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Fantasy Forecast: 2021 Jacksonville Jaguars

Dynasty Nerds is covering all 32 teams fantasy outlook for 2021 and beyond. Today @WooLee_FFB takes a look at the Jaguars offense.

The Jacksonville Jaguars 2020 season was widely predictably bad. Finishing the season with a 1-15 record, it is safe to say that the Jaguars tanked last year to obtain the #1 pick in the 2021 draft. Though the Jaguars were undoubtedly terrible this past season, there is a lot to be optimistic about the Jaguars heading into the 2021 season. James Robinson proved that he is a capable workhorse running back by finishing with 1,070 yards on 240 attempts. Wide Receivers Laviska Shenault and DJ Chark showed flashes of potential throughout the 2020 season.

Heading into the 2021 season, the Jaguars hired one of the most decorated head coaches in Urban Meyers. The Jaguars hope that Urban Meyer can bring a level of competitiveness and winning that he brought to Ohio State. The Jaguars drafted two elite offensive players in the first round of the 2021 NFL draft in Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne. Offensive tackle Walker Little was added in the third round while also adding TE Luke Ferrell in the fifth round and WR Jalen Camp in the sixth. There is a lot of optimism in the Jacksonville Jaguars for dynasty fantasy football managers. With a franchise quarterback, solid offensive line, and weapons full of potential, the Jacksonville Jaguars may be a team many dynasty managers should look to have a share in.

Quarterback

Trevor Lawrence

provided by wkrg.com

In 2020, Lawrence finished with 3,153 passing yards on 334 attempts while also scoring 24 touchdowns to 5 interceptions. Trevor Lawrence also finished with a player efficiency rating of 169.2. Lawrence was nothing but spectacular for Clemson, and now he looks to turn around a troubled franchise in the Jacksonville Jaguars. There was no doubt that the Jacksonville Jaguars were going to use their #1 overall pick on Trevor Lawrence. Having been hailed as the QB1 of the 2021 NFL draft for almost a year and a half, the Jaguars are putting their faith in Lawrence to lead the troubled franchise into the future.

For fantasy, Lawrence’s value was not impacted that much from the draft because he was already considered the top rookie QB coming into rookie drafts. He should still be the consensus first pick for all SuperFlex dynasty fantasy football leagues and should still be drafted within the late 1st rounds of any 1QB dynasty leagues. Though the transition from college to the NFL will be an adjustment for both Urban Meyer and Trevor Lawrence, the Jaguars seemed to have set Lawrence up to succeed in his rookie year. Trevor Lawrence is in a great situation with the Jaguars, and dynasty managers should confidently start Lawrence every week in his rookie year. With the combination of weapons and a solid offensive line, Trevor Lawrence can safely be considered a solid QB1 play in 2021.

Gardner Minshew

Minshew had an odd season last year. Minshew went down with an injury but then got benched. Nobody quite knows what the situation was with Minshew and the Jaguars, but it was clear that the Jaguars did not have plans to keep Minshew as their franchise QB. Minshew threw for 2,259 passing yards with 16 TDs and 5 INTs. It is important to note that Minshew only played nine games in 2020, so Minshew still had a solid year with the Jaguars. In the 2021 NFL draft, the Jaguars selected Trevor Lawrence with their #1 overall pick. With Lawrence set to be the franchise QB going forward, Minshew is now a backup and an afterthought.

Minshew has lost most of his value in fantasy and is now just considered a backup to Lawrence. There is a chance that Minshew may get traded to a different team, but the chances of him receiving the opportunities to prove himself again are slim. In SF leagues, dynasty managers should hold onto him to see if the best-case scenario of him getting traded to a QB needy team or if Lawrence gets injured. Other than that, Minshew is a bench stash or best left on waiver wires.

