing his massive contract, I doubt the Bills will be eager to put Allen in more situations where he could get hurt. He’s their prized horse. They won’t be putting him in bad spots. Despite Moss missing a lot of time with injuries, he out-touched Singletary at the goal-line 8-5.
In case you missed it last year, when Moss was healthy for weeks 14-16, he out-carried Singletary by a wide margin. Moss had 38 carries, whereas Singletary only had 25. That late in the season, when the Bills were fighting for home-field advantage in the playoffs and needed to win every game, they turned to Moss. I bet if Moss hadn’t gotten hurt in week 17, he would’ve further taken the lead in the carry total.
Moss is also talented at creating something out of nothing. As the tweet below shows, he did pretty well at creating yards.
Zack Moss Set to Break Out in Dynasty
All of that is to say that Zack Moss is going to break out. He’s been performing well at camp. He missed the first preseason game because of a back injury. However, he’s already back practicing, so it’s not something to worry about. According to reporter Matthew Fairburn, Moss has consistently looked like the better running back in camp.
Plus, if he gets more goal-line carries, he could be in double-digit touchdowns. He’s set for more opportunity after performing well down the stretch last year and in camp so far. More opportunity for Moss will mean more chances for fantasy points for your team. Don’t miss out on Moss because you’re only paying attention to last year.
Don’t worry about his receiving either. He showed in college that he could receive just fine. If he’s on the field more this year, he will get more targets. Most of the time, the Bills coaching staff only plays the guys who are good enough to be on the field.
Zack Moss Price in Dynasty
Moss is insanely cheap. Yes, even in the running back wasteland that is currently happening. He has an ADP around the 11th round of Sleeper in Superflex dynasty drafts. That’s INSANE. He could be the RB1 on a great team that is set to score a ton. The Bills are going to be ahead a lot this year. That means more rushing in the fourth quarter. Get the probable RB1 for the Bills, who’s currently going as a bench player in drafts.
In Dynasty trades, Moss is worth a second-round rookie draft pick. If you have a win-now team, go fill out your running back corps with Moss. He will be key to ensuring you have enough in a season that’s longer than ever before. It would help if you as had as many running backs this year as you can get. Moss’ price will rise with the more playing time he gets.
New England Patriots: Kyle Dugger
Here’s a defensive player for you IDP players. Kyle Dugger is going to replace Patrick Chung in the Patriots’ vaunted defense. The transition already started last year. Dugger is a man of versatility on defense as he can rush the passer, cover tight ends, stick to wide receivers, and play the free safety role.
He was a 2020 draft pick by the Pats and the team wasn’t expecting to replace Chung so soon. Due to Chung opting out of the season last year and now retiring, it’s Dugger’s position. Dugger is an almost exact replica of Chung. He’s flexible, strong, physical, and dependable.
In fact, Duggar said of his play last year that it was “below average” despite him recording 64 tackles in 14 games last year with little practice. Duggar’s done well in training camp so far. His only real weakness is his coverage. Thankfully, he will be in the box more than covering since he’s a strong safety. Duggar is good at tackling and ensuring his opponents will go to the ground.
Duggar’s coverage skills will get better with time. Remember, he was a rookie with no camp, practice, etc., last year. The game will slow down for him. If Bill Belichek believes he will be a good defensive player, I will take his word for it. Duggar is still cheap in both mixed-IDP and IDP-only leagues. His ADP is crazy late. You might even be able to get him on waivers. Trade for him NOW before he becomes a stud. You don’t want to have to pay up. Right now, you could pay only a fourth or fifth-round rookie pick in both types of leagues. Get a piece of that Patriots defense while you can!
New York Jets: Elijah Moore
Truthfully, this is more a long-term breakout dynasty player than a “breakout this year” player. I am choosing him though because of his price. Elijah Moore this year is a WR3-type of player. He’s a round-two draft pick who got selected by the current coaching regime. He’s going to take some time to mature into the receiver many believe he will become.
This year, Moore has competition for snaps with old guy Jamison Crowder and Keelan Cole. They are both gone after this year. That’s when Moore’s time to shine will truly happen. Moore will get playing time this year. He will have big games, which raise his price even more. Moore’s already making big moves in training camp before his quad injury.
Have no fear, his quad injury will not last much longer. He’ll be fine for the regular season. One big move he made is in the tweet below. He’s a target hog who catches everything. He’s got good route-running skills and knows how to manipulate his body.
He is going to be a good receiver in the NFL. In dynasty, if you’re rebuilding, I’d be looking to acquire Moore in any trade involving an older player. He’s set to be good long-term. His price in dynasty is around an early-second-round rookie draft pick. That’s not bad for a player who will be a long-term starter for your team. Get Elijah Moore now before it’s too late. His injury is holding his price stable. When he comes back, it’s going to rise.
I am always on Twitter at @DarthDbacks and in the largest Fantasy Football Chat on Discord under the same username. I hope this season goes excellent for you, and I’m happy to help on Twitter or Discord anytime! Also, happy to discuss Star Wars, Marvel, Baseball, movies, or writing with you.
As always, May the Force be with You…
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