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Dynasty Nerds IDP 2nd Quarter Report

@Glosser13 brings you the 411 on all things IDP in his 2nd quarter report

Welcome to the second version of the dynasty nerds IDP quarterly report. We will talk about all things IDP at all three positions. I took suggestions on what to add to make this column more helpful for everybody. I’ve done my best to implement those as suggested. Let’s look at the 2nd quarter of the NFL season from an IDP dynasty fantasy football perspective.

Defensive Line

Things to Know

  • Harold Landry (DL2) is the only DL to have 10+ points in 8 straight games
  • T.J. Watt (DL3) and Nick Bosa (DL7) have 10+ in every game played this season
  • Five sets of teammates (Steelers, Rams, Panthers, Bears, and Bengals) make up 10 of the top 24 DL over the first eight games
  • Azeez Ojulari (DL25), Gregory Rousseau (DL35), and Jayson Oweh (DL58) are top rookies
  • Danielle Hunter (DL9) and J.J. Watt (DL68) both suffer injuries that end their season early for the second time in three seasons

Biggest Surprise 

Jonathan Greenard DL Houston Texans

Jonathan Greenard has been an outstanding performer for IDP managers over the second quarter of the season. The Texans’ second-year player was fairly quiet over the first month of the season. Since Week 5, he has had at least 17 fantasy points in every game and an average of 23.35 points per game. Greenard has had 6 sacks in his last four games and currently ranks as the DL16 overall on the season.

Biggest Disappointment

Struggling Stars

Joey Bosa DL Los Angeles Chargers

The elder of the two Bosa brothers has had an inconsistent start to the 2021 season. Joey Bosa has a Dynasty GM ranking of DL7 but currently is DL47 on the season. Bosa has only finished as a top 12 DL once this season. He has three double-digit performances. The Chargers pass rusher is on pace for his lowest fantasy point total since the 2018 season when he only played seven games.

Chase Young DL Washington Football Team 

The former Ohio State Buckeye has made his second straight appearance on the IDP quarterly report, unfortunately not in a positive way. Chase Young is the DL2 overall in the Nerds IDP rankings and just hasn’t delivered over the first half of the season. Young has failed to finish as a top 12 DL in any week so far and is averaging a disappointing 8.75 fantasy points per game (FPPG). Chase Young will need to have some big games over the second half of the season to finish as a DL2 on the season. Chase Young currently sits as the DL53 on the season.

Buy Low 

Charles Harris DL Detroit Lions

Charles Harris has found a new beginning to his career with the Detroit Lions. Harris had previous stints with Miami and Atlanta before Detroit took a chance on him this season, and he hasn’t disappointed. Harris was free on waiver wires in most leagues and still might be depending on how deep the rosters in your league are. The former Missouri Tiger had a sack in four straight games from week two to week five and has played at least 45 snaps in every game over the last six contests.

Harris is currently the DL32 on the season and is still only 26 years old. The Detroit Lions are on the bye this week, and Harris could be on waiver wires or at most be an accessible trade target for dynasty managers. Speaking from experience, players like Charles Harris, who you can find cheap, makes the frustration of rostering underperforming studs a lot easier on you.

Sell High 

Leonard Floyd DL Los Angeles Rams 

The Los Angeles Rams offense has been a thing of beauty for dynasty managers. Only IDP managers would also know that the defense has been equally as good. Leonard Floyd and Aaron Donald are among five pairs of teammates who are both top 24 defensive linemen. The Rams have been rewarding those dynasty managers that have invested in them. Currently, the Los Angeles defense has four DL in the top 36 after they just traded for former Broncos star Von Miller.

Leonard Floyd is currently the DL10 through 8 weeks with 6.5 sacks, one forced fumble, and one fumble recovery. The former Georgia Bulldog has 17 sacks in his last 24 games since joining the Rams. As a middling team or non-contender, this is the player to sell right now for a few reasons. Floyd is 29 years old, playing some of his best football while averaging 15 FPPG from week five to week eight. The addition of former All-Pro Von Miller will certainly cut into Floyd’s opportunities, not to mention both are playing with the former three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald. This situation has too many mouths to feed and the unpredictability of who will score the most fantasy points from week to week.

Long Term Value Buys

Josh Sweat DL Philadelphia Eagles

Credit: nfl.com

Josh Sweat has carved out a role as the best young pass rusher for the Philadelphia Eagles. The former Florida State Seminole is coming off his best season in 2020. He recorded six sacks and three forced fumbles. Early in the 2021 season, he was rewarded with a contract extension and is on pace to record career highs in fantasy points, tackles, and sacks. Sweat has increased those totals in each of the past two seasons.

