The football season goes by so fast. Fellow IDP nerds, welcome back to the Week 11 edition of man coverage. Last week we came in at 54% accuracy on our picks, bringing us to 62.88% on the season. The last few games before the fantasy playoffs are right around the corner, and it’s essential to make sure we are doing the most research we can to get the best players in our lineups. Let’s get started and see what Week 11 has in store for us.
Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills
Start – Micah Hyde, DB BUF
Over the past few seasons, Micah Hyde has been the forgotten man among the Buffalo Bills safeties. This season, he has been very good for IDP managers, scoring double-digit points in all but one game. His 83.3 overall grade, according to profootballfocus.com, is among the best in the AFC. The former Iowa safety averages 0.25 fantasy points per snap this season and has played over 500 snaps in 2021. The Colts offense has given up at least six tackles per game to starting safeties each of the last two weeks. Micah Hyde should continue his stellar play in week 11 as he continues his campaign to finish as a top 12 DB this season.
Baltimore Ravens @ Chicago Bears
Start – DeAndre Houston-Carson, DB CHI
Unfortunately, this season the Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens have very few options that aren’t plug-and-play starters. Chicago Bears DB DeAndre Houston-Carson has been solid over the past month with three straight games over 12 fantasy points. In his last three games, he’s averaging 19.5 fantasy points per game. The William & Mary product has played at least 54 snaps in each of his past three games, with two games over 70 snaps. In Week 10, the Baltimore Ravens allowed four of five leading tacklers to be defensive backs against the Dolphins. Houston-Carson has plenty of upside in this matchup if you’re looking for a waiver wire add at DB.
Detroit Lions @ Cleveland Browns
Sit – John Johnson III, DB CLE
John Johnson continues to disappoint dynasty IDP managers in 2021. Johnson has only three double-digit performances all season despite playing the most snaps (604) of any Browns defender. As the Cleveland defense gets healthier, especially at LB, the Browns DB will continue to see low tackle numbers. Johnson is averaging 3.3 tackles per game, and he’s on pace for less than 60 tackles this season which would be his lowest since the 2019 season when he only played six games. There are better options even on the waiver wire than Johnson, and IDP managers shouldn’t be starting him just on his name value.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Start – Jonathan Greenard, DL HOU
This season, the second-year pass rusher Jonathan Greenard has been the lone bright spot for the Houston Texans defense. Greenard started seeing significant snaps in Week 3; since that time, he has seven sacks and a forced fumble in just seven games. The Tennessee Titans have allowed the fourth-most sacks (29) this season. The former Florida Gator will like to improve his sack numbers after the bye week. Jonathan Greenard is making himself a household name among IDP managers this season.
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Sit – Darnell Savage, DB GBP
The Green Bay Packers’ secondary has been strong all season for dynasty managers. Predicting the most consistent performance among the defensive backs has been a challenging task. Darnell Savage is averaging 0.14 fantasy points per snap this season. He is tied for 25th in targets and interceptions among defensive backs this season. The former Maryland Terrapin has been a low-volume tackler, ranking 60th among DBs in solo tackles. Savage doesn’t offer enough impact plays over his first few seasons to warrant being a weekly starter.
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
Start – Jevon Holland, DB MIA
The Dolphins’ rookie DB has been electric this season. Many dynasty managers were concerned about his IDP production, with him playing a deep safety role. Frankly, it hasn’t mattered; he’s been all over the field. According to pro football focus, Holland is graded above average in run defense and coverage. Over the past six games, the Dolphins’ rookie has averaged 16 fantasy points per game and looks as good as advertised. Holland should be in your lineup until he has proven he can’t be trusted. I don’t see that happening as he is shining under Brian Flores.
New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sit – Derek Barnett, DL PHI
The past three weeks, Derek Barnett has been on fire, recording two sacks in those games. The Philadelphia Eagles pass-rusher is very boom or bust, and he has only recorded one double-digit performance in games he doesn’t have a sack. The Eagles’ rotation along their defensive line limits his upside as a weekly IDP starter. The Eagles will match up with the New Orleans Saints, who have only allowed 17 sacks this season, the ninth-best rate in the league. The Philadelphia Eagles rank 22nd in pressure % in the NFL, and the sack numbers are not sustainable.