Running Back

Travis Etienne

provided by bleacherreport.com

The Jaguars selected Travis Etienne with the 25th pick in the 2021 NFL draft. This was a widely unpopular pick mainly due to the emergence of James Robinson in 2020. Many wanted to see the Jaguars select a high potential defensive player or linemen, but the Jaguars have selected the consensus #2 running back behind Najee Harris. The Clemson running back did not have one of his best years in 2020 but still managed to rack up 1,502 total scrimmage yards. The most important takeaway from his 2020 season is that Etienne improved dramatically in the passing attack for the Clemson Tigers. He was able to produce 588 receiving yards on 48 receptions. Though he didn’t quite break the 1,000 rushing yards, he got pretty close with 914 yards on 168 attempts.

Travis Etienne’s landing spot with the Jaguars isn’t the result many dynasty managers wanted to see. Though Etienne has a chance to be the starting running back for the Jaguars this year, James Robinson should still take away some carries. Though this landing spot isn’t the most ideal, it isn’t the worst landing spot. Etienne has a chance to thrive in the Jaguar’s offense. Though Robinson is coming off a great rookie year, expect Etienne to start taking over the lead running back role in this offense. Etienne is a RB3 to a potential RB2 in 2021. In the years after 2021, Etienne has a shot of being an RB1 and has tremendous upside if given a workhorse type of opportunity at any point.

James Robinson

provided by blackandteal.com

James Robinson had a great rookie year in 2020. Getting the opportunities as the lead running back role when Devine Ozigbo and Ryquell Armstead went down because of injuries and COVID. He took advantage of his opportunities and finished with 1,070 yards on 240 attempts. Robinson was everything the Jaguars could have asked for, and he handled the workhorse RB role for the Jaguars.

In the 2021 NFL draft, the Jaguars selected Travis Etienne with the 25th overall pick. This immediately put Robinson in a situation for snap competition. Though Robinson is the more proven RB, Etienne having that 1st round draft capital suggests that the Jaguars will move on from Robinson sooner than later. The Jaguars also added Carlos Hyde in the offseason, and Urban Meyer also hinted that Hyde would also be a factor in the Jaguars’ offense. All signs suggest that Robinson will not retain the workload he had in 2020 and should be in a timeshare situation.

For dynasty managers, the addition of Etienne is a disaster for many that found the hidden gem in James Robinson on the waiver wire in the 2020 season. Though Robinson should retain a healthy workload for the moment, it is only a matter of time before Robinson starts to give up snap shares to Etienne. In 2021, Robinson should be a healthy flex to a potential RB3 play. Looking past 2021, dynasty managers are hoping Robinson gets traded to a different team with more opportunities. Dynasty managers should hold and see what happens with Robinson because he has proven he is talented, and there is still a realistic chance that he could obtain most of the workload in 2021.

Wide Receivers

DJ Chark Jr.

provided by Jacksonville.com

DJ Chark broke out his second year with the Jacksonville Jaguars by posting 1,008 receiving yards on 73 receptions (118 targets). With the emergence of Gardner Minshew, DJ Chark easily led all Jaguars’ receivers in yards, receptions, and touchdowns. Chark regressed from his great 2nd year. This was mainly due to the poor quarterback situation in 2020. DJ Chark finished with 706 yards on 53 receptions (93 Targets) in 2020. The Jaguars have improved their QB situation in the 2021 NFL draft by selecting Trevor Lawrence with the #1 overall pick. With a talented young QB in Lawrence at the helm for the Jaguars, DJ Chark is primed for a huge bounce-back year in 2021.

DJ Chark has the potential to get back into the WR1 discussion again this upcoming season in fantasy. Though nothing is certain with a completely new coach and quarterback, Chark will undoubtedly be the WR1 on the depth chart to start the season. Chark has tremendous upside in this new offense, but he also has a lower floor than Shenault. Chark has shown in the past that he can perform as the #1 WR for the Jaguars, but he has not performed consistently. DJ Chark is currently ranked as the WR31 in the Dynasty Nerds rankings. With someone with a WR1 upside and going so late in many dynasty drafts, DJ Chark should be on the radar for all dynasty league managers.

