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Post-Combine 1QB 2020 Rookie Mock Draft: 2/3

The @dynastynerds team is here with round 2 of our too early 1 QB mock draft.

While the team here at Dynasty Nerds brought you a ‘Way Too Early 1QB Rookie Mock’ earlier this year, we all know that so much can change following the NFL Combine. With that in mind, we circled the Dynasty Nerds’ wagons once again to bring you our Post-Combine rookie mock drafts for both Superflex and one quarterback leagues.

We’ll be releasing the three rounds of this mock in three separate articles. You can find round one here. Below are the results of the second round and why each writer made their pick. Enjoy!

2.01 – Justin Jefferson , WR LSU

Dylan Thomas – @dkthom2018

Image result for justin jefferson
Credit: Sports Illustrated

This pick was between Jefferson and Zack Moss, but I ultimately went with Jefferson because he’s a complete player who checks statistical boxes and film evaluations. I do think RBs are more valuable as a position, but man is Justin Jefferson good. 1500 yards, and how many touchdowns last year? 18?! Are you kidding me?! He has a Breakout Age under 20 years old, a solid College Dominator Rating of 30%, and his Market Share of Yards was above the baseline regression for his Sophomore and Junior seasons. He shows savvy route running, reliable hands, and has good size. He has excellent body control and dominates with short/intermediate routes, a current trend in the NFL. He dominated at the combine as well running a 4.43 40 Yard Dash and scoring a Speed Score and Burst Score above the 80th percentile. This was a guy we had athletic concerns about as he posted a verified 4.88 40 Yard Dash coming out of high school. Overall, Jefferson plays very similar to Jerry Jeudy or Stefon Diggs on film, but for a fraction of the cost. I’m loving pairing up Jefferson with Jonathan Taylor to bolster this dynasty roster.

2.02 – Denzel Mims, WR Baylor

Gage Bridgford – @GbridgfordNFL

Image result for denzel mims
Credit: 24/7 Sports

My mouth was watering at the thought of getting Justin Jefferson, but he was sniped from me. My next-best player, especially with six running backs off the board in round one, was Denzel Mims, who has been putting on a show throughout the pre-draft process. He was the best receiver at the senior bowl, and he just put on a show at the combine. He runs clean routes, and he has a knack for producing big plays. I wish that he was coming in a little bit younger, but I expect him to be an immediate impact rookie with the polish that he’s shown in school. If he were to land somewhere like Philadelphia that has a huge wide receiver need, his stock would move up even more for me.

2.03 – Bryan Edwards, WR South Carolina

Jared Wackerly – @jaredwackerlyff

Image result for bryan edwards
Credit: South Carolina Athletics

Isn’t it amazing how far guys like Bryan Edwards, Laviska Shenault, and Michael Pittman fall in Superflex rookie drafts this year? I am drafting an absolute stud toward the back of round two, and I couldn’t be happier. Bryan Edwards is one of the rare cases of an age 17 breakout. What’s that mean? He came into South Carolina and dominated the market share on his offense next to guys 3-4 years older than him. Edwards is a physical specimen at 6-foot-3, 215 pounds with hands like Beckham (okay, maybe not that good, but they’re good enough). He is dealing with a broken foot right now, which didn’t allow him to perform at the Combine, and I think that’s the main reason he’s falling right now in mock drafts. Had he been able to participate, people would’ve seen how great of an athlete he is and paired that with his great tape and measurables. Sign me up for Bryan Edwards all day.

2.04 – Tyler Johnson, WR Minnesota

Matthew Mitchell – @ReflipeWThenuz

Image result for tyler johnson minnesota
Credit: Yahoo Sports

Tyler Johnson is one of the more difficult players to pin down from a value standpoint. How often have you heard of a player who received positive marks from both analytics & film evaluators yet be given the cold shoulder by the NFL draft community? He put up multiple years of quality tape at Minnesota, has a QB background, and was the centerpiece of the gophers passing game. His decision to skip much of the combine has many skeptical of his chances at the next level. I will be watching for the Minnesota pro-day to see how this kid tests. When I watch his game, I see a young Keenan Allen minus the knee injury. I’m still and pleased to get him here in the 2nd round.

2.05 – Chase Claypool, WR Notre Dame

Nate Christian – @NFLDraftDynasty

Image result for chase claypool
Credit: Indianapolis Star

Chase Claypool won the NFL Combine. After the Senior Bowl, there was a lot of talk about moving him into a TE role. Some analysts even wondered if he would be listed with the TEs in Indy. Not only did Claypool weigh in almost ten pounds heavier (238), he backed it up with top WR speed, a 4.42 40-yard dash. A quick list of other players 235+ lbs to run 4.42 or lower… Calvin Johnson. Now don’t expect the next Megatron just yet, but put him out-wide or move him around, Claypool looks like he’s going to be a factor in the passing game no matter what. These numbers also looking very similar to Evan Engram’s, and whether or not he lists as a TE or WR in fantasy next year could be a storyline to follow.

