In this series, we will take two Dynasty Nerds writers and pit them up against one another concerning certain players or topics. In this specific article Mychal Warno (@DynastyDadMike) and Corey Easterday (@CoreyEasterday) debate on which dynasty QB you want moving forward, Trevor Lawrence or Joe Burrow?
I prefer Trevor Lawrence over Joe Burrow in dynasty for a number of reasons. Let us first start with the youth aspect that Lawrence has over Burrow. The 22-year-old Lawrence is nearly three years younger than Burrow who will turn 25 in December. Secondly, Lawrence has the better upside as a rusher which we all know means more fantasy points. Lawrence has nearly passed Joe Burrow’s career rushing yards of 166 as Lawrence currently has 110 rushing yards in only five career NFL games.
While Lawrence has been hampered by poor play calling and coaching under the current coaching regime, I don’t see this current staff coaching Trevor in 2022. Jaguar owner Shahid Khan should seek the opinion of Lawrence when deciding the next coach to lead this team. While the cupboard is currently bare of offensive weapons for Lawrence, I view 2022 as an opportunity to expand his options. Jacksonville will have DJ Chark and Travis Etienne returning from injury while having the fourth highest cap space in the league for 2022. Finally, even in a turnover plagued rookie season, Lawrence leads all rookie quarterbacks in fantasy points. Don’t let a five-game sample size hinder you away from Trevor Lawrence as he is still that generational talent we have heard about for years and in my opinion the better option moving forward.
This debate over the two most recent #1 picks is certainly an interesting one. At the risk of undermining my argument, I like Lawrence as a player and agree he has the potential to be a generational QB talent. I even roster him in my home dynasty league. However, two things can be true: Lawrence could develop into an all-time QB and so could Burrow (and I think both will). The key difference here is even though their careers may end up looking similar in the years to come, I believe Burrow has the higher ceiling in fantasy football and that he is the better long-term option at QB for your squad.
Both players are just beginning their careers, and when you factor in Burrow’s injury last season, the sample size of games played is relatively small for both. Even so, per Pro Football Reference Burrow has the higher career completion percentage (67% to Lawrence’s 59.4%). If you just want to focus on the 2021 season, according to Next Gen Stats Burrow is boasting the 5th best CP in the NFL at an impressive 71.7% and a passer rating of 106.4 (compared to Lawrence’s 71.3) which is good for 7th best in the NFL. When you consider that Burrow has had the 6th lowest time to throw (2.6 seconds to Lawrence’s 2.9) – his accuracy and the incredible numbers he’s putting up this season are even more impressive (all stats before Week 6).
Age isn’t a concern for me since quarterbacks tend to play the position longer (especially with all the rule changes), and while Burrow clearly doesn’t have the rushing upside that Lawrence has, his passing talent more than makes up for it. Speaking of talent, having a WR corps made up of Tee Higgins, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tyler Boyd may be the biggest reason to choose Burrow. The Bengals have shown a commitment to surrounding Burrow with an impressive roster of skill players which only further boosts his value. If the Bengals can continue building the offensive line into a top line in the NFL – the sky is the limit for Burrow in that offense. Overall, I think this is a fun debate, and here’s to the success of both QBs in the NFL and on your fantasy roster.
Thank you, guys and girls, for the read, and I appreciate the support you show to me. Good luck in your 2021 fantasy seasons, and please remember to follow me @dynastydadmike on Twitter and make sure you have subscribed to the #NerdHerd. God Bless! I also do Superflex/TE premium ranks for Dynasty Nerds.
Best of luck and be sure to hit me up on Twitter @CoreyEasterday