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TRADE ALERT!! Making Moves and Winning Titles

In dynasty the trade window is always open. @tristancook_ takes a look at a couple moves that can help you push for the championship or start that rebuild.

We are back for the second installment of the weekly trade target article. As a reminder, the two targets from last week were Kerryon Johnson and Chris Carson. Kerryon had a promising performance in week 2, so hopefully, you were able to buy. Carson faced the tough Steelers run defense and posted rather pedestrian numbers. I am going to double down here and still am looking to acquire Carson. You may be able to get him even cheaper if the owner is concerned about Rashaad Penny’s numbers.

As a reminder, the value of players can change rapidly, so our job as savvy owners is to try to stay ahead of the pack and make moves that position us to better our team. For reference, assume that the values I am providing, unless otherwise noted, are for 12-team, PPR leagues. For example, an “early” 1st round pick refers to 1.01-1.04, a “mid” 1st would be 1.05-1.08, and a “late” 1st is 1.09-1.12. Let’s get to this week’s players.

Mike Evans – BUY!

Stats – 13/6/89/0

The time to trade for Mike Evans is right now. He is coming off of back-to-back performances that saw Chris Godwin out-produce him, and some of the fantasy community is ready to anoint Godwin as the new WR1 in Tampa Bay. The uncontrollable Chris Godwin off-season hype train seems to have someone kicked itself into a higher gear at the expense of Mike Evans. For a player that just turned 26, with his worst season being 71/1001/5, it’s hard to understand how the dynasty community seems to be ready to move on from Mike Evans as a top WR. Many have all but forgotten how Mike Evans was in the 1.01 discussion for start-ups not so long ago. On a 16 game basis, the man has averaged an absurd 81/1254/8 receiving line. Many players would call that a career year, yet Evans calls it average. 

His slow start can be somewhat concerning but he is still a big part of the Tampa offense as he was targeted on more than 28% of his routes in week 2 against Carolina. He still has a 21% target share and is in the top 5 in the NFL in air yards per target. The Chris Godwin hype has driven down his value and it’s time to act. 

Evans is a player that should appeal to all types of rosters. If you are in rebuild mode, he is the type of player you want as a cornerstone of your franchise. As a middle of the pack team, Evans is the type of player that can make your team a true contender. And, finally, as a contender, Evans is the elite type of player that can make you a title favorite. A savvy move is to see if the Mike Evans owner is getting close to pressing the ‘panic’ button on Evans. I would be willing to give at least two 1st round picks for Evans. Preferably, I would like to give up a player and a 1st. If you’re able to capitalize on a player’s fast start, having a surplus at the position, or the slew of QB injuries and combine that with a 1st to acquire Evans I would do so in a heartbeat. It is hard to anticipate scenarios with specific players, but Evans’ value is lower than it should be, and I would be looking to acquire him. 

Emmanuel Sanders – buy and sell?!?

Denver Broncos wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders makes a diving catch against the San Diego Chargers in the second quarter at Sports Authority Field at Mile High on Sunday, October 30, 2016. (Photo by Steve Nehf/The Denver Post)
Stats – 20/16/184/2 

Emmanuel Sanders has been nothing short of amazing. At 32 years old and only 8 months after suffering a season-ending Achilles injury, Sanders is currently the WR3 overall in PPR scoring. He has quickly become Joe Flacco’s favorite target in Denver, with a 24.7% target share. Flacco has shown a propensity towards targeting veteran receivers, and it appears that Sanders has fully embraced that role. While it is fair to categorize the Broncos offense as unimpressive, Sanders has been the lone exception. He is leading the NFL in Red Zone targets and is clearly the only trustable option on this Denver offense. His strong start to the 2019 season has him as a great trade target for me. The question becomes what type of team should be looking at Emmanuel Sanders. Let’s take a look.

BUY

Why would you want to buy Emmanuel Sanders? Or more importantly, what type of team would want to buy Sanders? The answer here is simple. If you think your team is in a position to contend for a championship, buy Sanders. He is past the prime of his career but is showing that he still has plenty left in the tank to help your team win a championship this year and possibly in 2020 as well. I’d be willing to give up as much as a mid-2020 2nd. Now, if your team is in contention, your pick would be late in the round. So, you may have to give something like a 2020 2nd and a 2021 3rd for Sanders, and I’d be ok with that. Ideally, you won’t have to quite this much. You should use Sanders’ age, his value in various trade calculators, and the Broncos lackluster offense as negotiating points for getting him at a cheaper price, but I believe the window to buy him at a reasonable cost is closing rapidly. If he continues to perform as he did in week 2 when he lit up a very good Bears defense, you won’t be able to get him for that cost. 

SELL

So, why would you want to SELL Emmanuel Sanders? Well, that seems easy enough to discern. If your team isn’t a contender, he has little value on your roster. He isn’t young enough to keep until your team is a contender, so the only thing he will do for you is pull you closer to a middle of the road team. That’s the last place you want to be. As I mentioned earlier, I would buy Sanders for as much as a mid-2020 2nd. So, what would I SELL him for? Well, if you can convince anyone to give you an early 2nd or more, I’d easily be a seller. I’d probably be willing to sell for as low as a late 2nd or potentially even an early 3rd. Your goal is obviously to get as much as you can for him, and your selling points should be his value to a contending team with his early elite production and role in the Broncos offense. 

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