Josh Sweat has had 3 sacks in his past four games. He’s averaged 14.25 fantasy points per game during the second quarter of the season. Our IDP team has a consensus ranking of DL48 for the Eagles defensive end, which is just a small sample of how he’s viewed as a dynasty asset in the community. Josh Sweat is currently the DL39 at the halfway point of the season with plenty of room to grow. The DL position in fantasy football can be the most difficult to acquire, especially once a player is a top 12 dynasty asset. The idea is to take shots on these players before their value increases. Even if you’re not a believer in his talent, you want to be the dynasty manager who has the player that others are looking to add to their rosters.

Underperforming Stud to Sell 

Cameron Jordan DL New Orleans Saints 

Cameron Jordan has been a steady top 12 defensive linemen for the better part of the last five years. From 2015 to 2019, Jordan posted over 220 fantasy points or more in five straight seasons. The New Orleans Saints pass rusher accumulated 58 sacks during that span while averaging 11.6 sacks per season. Dynasty managers could bank on double-digit sacks and DL1 numbers from Jordan consistently. After his second straight season, where he’s been relatively healthy but unable to produce those same numbers, there’s a cause for concern.

Jordan is still a very impactful player, as we saw with 7.5 sacks last season. This is simply a forward-thinking recommendation to sell a player who is 32 years old before his value drops off. Through no fault of his own, Jordan has been forced to be the best player on the defensive front for the Saints for a decade. The team’s inability to develop and keep an impact pass rusher on the other side has allowed teams to continue to game plan against him. The worst fear for dynasty managers is reliving the J.J. Watt scenario where we hold on to aging veterans too long and cannot reset and reload at the position.

DL Risers DynastyGM IDP Rankings 

Cam Heyward DL Pittsburgh Steelers 

Was DL28

Now DL24

Robert Quinn DL Chicago Bears

Was DL61

Now DL40

Josh Sweat DL Philadelphia Eagles

Was DL48

Now DL28

DL Fallers DynastyGM IDP Rankings 

J.J. Watt DL Arizona Cardinals 

Was DL24

Now DL36

Emmanuel Ogbah DL Miami Dolphins

Was DL10

Now DL16

Dante Fowler DL Atlanta Falcons

Was DL18

Now DL27

DL Points Per Snap Standouts  (Weeks 5-8)

  1. Jonathan Greenard – 0.66 Fantasy Points Per Snap
  2. T.J. Watt – 0.52 Fantasy Points Per Snap
  3. Josh Allen – 0.45 Fantasy Points Per Snap
  4. Markus Golden – 0.44 Fantasy Points Per Snap
  5. Shaq Barrett – 0.36 Fantasy Points Per Snap

Linebacker

Things to Know

  • Three sets of teammates (Colts, Falcons, and Seahawks) are both top 12 in tackles
  • Nick Bolton (LB19) and Micah Parsons (LB27) are the only rookies in the top 36
  • David Long has averaged 22.25 FPPG from week 5 to week 8
  • Harold Landry ( DL2, LB7) and T.J. Watt (DL3, LB8) are the only two players top 12 at both positions
  • 18 LBs have 130 fantasy points or more through 8 weeks (average of 16.25 FPPG)

Biggest Surprise 

Consistency of Sack Dependent LBs

Harold Landry DL, LB Tennessee Titans

Harold Landry has been very efficient for IDP managers this season. Landry has at least a half-sack in every single game this season except week 2. The Titans pass rusher has 8.5 sacks over the first eight games of the season. Harold Landry is having his best statistical season and is on pace for his first career 300 fantasy point season.

T.J. Watt DL, LB Pittsburgh Steelers

It’s finally time the NFL awards T.J. Watt his first and well-deserved Defensive Player of the Year. The former Wisconsin Badger has only played six games this season, registering 8.5 sacks in those games. He’s on pace for a third straight double-digit sack campaign. Watt has been brilliant getting after opposing quarterbacks and will reward dynasty managers with his third straight 300+ point season.

Haason Reddick DL, LB Carolina Panthers 

Haason Reddick has been one of the most underrated free-agent signings this off-season. This season, the Carolina Panthers have 21 sacks, with Reddick accounting for 7.5 of those. He currently has produced 35.71% of the Panthers sacks this season and continues to be a value for IDP managers. The best thing for his value would be if Carolina worked out an extension for him but for now, dynasty managers should just enjoy this consistent production from him.

