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Landing Spot Lottery – Wide Receivers

Mock drafts keep popping up all over the dynasty landscape. Let’s take a look at one and analyze the landing spots predicted for wide receivers in the 2021 class.

The NFL draft is just about three weeks away and the mock drafts are flying around the dynasty community. Owners are excited to find out where these prospects we have evaluated and watched in college for years will be playing at the pro level.

Lines.com recently uploaded a full 7 round mock draft. Let’s take a look at the highlights from the WR group from this mock draft and decide if these were the true landing spots for these players if we should be excited, disappointed, or indifferent.

Ja’Marr Chase – Miami Dolphins (Pick 6)

The top receiver to go in the draft is unsurprisingly the 21-year old Chase out of LSU. As far as Chase’s profile, he is everything you’d be looking for in build and college production when taking a WR this early in the draft

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

Landing in Miami is a fantastic spot for Chase. Miami’s leading receiver in 2020 was DeVante Parker, who only totaled 793 receiving yards in 14 games. Their next two highest receivers weren’t even wide receivers: tight end Mike Gesicki (703 yards) and running back Myles Gaskin (388 yards).

Miami desperate for a true WR1 after Parker has had ups and downs since coming into the league. Chase would be entering the league with a young, talented QB in Tua Tagovailoa and a Miami Dolphins team that finished the year 10-6 last year. Miami also has another first-round pick after the pick that was used on Chase, two seconds, and a third in 2021. This is a team ready to become a young contender and Chase would be a fantastic addition to the equation.

This is a dream landing spot if you are looking to add Chase to your dynasty teams. It is borderline criminal how good of a spot this is for him.

Devonta Smith – Philadelphia Eagles (Pick 12)

Personally, I am a little skeptical that the “Slim Reaper” is a receiver that can dominate at the next level due to his thin frame and build. Even worse, I am not crazy about this landing spot.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

Philadelphia needs help at receiver. DeVonta Smith should get plenty of opportunity and playing time. Philadelphia is in a tough position as far as the quarterback goes. Jalen Hurts is their starter and showed some sparks in 2020. I’m not sure he is the long-term solution in Philly. The Eagles seem to be riding it out with Hurts after trading Carson Wentz to Indianapolis and trading back to 12 in the first round.

While Devonta is a smooth and effective route runner, I’m not sold that Hurts will be the right guy to accurately find him downfield. The Eagles seem to be a number of pieces away from being a quality offense. Smith could help, he could just as easily struggle in the City of Brotherly Love.

Overall, I don’t think this landing spot hurts the Smith stock, but it doesn’t help it either. If you were already high or low on him, your perception likely wouldn’t change.

Jaylen Waddle – Los Angeles Chargers (Pick 13)

Two Alabama receivers go off the board two picks in a row in this mock draft. The latter gets a much better landing spot. Jaylen Waddle landing in Los Angeles to be Justin Herbert’s slot receiver with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams on the edges is a fantastic match.

We don’t have an official 40 time for Waddle. He is thought to be somewhere around a 4.37 40-yard dash runner based on when he was recruited to Alabama. Waddle showed his speed and burst throughout his time with the Crimson Tide, with the potential to break games open any time he touched the ball.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

Justin Herbert had one of the best rookie campaigns a QB ever. Waddle can plug right into the slot where defenses will struggle keeping him contained while also having to manage the likes of Allen and Williams. Sometimes a player can get drafted to a team with a lot of talent already there and it is discouraging as there is only one ball to go around. This, on the other hand, is a perfect match and a place where Waddle could really excel.

Elijah Moore – Tennessee Titans (Pick 22)

Elijah Moore is shooting up mock draft boards the closer we get to the big day of the NFL draft. He lands on a team that has a vacancy to fill with the departure of another first-round receiver this offseason.

Corey Davis didn’t quite pan out the way the Titans would have hoped after they selected him with the fifth overall pick in 2017. Davis still posted 2,851 yards and 11 TDs in four seasons in Tennessee.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

Enter Moore who has a skill set that blends a little nicer with the Titans true WR1, A.J. Brown.

As mentioned in his Dynasty Nerds rookie profile, Moore has exceptional hands and is great after the catch. While Brown will maintain the top billing on the outside, a speedy and creative receiver like Moore fits in great with the Titans and has a chance to extend defenses and make things tough on his opponents.

With the resurgence of Ryan Tannehill the last few seasons and a young, complimentary top receiver in Brown that would take most of the focus from the secondary, Tennessee is a great landing spot for Moore to succeed at the next level.

Kadarius Toney – Kansas City Chiefs (Pick 31)

This has to be the most interesting landing spot of any of the receivers in this Lists mock draft.

Kadarius Toney is a polarizing prospect that possesses some of the best speed and burst in the entire NFL Draft, but needs the right landing spot to be considered a great value for dynasty owners.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

What better landing spot could there be than to have Patrick Mahomes throwing to you? At first glance, maybe nowhere. The Chiefs love to get playmakers involved in their offense. At Florida this past season, Toney showed that he is incredibly dangerous with the ball in his hands.

