While the team here at Dynasty Nerds brought you a ‘Way Too Early Superflex Rookie Mock’ earlier this year, we all know that so much can change following the NFL Combine. With that in mind, we circled the Dynasty Nerds’ wagons once again to bring you our Post-Combine rookie mock drafts for both Superflex and one quarterback leagues.
We’ll be releasing the three rounds of this mock in three separate articles. Below are the results of the first round and why each writer made their pick. Enjoy!
1.01 Tua Tagovialoa, QB Alabama
Gage Bridgford @gbridgfordNFL
Just about every mock that you’re going to come across is going to have Joe Burrow in the 1.01. With the medicals coming back clean on Tua’s hip, this was a relatively simple choice for me. I think he’s the most talented quarterback in the class, and he’s also nearly two years younger than Burrow. If Tua pans out like I expect him to, this pick is going to keep me competitive for years.
1.02 Joe Burrow, QB LSU
Matt Bruening @SportsfanaticMB
You likely won’t see Burrow falling to 1.2 in many SF drafts but if he does don’t overthink and grab him. Burrow more than likely will land with Cincinnati. While their offensive line is bad they have a ton of weapons around him. With Aj Green coming back Burrow will be getting another proven weapon. With his ability to extend plays and make anticipation throws he should easily be a top 15 QB his rookie year.
1.03 Justin Herbert, QB Oregon
Matthew Mitchell @ReflipeWThenuz
QB’s are king in SF leagues. There is little doubt that Herbert will be a top 10 NFL draft pick. With an athletic profile and body type reminiscent of Cam Newton, this kid brings rushing upside to the table as well. The Chargers are the team that has been most connected to him at this point in the process. Pairing Herbert with Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry, and Austin Ekeler is a match made in heaven. Few top end QB’s get to come into a ready-made situation such as this. While his floor is certainly lower than the two QB’s selected ahead of him his rushing potential gives him the highest upside of any QB in this class.
1.04 D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia
Mychal Warno @DynastyDadMike
At 1.04, I am thrilled to come away with my #1 ranked RB. Swift is a three-down running back and possibly an immediate top 10 dynasty runningback depending on his landing spot. Swift has excellent vision and isn’t afraid to pass block which will allow him to stay on the field. Swift should easily contend for 1000 yards in his rookie season.
1.05 Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
Dom Johnson @domffl
I was a little surprised to see Jonathan Taylor sitting there at 1.05, but it made the decision that much easier. Why yes, I would love the 2020 RB1 with the 5th pick, thank you. In an SF league, this is right where I want to be, the 1.03-1.05 range. You aren’t forced to take the obligatory QB with the 1.01 and you get one of the most talented skill positions without having to pay for it like you would in a 1QB league.
1.06 Jalen Reagor, WR TCU
Jeol Verzosa @JVerzosa2
Watch the tape. It’s that simple. Reagor simply jumps off. Mix in that he hits in the analytics community at breakout age and dominator rating and you’ve got a sure thing. At this point in the draft we are splitting hairs between players so its the time where if you have questions about Jeudy’s toughness or contested catch ability or Lamb’s tendency to let passes get into his body then go with that. I don’t think that there is a flat out miss at the top of this WR class and draft capital will play a big role in how my post-draft rankings pan out. At this point, I will take the player with the highest ceiling, sit back and enjoy.
1.07 Cee Dee Lamb, WR Oklahoma
Brian Shacochis @DynastyTools
Nobody expected Lamb to post flashy, sexy numbers at the combine. His entire appeal can be encapsulated by the viral video clip of the catch he made on the fade drill in Indianapolis. The man’s game is a well-rounded, pro-ready skill set that should translate well into NFL (and fantasy) production in year one. He’s a high ceiling, high floor prospect, making it feel great to pull the trigger on him at 1.07 here.
1.08 J. K. Dobbins, RB Ohio State
Nate Christian @NFLDraftDynasty
When you have the chance to grab a top running back this late in the draft, it is a no brainer. While Jonathan Taylor stole the spotlight in Indianapolis, Dobbins still has incredible athleticism and won’t have to answer any questions about it after his pro day. Check the tape, this guy will slide right into an NFL team and immediately become a relevant option in fantasy football. He was productive in all aspects of the offense and has shown up against the top talent in college. Dobbins is currently my RB2 and with the right landing spot could easily be RB1-worthy come this summer.