Matt Judon DL, LB New England Patriots 

Matt Judon is another free agent signing that has paid off big for the New England Patriots defense and IDP managers. Judon has 8 sacks and a fumble recovery through eight games. He has finished with double-digit points in seven of eight games and is on pace to set career highs in tackles, sacks, and fumble recoveries. Dynasty managers who acquired Judon this season have to be thrilled with his production on their contending teams.

Instant Impact Rookies 

Nick Bolton LB Kansas City Chiefs

Nick Bolton has been a tackling machine ever since his high school days, so it’s no surprise that they make up 99.25% of his fantasy production. Bolton is a 21-year-old rookie with 71 tackles, including 48 fantasy points on 26 tackles in Weeks 7 and 8. The Chiefs defensive system does not reward linebackers with snaps. It’s a very matchup-based defense. The Missouri LB has earned his snaps, and although the opportunities aren’t as guaranteed as some of the other linebackers around the league, he has made the most of them. For all the problems the Chiefs defense has this season., Bolton has been a bright spot and should give IDP managers hope for this season and beyond.

Micah Parsons LB Dallas Cowboys 

Micah Parsons would be the prototype if you wanted to build the perfect LB to match up with today’s NFL offenses. The Penn State LB has been as good as advertised. Any cause for concern after sitting out a year was put to rest over the first half of the season. Parsons has averaged 16.8 fantasy points per game over his first seven games and looks to be on the fast track to a long career as a dynasty LB1. The Dallas LB has 42 tackles and 2.5 sacks as a rookie and is all over the field anytime you watch the Cowboys play. The importance of having young, high-scoring defenders can be the difference down the stretch in any given year. Players like this can be the difference between a dynasty championship or a runner-up finish.

Biggest Disappointment

Patrick Queen LB Baltimore Ravens 

The injuries that the Baltimore Ravens have dealt with this season have been difficult to overcome. Second-year LB Patrick Queen has started the 2021 season with a sophomore slump scoring 80 points on 302 snaps this season. Queen has dealt with a thigh issue over the past few games, but his scoring output hasn’t been good enough to justify being drafted as a potential LB1 in dynasty leagues. The Ravens LB has only recorded one game of 10 points or more since Week 4 and hasn’t recorded an impact play since week 1. The limited depth for the Ravens at LB should give Queen a much higher tackle floor, but unfortunately, that hasn’t been the case. There’s hope for him to turn it around, he is averaging over 5 tackles per game, but the impact plays have been lacking. Queen had 8 impact plays as a rookie compared to just 1 halfway through his second season.Β 

Buy Low 

Matt Milano LB Buffalo Bills

Credit: buffalobills.com

The Buffalo Bills LB has returned from an injury that has kept him limited for most of last season and early this season. Milano had back-to-back 200+ point fantasy seasons in 2018 and 2019. The former Boston College Eagle only appeared in 10 games last season but did manage to set a new career-high in sacks with 3.5. Matt Milano’s tackle upside is limited due to playing with Tremaine Edmunds, who has had 100+ tackles in each of the last three seasons. Milano’s value as an IDP is mostly because of his impact plays. Dynasty managers with needed help at LB could find a great buy-low opportunity in Milano, who hasn’t had many big games this season. If he returns to 2019 form, it could be a step towards winning an IDP dynasty fantasy football championship.

Sell High 

Jordan Hicks LB Arizona Cardinals 

This only applies to those middling teams or non-contending teams. As a contender, if you have Jordan Hicks, you are likely riding this production out. As a proactive dynasty manager looking to the future, now is the perfect time to sell the Cardinals LB. Jordan Hicks has been reliable and consistent since joining the Cardinals. That’s all managers could ask for. Hicks has eclipsed over 700 fantasy points in the last three seasons, although the writing is on the wall for him with preseason rumors of a trade and the drafting of Tulsa’s Zaven Collins.

Jordan Hicks has managed to keep his starting role and keeps filling up the stat sheet. Dynasty managers who can afford to move the veteran LB should be looking to do so. A season ago, we saw rookie Isaiah Simmons sit for most of the season only to come back in his second season and be a reliable fantasy producer. If history repeats itself, we will be looking at a linebacker combo of Isaiah Simmons and Zaven Collins next season. Jordan Hicks will be 30 years old next season but still holds enough value to gain draft capital or an upside player in return if you decide to move him.