Laviska Shenault Jr.

provided by ralphiereport.com

Laviska Shenault was a rookie last year out of Colorado. Though Shenault did not produce at a high level in 2020, he showed flashes of potential. Shenault was mainly used as a gadget player to start for the Jaguars but proved himself that he could be an effective NFL receiver. Shenault spent the entire 2020 playing second fiddle to DJ Chark. Just like how Chark was impacted by mediocre QB play, Shenault had the same problem. Shenault finished the 2020 season with 600 receiving yards on 58 receptions (79 targets). Shenault had a modest rookie season, but it was encouraging to see Shenault be an intracule part of the offense.

Though the situation going into the 2021 season will be different due to the change in head coach and starting QB, Shenault is still projected to improve in his second year. An upgrade at QB and a still questionable defense should push the game script to set up more passing plays. Shenault does have the upside to produce WR2 numbers in 2021. Though DJ Chark could cap his ceiling, Shenault has a safer floor than Chark. With Shenault possibly operating at the slot role in 2021, he should have a healthy target share in this rising offense.

Marvin Jones Jr

provided by freep.com

The Jacksonville Jaguars acquired Marvin Jones in free agency this offseason to provide that veteran leadership to its young WR core. Though Jones’ age could mean regression from him, he still proved that he still has something left in the tank. In his 9th season in 2020, Jones produced 978 yards on 76 receptions (115 targets). He had a solid year for the Lions in 2020, and now he hopes to help this young Jaguars team develop into better weapons in the NFL.

Marvin Jones should be considered a sleeper in 2021. With both Chark and Shenault set to improve this upcoming season, it can be hard to see how Marvin Jones can find his way to fantasy success. Though Marvin Jones may be the 3rd option for this WR group, I expect him to line up across DJ Chark to start the season. Marvin Jones can still be a great deep ball option which is why he may be able to provide flex to WR3 numbers in the 2021 season.

In addition, Jones can instantly be pushed into the WR2 category should anything happen to Shenault or DJ Chark. Marvin Jones is currently going as the WR73 on Dynasty Nerds. He should be an excellent late-round target to any dynasty roster looking to fill their bench with older producing receivers. Marvin Jones may not be a league winner, but he can be a week saver as a bye week fill-in.

Tight Ends

The Jacksonville Jaguars have one the worst TE groups in the league. The Jaguars did draft a TE in Luke Farrell out of Ohio State in the 5th round of the 2021 NFL draft, but he doesn’t seem like he will be the answer to the Jaguars’ scarcity of quality TEs. The Jaguars resigned James O’Shaughnessy in the offseason, but he seems to have more of a blocking role than a receiving role. This tight end group has nothing to be desired for, but there is still one name that should be on everybody’s radar.

Tim Tebow

provided by jagswire.usatoday.com

The former Broncos QB Tim Tebow has agreed to convert into a tight end for the 2021 season. Tebow signed a 1-year deal with the Jaguars and should be expected to make the 53-man roster. Though Tebow could be there strictly to set the culture of the team, it does raise some questions on how much he will exactly be involved in the offense. Taysom Hill on the Saints had a similar role as a gadget type of player, which did lead to success on some plays, and it could very well be the same for Tebow on the Jaguars. Tebow has played for Urban Meyers at Florida in college, so he should have a good idea of what kind of system Urban wants to run in Jacksonville.

In fantasy, Tebow is a deep sleeper for teams looking to throw a dart at a TE in the late to the end of drafts. It is entirely possible that Tebow will never play in 2021, but the intrigue of his role on this offense should warrant a stash on your bench. The lack of competition at the TE position can lead a path to relevancy for Tebow. Tebow is a long shot away from being fantasy-relevant but is a great deep late-round dart throw in start-up drafts and waiver wires.

Conclusion

The 2021 Jacksonville Jaguars are a rising team. There are a lot of young, high upside players on the Jaguars. With big improvements on offense for the Jaguars, it could be one of the better fantasy offenses in 2021 and beyond. Just like how the Miami Dolphins came back to fantasy relevance in 2020, the Jaguars have several potential fantasy goldmines in 2021. With the quality of talent on the offensive side of the ball, this offense could be great for fantasy in the upcoming years.

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