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Opposing views: Is Allen Robinson a top 15 dynasty WR?

In this series we will take two Dynasty Nerds writers and pit them up against one another concerning certain players or topics. In this specific article Mychal Warno (@dynastydadmike) and Garret Price (@gmp_33) debate whether or not Allen Robinson is a top 15 receiver in dynasty formats.

  • Garret Price – Pro Allen Robinson Top 15

Allen Robinson has been at the top of the mountain and has been at the bottom of the lowest valley. After his breakout 2015 season where he posted 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns, he had a very disappointing 2016 and a season ending injury in 2017.  In 2018 he signed as a free agent with the Chicago Bears, but had another year that was less than desirable. After 3 straight years of let downs, many people have given up or jumped of the bandwagon. However, I am firmly still a part of the Robinson fan club.

Let me remind you of a few things…

  1. Allen Robinson will only be 26 at the start of the 2019 season
  2. He spent his time in Jacksonville with less than desirable quarterback play.
  3. His 2018 season was spent trying to recover from his acl tear while also learning the playbook and getting back into playing shape.

Taking all of these things into account, Robinson has been dealt a pretty bad hand. 2019 should be the first time he has had any sort of normalcy in a while. However, sometimes skills win out. Robinson is a great route runner and although he isn’t a burner, he high points the ball very well and beats corners with physicality.

The other thing that helps give me confidence is his final game of the season. In this game, quarterback Mitch Trubisky force-fed him the ball and Robinson showed out in their most important game of the season to the tune of 10/143/1.

I expect Trubisky to continue getting better, and I also believe that Allen Robinson will be his featured target for years to come.

  • Mychal Warno – Against Allen Robinson Top 15

Allen Robinson has only passed 1000 receiving yards once in his 5 years in the NFL.  In that season, Robinson and the Jaguars finished 5-11 and Jacksonville had 5 games where they lost by over 10 points which meant for a lot of garbage time scoring.  That season also included Blake Bortles passing for nearly 4500 yards which was also his career high in passing yards.

Allen Robinson finished the season 45th in overall targets with 94 which only put him one target ahead of fellow Chicago Bear wide receiver Taylor Gabriel (93). Robinson only had 2 games with Trubisky where he finished the game with double digit targets. On those 94 targets, Robinson caught 55 of them for a catch % of 58.5%, which ranked 158th in the league.

Robinson’s end of year season finishes look like this:

  • 2014 WR 63
  • 2015 WR4
  • 2016 WR 28
  • 2017 WR 178
  • 2018 WR 41

The Chicago Bears defense will keep the Bears from having to play from behind a lot or having many shootout style games. With the evolution of Tarik Cohen and a sophomore season for Anthony Miller, I suspect that Allen Robinson will stay more of a low end WR2 and float around WR 22-28 in startup dynasty leagues which he is currently going at WR 19 in the 4th round of drafts.   



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