Long Term Value Buys

Ernest Jones LB Los Angeles Rams 

It’s the next man up at LB for the Los Angeles Rams. Although it took almost eight weeks, Ernest Jones is here. This season, the rookie LB from South Carolina has 49.9 fantasy points despite only playing 45 snaps over the first seven games. After the Rams dealt LB Kenny Young to the Denver Broncos, the opportunity for Jones opened up. Jones rewarded patient dynasty managers in his first start scoring 33.90 fantasy points on 54 snaps.

The Rams linebacker’s position should continue to rack up tackles, especially with the Rams adding another great pass rusher in Von Miller. Ernest Jones should find himself with many chances to prove he is worthy of the role as the team’s starting LB. Jones is an LB on a talented defense that dynasty managers should be looking to acquire for his potential. He may not step right in to produce big numbers as he did in Week 8 but he’s a dynasty asset who should only increase in value.

Underperforming Stud to Sell 

Shaq Thompson LB Carolina Panthers 

Shaq Thompson is coming off back-to-back 109+ tackle seasons while scoring 200 fantasy points or more in each of those seasons. In the last six seasons, Thompson has only played 16 games once, and despite his impact on the field, his injury history should worry dynasty managers. Thompson has already missed three games this season with a late-season bye week, so at best, he will miss four games at the very least. Over the past few years, Thompson has been a value in startup drafts who has LB1 upside at the price of a low-end LB2. It’s unlikely that the Panthers’ LB will become more reliable as he ages. Teams trying to gain extra draft capital can move on from Thomson and acquire a few later rookie picks that can potentially turn into another upside LB in rookie drafts.

LB Risers DynastyGM IDP Rankings 

Matt Milano LB Buffalo Bills

Was LB31

Now LB27

De’Vondre Campbell LB Green Bay Packers

Was LB24

Now LB19

Haason Reddick LB Carolina Panthers

Was LB52

Now LB33

LB Fallers DynastyGM IDP Rankings 

Jaylon Smith LB Free Agent

Was LB34

Now LB53

Justin Strnad LB Denver Broncos

Was LB42

Now LB52

Patrick Queen LB Baltimore Ravens 

Was LB11

Now LB17

Most 20 point games from LBs this season 

  1. Eric Kendricks – 6
  2. De’Vondre Campbell – 5
  3. Logan Wilson – 5
  4. Deion Jones – 4
  5. Foyesade Oluokun – 4

Defensive Back

Things to Know

  • Three of the top seven DBs are CB (Kenny Moore, Trevon Diggs, and Jalen Ramsey)
  • Jamal Adams leads all DBs in snaps played. DB28 on the season.
  • Derwin James is Back! (1st in tackles, T-1st in sacks, and T-2nd in FF among all DBs)
  • Jamal Adams is the only DB in the top 30 without a sack, INT, FF, or FR.
  • Jalen Ramsey, Harrison Smith, and Logan Ryan the only top 12 DBs with 10+ points in every game.

Biggest Surprise 

Jalen Ramsey DB Los Angeles Rams

Credit: ramswire.usatoday.com

It’s not often that the best cover players in the NFL translate to good for IDP leagues. Jalen Ramsey has benefited from the Rams, allowing him to play the ‘star’ position. Ramsey is on pace to set career highs in tackles, forced fumbles, and interceptions this season. He averages over 5 tackles a game this season and is all over the field for the NFC West division-leading Rams. Ramsey’s 125.5 fantasy points are his most since 2018. He’s one of only three DBs with 10+ points in every game this season. It’s nice to see one of the game’s best defensive backs producing high-level fantasy numbers.

Biggest Disappointment

John Johnson III DB Cleveland Browns 

John Johnson has struggled to start the 2021 season with the Cleveland Browns. Johnson has only managed two double-digit performances in the first eight games. In his last two seasons, where he played 16 games, the former Rams safety was able to post 100+ tackles and 200+ fantasy points. Through eight games, Johnson is averaging just 3.3 tackles per game and looks to be an impact play-dependent safety in this Brown’s defensive scheme. The Browns’ safety is still starting across many IDP leagues based on name value, but frankly, he is a wasted start more weeks than not. There’s still hope for Johnson at just 25 years old, but things will have to change for the better in hopes he can return to his usage when he was with Los Angeles.

