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From Dynasty to DFS Week 4

With almost a quarter of the way through the season @Dynastymad brings us picks based on our early data sets.

Another week, another attempt for you to become a millionaire. As the dynasty landscape changes so often, so does the price tags of these players. This week I’m taking another contrarian look to climb those millionaire leaderboards. Let us get to that millionaire lineup!

Nerdy DFS QB: Kyler Murray

Fanduel: $8,200

Draftkings: $7,800

Murray has been on an MVP caliber tear, throwing for a touchdown on 6.8% of his pass attempts while completing over 75% of his pass attempts. The matchup on paper might scare people with Jalen Ramsey shadowing Hopkins but rest assured, I expect Murray to continue his dominance. The Rams gave up over 400 yards a week ago and have given up over 7 yards per carry against Carson Wentz and Andy Dalton this season. Look for Murray to take advantage of his legs for a couple of scores while passing for a score or two. Murray is turning into a top 3 Superflex startup pick for dynasty as he’s on pace to capture his first MVP this season.

Nerdy DFS RB1: D’Andre Swift

Photo from AP News.

Fanduel: $7,700

Draftkings: $6,200

This week Taylor is the popular option for many, but I’d rather continue to ride the target share of Swift. This week Matt Campbell said he was going to increase the workload of his second year running back. Already averaging 11 carries, 7 catches, and 96 all-purpose yards per game, Swift is in a good spot to continue his brilliance. As for dynasty, he’s easily turning into a first-round startup investment this offseason.

Nerdy DFS RB2: Miles Sanders

(AP Photo/Chris Szagola)

Fanduel: $6,500

Draftkings: $6,400

It’s easy to see all the issues surrounding this team coming off of last week. Seeing only a couple of carries last week, many are left scratching their head at why he would be my starter this week. After the game, it was evident Sirianni regretted not getting his ball carriers more involved. I look for him to overcorrect this issue in this one. Look for them to try and keep Mahomes off the field. It’s easy to do this against a team giving up over 160 yards on the ground every week. Look for Sanders to get going this week while others are fading him. As for dynasty, I’m still not a believer in the talent and am staying away.

Nerdy DFS WR1: Stefon Diggs

Photo from Syracuse.com

Fanduel: $8,000

Draftkings: $7,600

It is almost weekly that Diggs is on my list as he accounts for 26% of Buffalo’s targets. The opportunity is there for Diggs. A matchup with the Texans looks like the spot for him to post 2020 like numbers. The Diggs owner may be worried about the lack of dominance so far. If that’s the case, now might be the time to see what the price is!

Nerdy DFS WR2: Rondale Moore

Photo courtesy draftkingsnation

Fanduel: $5,300

Draftkings: $4,600

With Hopkins set to square off against Ramsey, it’s easy for me to fade him this week. I’ve locked in Rondale Moore this week. After a mediocre start in Week 1, Moore has commanded almost a 20% target share in the offense. Averaging 300 yards per game this season, the opportunity is here for Moore. His low price and a likely increased target share this week make him my stack target. As for a dynasty perspective, he’s certainly returning on his second-round investment and is a solid hold.

Nerdy DFS WR3: Tyreek Hill

Photo from Fansided

Fanduel: $8,200

Draftkings: $8,000

After a couple of mediocre weeks, Hill is an easy option in a game the Chiefs will look to get back on track. Tied with Kelce in terms of target share, Hill is the player I have my eyes on to rebound this week with a light matchup against the Eagles. While I believe this game will be close, Hill only needs one or two big plays to hit his return on investment.

Draftkings Pivot: Mecole Hardman

DK Salary: $4,400

While obviously, we want Tyreek in this spot, at this price, he’s an easy candidate to return solid numbers with just one play. The Eagles are an easy team to target, and Hardman’s speed will always make him an option in this offense until Gordon becomes a factor. If Hardman does blow up this week, it would be a solid sell-high scenario.

Nerdy DFS TE: Anthony Firkser

(Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Fanduel: $4,500

Draftkings: $3,100

Not the sexiest name, but with Julio Jones and A.J. Brown out this week, Firkser will see a bump in targets. Returning from injury this week, with a full week of practice, Firkser will likely be low in ownership and only needs a score to return on his price. The opportunity is there as the Titans will likely have to utilize play action to keep the Jets honest.

Nerdy DFS FLEX: Najee Harris

AL.com

Fanduel: $8,200

Draftkings: $6,800

Jonathon Taylor and Derrick Henry are the popular plays this week, and this build avoids them. Consider that the Packers are giving up over 100 yards on the ground this season while also giving up two or more catches to the position. I expect Harris to be heavily utilized this game to keep Rodgers off the field and possibly pull off the upset. While the industry believes Big Ben is done, I think the Steelers eke out a close win grinding it out with their talented rookie.

Nerdy DFS Defense: New York Giants

Pintrest.com

Fanduel: $3,400

Draftkings: $2,900

Easily one of the least dependable defenses and clearly using them to stay under budget, the Giants offer the possibility of scoring to return their value this week. Playing against Jameis, he is always a candidate to turn the ball over and take unnecessary chances. Not my favorite defense this week, but it makes a lot of sense in this build.

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