1.09 Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama
Jared Wackerly @JaredWackerlyFF
You can’t go wrong with Jerry Jeudy in the ninth spot of the first round. He tested as a 38th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete at the Combine, which isn’t great, but you can’t let that steer you away from what he does on the actual football field. Jeudy is an ELITE separator, and you can’t say that enough. He will come into the league already as one of the best route runners. I believe you’ll be able to count on Jeudy to be a productive part of your fantasy team and I’m happy to take him at the nine spot.
1.10 Tee Higgins, WR Clemson
Keith Ensminger @TheSmingDynasty
Well, as fate would have it, my pick here ends up being the same pick I made in our 1QB mock if you’re keeping score at home. The choice of Higgins over Justin Jefferson here was razor-thin for me, but I ultimately went with Higgins, fifth in my 1QB rookie rankings pre-combine. It wasn’t a great look to see Higgins tap out of the week’s events, coupled with seeing Jefferson do the exact opposite. He’s young (won’t turn 22 until after his rookie season), talented, possesses great size, and oozes a ballhawk’s mentality. I’ll stick with Higgins here at pick 11 and hope for the draft capital and landing spots that many mocks are bestowing on him at the moment.
1.11 Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB LSU
Erik Kortz @EKBaller
Here I’m taking one of Justin Jefferson, Jordan Love or Clyde the glide. This is a point in the mock where I don’t feel like I’m locked into any one position and all these guys are pretty equally ranked. Landing spot will sway me strongly at the back end of the first round- if Jordan Love winds upon the Chargers I’m 100% taking him here. I love Clyde’s agility, pass-catching ability, and power but I’m a little suspicious because LSU was so dominant this year and he really came out of nowhere. But his movement skills are so evident that it’s easy to buy into his future without knowing his landing spot.
1.12 Cam Akers, RB Florida State
Dylan Thomas @dkthom2018
This pick was super easy for me. Since this is all hypothetical, whoever’s picking at 1.12 just won a championship. A player like Justin Jefferson looks to be a solid WR in the NFL but is a Tier 2 WR for me. Fortunately, we have a stud RB still on the board. Cam Akers is a Tier 1 RB and having him slide to 1.12 is criminal.
The production may seem underwhelming as Akers only averaged 5.0 YPC but Florida State’s offensive line was atrocious. According to PFF, Florida State University finished with the second-worst offensive line in CFB last season (129/130). According to SISDataHub, Cam Akers had the highest percentage of yards created after contact among the top RB prospects. Per PFF, 3.9 of Akers’ 4.9 yards per carry average came after contact (80% of his production). Football Outsiders ranked FSU’s offensive line 120th out of 130 in run blocking efficiency in 2019. In 2018, the offensive line ranked 124th out of 130. Additionally, FSU had 2 rushing yards before contact last season on designed run plays on first and second down. That ranked dead last in all of college football. The next closest is SJSU with 186. It’s safe to say that Akers had to produce on his own to get any good college production. And man, did he do a great job generating yardage without help from his offensive line. According to SISDataHub, Cam Akers had the highest % of yards created after contact among the top RB prospects. Akers had 67% of total rushing yards came after contact.
Getting a player as talented as Akers this late is a STEAL. Regardless of a terrible situation, he’s able to produce rushing yardage on his own. He is solid in pass protection and shows flashes of being a great back on third-down situations. He’s great in space as a pass-catcher. He’s a dynamic playmaker showing power, burst, and contact balance. He should be going way earlier than this and I’m ecstatic about this selection. Cam Akers is going to destroy the NFL once he gets a better offensive line to help block for him. Check me out on Twitter after the NFL Combine for my updated RB rankings: @dkthom2018
That’s a wrap on round one of our post-combine Superflex rookie mock. Stay tuned for the next round. There’s still plenty of running back and wide receiver talent left on the board. Are you a #NerdHerd member? For $2.99 per month, you get access to the buy/sell tool, exclusive podcasts, the Dynasty Prospect Film Room, rankings, and more to come. See you in round two!