Buy Low 

Nasir Adderly DB Los Angeles Chargers

Nasir Adderly is known mainly as the guy who plays with Derwin James. Adderly has been on my radar early in the season, and he’s been a sneaky waiver wire add. The Chargers’ safety is coming off five straight double-digit fantasy games. He’s posted 48 tackles and a fumble recovery this season. This is a case where Adderly is still likely on many waiver wires or can be had for late rookie picks. Players like Adderly have rewarded dynasty managers that tend to spot start and stream DBs. These players are often looked at as throw-in players in a much bigger deal but can be a vital piece to a potential playoff team.

Sell High 

Aging Vets

Kareem Jackson DB Denver Broncos 

Now don’t get me wrong, I know there’s not much of a market out there for 33-year-old DBs in dynasty fantasy football. As a rebuilding dynasty team, you’re doing yourself a disservice by not at least shopping around your older players. There’s a difference between giving players away and doing everything you can to make your team better. Even if it’s the last pick in a rookie draft, you can still improve your team by getting rid of those fantasy points that can win you games that you don’t want to. Kareem Jackson has averaged 14.25 fantasy points per game over his last four games. He can help any team pushing to make noise in the playoffs. Dynasty managers might have to undersell but getting something out of a player who isn’t helping your non-playoff team is ultimately a win.

Malcolm Jenkins DB New Orleans Saints 

Malcolm Jenkins falls into the same category as above. Jenkins has been so consistent for so long for IDP managers, but if you have him on a team that looks like it’s not making the playoffs, the time to sell is now. If he stays healthy, Jenkins will register his eight straight 200+ point fantasy season, and his name will be right up there as a top 12 DB which it’s been for the past decade. Dynasty managers might need to put on a cheesy suit and freshen up on their salesman pitch, but they can most definitely talk a contending team into trading for one of these aging defensive backs.

Long Term Value Buy

Richie Grant DB Atlanta Falcons 

The consensus opinion throughout the dynasty community is that it’s much cheaper to buy rookies in year two. While that is mostly true, there’s no better time than the present. Richie Grant was regarded as the DB1 in this class by many, myself included, but he has struggled to see the field as a rookie. Grant has played just 95 snaps this season in just four games of action. If you can find a dynasty owner who is hesitant about holding a player on their roster who is a not-startable weekly player, shoot them an offer to acquire the young DB. We have seen rookies come on late in the season time and time again once they become more comfortable in the system and earn the coaches’ trust. When acquiring low-performing IDPs, I find it a best practice to target another player and see if you can get the actual player you want as a ‘throw in’ for extra rookie picks. This strategy could pay off big time in the long run, and if it doesn’t, the risk was worth the potential reward.

Underperforming Stud to Sell 

Chuck Clark DB Baltimore Ravens 

Chuck Clark was a waiver wire hero over the past few seasons for IDP manager. Clark has played 16 games in each of his last two seasons, improving his tackle numbers and fantasy points in each season. The 2021 season has been largely inconsistent for Clark. His 30 point game in Week 3 has accounted for 35.71% of his total fantasy points on the season. At this point, you’ll likely need another 20 point performance to get your league mates interested again, but a sell-high window should open up for the Ravens’ DB before your trade deadline passes. Stay active in your leagues and look to be making small moves like this to improve your team. I can’t preach that enough.

DB Risers DynastyGM IDP Rankings 

Caden Sterns DB Denver Broncos

Was DB64

Now DB38

Elijah Molden DB Tennessee Titans

DB72

DB35

Kyle Dugger DB New England Patriots

Was DB15

Now DB12

DB Fallers DynastyGM IDP Rankings 

Trevon Moehrig DB Las Vegas Raiders

Was DB14

Now DB24

Richie Grant DB Atlanta Falcons

Was DB33

Now DBB39

Terrell Edmunds DB Pittsburgh Steelers

Was DB24

Now DB36

DB Impact Play Standouts this season 

  1. Trevon Diggs ( 7 INT)
  2. Kevin Byard ( 4 INT, 1 FF, 1 FR)
  3. Derwin James (2 Sacks, 3 FF, 1 INT)
  4. Xavier Woods (1 sack, 3 FF, 2 INT)
  5. Josh Norman (4 FF, 1 INT)

The Wrap-Up

Thank you for taking the time to read through the IDP quarterly report. These are very fun and informative for me to write. When I was playing IDP in the early years, I wished there was something like this to help me improve as a dynasty player. That’s what inspired me to write this. I wish you guys nothing but luck for the rest of the season, and I look forward to checking in with you guys in a few weeks for the third installment of the quarterly report. Until then, keep building those dynasty rosters and chasing that next championship.

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