Washington Football Team @ Carolina Panthers
Start – Kamren Curl, DB WFT
Kam Curl only recorded one double-digit performance in the first five games. Since Week 6, he has had four straight games with 11 fantasy points or more. The Washington DB averages 54.7 snaps per game and is averaging 0.20 fantasy points per snap. In Week 10, the Carolina Panthers gave up 14 tackles to the starting safeties for the Arizona Cardinals. Curl has been averaging 7.25 tackles per game over the last month. IDP managers should continue to ride the hot hand and have Kam Curl in their lineups this weekend.
San Francisco 49ers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sit – Dre Greenlaw, LB SF
Welcome back, Dre Greenlaw; IDP managers will be happy to see him back on the field for the first time since Week 1. Greenlaw had a pick-6 and 28.90 fantasy points on just 37 snaps during his only game this season. Azeez Al-Shaair has filled in nicely for Greenlaw, and it will be tough to keep him off the field even with his return from IR. Dynasty managers should let this one play out before feeling confident starting either of these guys going forward. There will be value in the second LB position in the bay area but predicting who that will be with both players healthy is anyone’s guess.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Las Vegas Raiders
Start – Brandon Facyson, DB LVR
The Las Vegas Raiders secondary has been a work in progress over the past few years. The Raiders have found themselves a player in CB Brandon Facyson, formerly of their division rival Los Angeles Chargers. Facyson has four straight double-digit performances while averaging 16.25 fantasy points per game since taking over a starting role. The Bengals offer a deep WR core and will likely test the Raiders’ secondary quite a bit after they gave up 400 yards and five touchdowns in week 10.
Dallas Cowboys @ Kansas City Chiefs
Sit – Leighton Vander Esch, LB DAL
We are now two weeks removed from Vander Esch’s outlier 12 tackle performance against the Denver Broncos. The bottom line is LVE is still rostered in nearly all IDP leagues, but he hasn’t been worthy of a start all season. The Dallas LB has just three games over 10+ points and averages less than five tackles per game this season. Micah Parsons is the only LB managers can trust in Dallas unless you are desperate for a bye week fill-in; LVE is not a good start.
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Start – Chandler Jones, DL ARZ
Chandler Jones will face one of his most familiar foes in Week 11, the division rival Seattle Seahawks. Jones has 13.5 sacks in nine career games against them. Seattle has allowed the fifth-most sacks (29) in the NFL, and the Arizona Cardinals defense was held without a sack last week despite ranking seventh in the NFL in sacks. Jones will have plenty of opportunities to get his hands on his old friend Russell Wilson in week 11. Seattle gave up three sacks a week ago to the Green Bay Packers.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers
Start – Kyzir White, LB LAC
White still appears to be the LB to have the most confidence in for IDP managers. He still shined with 12 tackles last week despite the return of former 2020 first-round pick Kenneth Murray. White is averaging 7.2 tackles per game and is on pace to record his first-ever 200+ point fantasy season. At this point, he’s a matchup-proof LB who should be in your starting lineups every week.
New York Giants @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Start – Tae Crowder, LB NYG
The New York Giants have gotten outstanding production from Crowder. He has registered ten fantasy points or more in seven straight games while averaging 7.4 tackles per game. The second-year player from Georgia has been a pleasant surprise for IDP managers, and he’s delivered every week after the loss of Blake Martinez. Crowder is the LB44 on the season. If he can increase his impact plays, he will find himself as an LB3 or LB2 by the season’s end.
Thanks for taking the time to read this week’s start and sit recommendations. As always, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter for anything dynasty fantasy football-related. As the end of the season nears, we will have more and more IDP content to keep you covered. Make sure you check out all the fantastic content at Dynasty Nerds and subscribe to the YouTube channel to stay ahead of your league mates no matter what type of league you are playing in. Good luck this week Nerds, keep chasing those dynasty championships.