2.06 – Joe Burrow, QB LSU

Marvin Elequin – @FF_MarvinE

Image result for joe burrow
Credit: Boston Globe

At this point in the rookie draft, most running backs with RB1 opportunity are off the board. In addition, most wide receivers with lead WR opportunities are no longer available. Therefore, I went ahead and drafted the best player available: Joe Burrow. In 2019, he had a season for the ages. Not only did he break the single-season TD record in college football (60 total TDs), he also had the highest single-season Passing Efficiency Rating according to PFF. His blend of athleticism, passing accuracy, and high Quarterback IQ should lead to fantasy success for years to come. And assuming he is drafted by the Cincinnati Bengals, he starts his NFL career with an elite WR1 (AJ Green), a consistent WR2 (Tyler Boyd), and a dual-threat RB (Mixon). Expect Burrow to produce immediately!

2.07 – Zack Moss, RB Utah

Dom Johnson – @domffl

Image result for zack moss
Credit: Utah Athletics

Please help me welcome the 2020 David Montgomery to my squad. I have high expectations for Moss. If he lands in a good situation, I could easily see his ADP climb to the back end of the 1st round. But for now, I’ll happily take him at 2.07. PFF reported that Moss forced a missed tackle on 30% of his runs at Utah, leading the 2020 draft class. What he lacks in top-end speed, he makes up in wiggle. Good ol’ @DynastyPrice put out a tweet recently that listed every RB visit to teams who could potentially have a new lead back in 2020; Zack Moss met with 11 of the 19 listed organizations. The next closest was Cam Akers, with six team visits among those Moss is a highly sought after running back. I expect a full workload (225+ carries) for the young stud in 2020. 

2.08 – Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama

Joel Verzosa – @jverzosa2

Image result for tua tagovailoa
Credit: USA Today

The next group of players all has one thing in common. They come with some question marks. Whether it be injury (Tua, Van Jefferson) or breakout age (Aiyuk, Duvernay), in this case, it’s a question mark that makes this an easy choice when you get a chance to take what many viewed as the QB1 before the injury. Tua is expected to make a full recovery and, by all accounts, is on schedule, so I’ll take the value here with an astronomical ceiling if Tua continues to progress as expected.

2.09 – Isaiah Hodgins, WR Oregon State

Matthew Bruening – @SportsfanaticMB

Image result for isaiah hodgins
Credit: Oregon State Athletics

If I can continue to get Hodgins in the late 2nd round, I’ll be thrilled. He’s a top 10 WR for me in this draft and a player who is getting overlooked. I believe it’s mostly due to him playing in the PAC-12 after-dark games. Hodgins has elite hands along with a very large catch radius. He’s a good route runner, but he does need to improve here. He’s a big body guy and deceptively quick for 6’4″ 209 lbs. He is one of the best contested-catch players in this draft and is willing to take a beating while catching the ball. He has underrated ball tracking skills. If you put on the tape, you’ll see him make some great over the shoulder and back shoulder catches. He’s a yards-after-catch bully once he gets the ball.

2.10 – Brandon Aiyuk, WR Arizona State

Jordan Rains – @50shadesofdrunk

Image result for brandon aiyuk
Credit: Arizona State Athletics

This was a much tougher pick than my first pick. Brandon Aiyuk has the traits of a top tier wide receiver in the NFL without the hype. He’s dynamic with the ball in his hands with the ability to take a screenplay to the house. He runs excellent routes and can beat press coverage with a variety of moves. He’s also proficient at breaking tackles. He had 14 broken tackles in his senior year and nine his junior year. He does struggle a bit with contested catches, recording only three receptions in his 13 contested targets across his collegiate career. Besides that, though Brandon Aiyuk has almost no knocks on his overall game, and more than a few draft analysts have suggested he’s a better wide receiver prospect than N’Keal Harry. How long does Aiyuik keep slipping through the cracks in dynasty rankings and startups?

2.11 – Michael Pittman, Jr. , WR USC

Keith Ensminger – @TheSmingDynasty

Image result for michael pittman jr
Credit: USC Athletics

Traits like size, pedigree, and college production were never questions with Pittman going into draft season, and he put any speed concerns to rest in my eyes with a sub-seven second three-cone and a 4.52 forty-yard dash. A great interview and an intelligent player, Pittman seems like a steal this late in the second round. Couple all of the above with likely decent draft capital and Pittman is a runaway choice for me with pick 2.11. Perhaps more importantly than the pick itself, it is clear to see how deep this class is, especially at the wide receiver position, given the names still on the board for me to pick from here as we approach round three.

2.12 – Antonio Gibson, WR Memphis

Brian Shacochis – @DynastyTools

Image result for antonio gibson
Credit: The Daily Memphian

Give me all the Antonio Gibson. I’ll end up with him in every draft I can get him. It remains to be seen where I’ll need to draft him (draft capital will likely determine that), but I’m tentatively expecting to make the pick in this range. As a 6-2/220 running back pretending to be a wide receiver, Gibson is precisely what we are looking for as fantasy football players: a running back who can be a genuine weapon catching passes, Gibson blazed a 4.39 time in the 40 and posted a 99th percentile speed score. For unknown reasons, he was underused at Memphis, touching the ball just 71 times all year. But despite limited touches, Gibson was explosive when given a chance, producing 1,104 scrimmage yards and 12 TDs in 2019 (averaging 15.5 yards per touch). He also racked up another 645 yards and a score returning kicks, making him a triple threat as a rusher, receiver, and returner. He’s a big, bruising version of Tony Pollard, and there’s nothing terrible about that.

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