However, Toney has been marketed as a Tyreek Hill type of prospect and that role is already filled in Kansas City; by Tyreek Hill. There is no doubt that Toney landing in Kansas City would send him up draft boards from his current ADP. I am still skeptical that this would work out as a player every owner would want.

With Hill already in Kansas City along with Mecole Hardman who has a similar skill set of speed and elusiveness in the open field, Toney feels like a little bit of what the Chiefs already have. In fact, if Toney’s 4.38 40-time at his pro day is his top speed, he would only be the third-fastest receiver in Kansas City. Hill (4.34) and Hardman (4.33) both posted better 40-times when they entered the league.

There is no denying the intrigue of getting a rookie that is going into the Andy Reid/Mahomes offense. Still, I am skeptical that this is actually the best place toney could go.

Terrace Marshall – Detroit Lions (Pick 41)

If Terrace Marshall ends up as the top receiver added to the Detroit roster in this draft, I would be moving him up my draft board significantly before rookie drafts.

Detroit is a team that lost both Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones this offseason in free agency. The Lions brought in Tyrell Williams and Breshad Perriman to fill those roles. While Williams and Perriman are interesting fill-ins, they both would not be holding Marshall back from getting playing time.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

Marshall has the build of a prototypical WR1. Measuring 6’2″ and 205 pounds while running a 4.40 40-yard dash at his pro day. Marshall is one of the very few large-framed receiver prospects in this draft. Landing in a place that will give him an opportunity to play as the top receiver right away is about the best you could hope for if you are a day two pick like Marshall would be here.

While Jared Goff may not be as exciting a quarterback as Matthew Stafford was in Detroit, he is capable of finding his receivers and giving them chances to make plays on the field. Marshall is a prospect that is a bit landing spot dependent as far as dynasty goes. This is a match that any owner should be excited about.

Rashod Bateman – New England Patriots (Pick 46)

There is certainly a hole at WR that needs to be filled in Foxboro. I’m skeptical this is the place Rashod Bateman fans would love to see him go in the NFL draft.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

Bateman does have a good build and profile. New England is a place where wide receivers haven’t succeeded in quite some time, even though there have been MVP quarterbacks in Tom Brady and Cam Newton playing there. In fact, the Patriots have only had one 1,000 yard receiving season in the last three years (Julian Edelman, 2019).

I believe Bateman is one of the most exciting prospects in this draft. But with the offense that is ran in New England and a quarterback in Cam Newton who has looked anything but an accurate and effective passer the last two seasons, Bateman could struggle in the Northeast.

Also worrisome would be Bateman being passed on and taken as the seventh receiver in this class. There are many who think Bateman could be the third or fourth WR taken in rookie drafts this year. Slipping to the mid-second round after six other receivers would be surprising and definitely hurt his stock.

Rondale Moore – Chicago Bears (Pick 52)

Rondale Moore has a profile that is as enticing as it is worrisome. Many in the NFL and dynasty communities are confounded by what to do with this metric.

While Moore has shown he is lightning quick and dominated even as a freshman at Purdue. He also measures at only 5’7″ and 181 pounds.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

Of course, it is not like it is anything new that Moore isn’t tall. He has been one of the shortest players on the field since going to Purdue, yet he continued to dominate at the college level. And leave it to Moore himself to answer what you really should be concerned about in his profile.

And wouldn’t you know it, Lines has the team that has had multiple Zoom calls with Moore taking him in the second round: the Bears.

Matt Nagy’s offense has been anything but dynamic the last few seasons. One thing for sure is that Nagy wants to pass the ball as often as he can in his offense. For reference, the Bears finished 6th in the NFL in passing play percentage in 2020 at 62.27%.

And the slot receiver has been successful in Nagy’s scheme. With a dynamic playmaker like Moore in Chicago where Allen Robinson already puts up big numbers on the outside, the Bears could be looking to get Rondale involved a lot in their offense.

This would be a great fit for Moore. He is on a team that looks to pass much more than the league average. Nagy loves to use unique players with dynamic skillsets. I’d be buying Rondale as much as I could if he lands in Chicago.

Amon-Ra St. Brown – Green Bay Packers (Pick 62)

When one St. Brown fails, why not try another?

The Packers have refused to draft a WR with a high draft pick for years. Equanimeous St. Brown may not have panned out for the Packers. Still, his brother is just the thing Aaron Rodgers has been looking for to complement Davante Adams.

Amon-Ra has a strong profile, coming in at 5’11” and 197 pounds, which is actually one of the larger receivers in this class.

Credit: PlayerProfiler.com

While the 4.61 40 yard dash at his pro day isn’t going to jump off paper, St. Brown dominated from an early age at USC. As Kayne Rob noted in his Rookie Profile Amon-Ra has a knack for getting separation from his solid route running. And when you get drafted by a team with Aaron Rodgers as your quarterback, all you need is a little separation to end up with plenty of receptions.

Forget everything in Amon-Ra’s profile. If the Packers are drafting him in the second round, it is the highest they have taken a WR since Adams in 2014. An investment like that with a quarterback like Rodgers makes Amon-Ra instantly a player you can absolutely look at taking late in the first round of rookie drafts. This is a fantastic landing spot.

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