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NFL Week 13 Thursday Preview | The Numbers You Need to Know

Game time! Thanksgiving Football is just around the corner and our @coachstevenP has the premium player stats you need for player props, DFS, or start/sit fantasy advice. Start strong on Turkey Day!

The Week 13 Thursday Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 13 Thursday Preview!

Chicago Bears (4-7) vs Detroit Lions (10-1)

Week 13 Thursday Preview Thanksgiving Black Friday Games Players to Know Fantasy Points Data Suite Start/Sit advice
(Photo by Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire)

Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview

TeamDef. Rank Vs. QBsDef. Rank Vs. RBsDef. Rank Vs. WRsDef. Rank Vs. TEsDef. 2 Man %Def. Zone %1-HI Sfty%2-HI Sfty%Offensive Plays RanPoints Per GamePass Yards Per GameRush Yards per Game
Bears2nd19th8th14th20.274.1594165.220.1187.6111.3
Lions5th3rd21st1st43.851.2564463.332.7243.5150.8

Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Chicago Bears
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 13 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Caleb Williams26thLow QB265%16.315.234.75.1244.565.153.434.18.27.5
Detroit Lions
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 13 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Jared Goff9thHigh QB288%20.819.227.82.2254.569.357.923.77.511.1
  • The Bears have allowed back-to-back QB1 performances (Both were NFC North QBs).
  • The Lions have not allowed a quarterback to throw for 2 touchdowns this season.

Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Chicago Bears
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
D’Andre Swift21stHigh RB377%14.311.915.355.864%9.733.340.44.80.142.31.65
Roschon Johnson43rdLow RB451%7.76.12.915.934%4.24531.100.081.881.02
Detroit Lions
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
David Montgomery13thMid RB285%16.316.513.240.742%8.252.2503.40.192.51.86
Jahmyr Gibbs5thHigh RB196%18.817.914.043.352%9.747.839.5110.232.33.45
  • The Bears have allowed a running back over 70 yards in 4-straight games.
  • The Lions have kept opposing running backs under 40 rushing yards in back-to-back games.

Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Chicago Bears
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
D.J. Moore36thMid WR375%12.613.494%7.321.237.726.7322626.320.58.30.031.02Terrion Arnold
Keenan Allen44thMid WR467%10.412.285%7.923.232.453.1132829.931.27.9-0.011.03Emmanuel Moseley
Rome Odunze61stMid WR464%8.910.582%6.418.232.535.5184821.825.77.80.030.94Amik Robertson
Cole Kmet (TE)TE16Low TE260%9.26.084%4.312.624.959.5177111.914.54
Detroit Lions
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
Amon-Ra St. Brown4thMid WR195%18.521.990%7.826.726.751.4268531.827.917.2-0.101.56Kyler Gordon
Jameson Williams31stHigh WR378%13.014.279%5.317.327.332.9280424.220.820.1-0.011.21Tyrique Stevenson
Tim Patrick101stOutside the Top 6030%4.54.655%2.28.315.322.99108.416.38.80.010.96Jaylon Johnson
Sam LaPorta (TE)TE19High TE279%8.58.479%3.812.321.124.6209313.3108.6
  • The Bears have allowed a 100-yard receiver in 3 of the last 5 games.
    • The Bears have allowed a 60-yard TE in 4 of the last 6 games
  • Since Week 4, the Lions have allowed a opposing receiver over 70 yards in each game.
    • The Lions have allowed only 2 TEs over 30 yards this season.

New York Giants (2-9) vs Dallas Cowboys (4-7)

Week 13 Thursday Preview Thanksgiving Black Friday Games Players to Know Fantasy Points Data Suite Start/Sit advice
(Photo by Andrew Dieb/Icon Sportswire)

Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview

TeamDef. Rank Vs. QBsDef. Rank Vs. RBsDef. Rank Vs. WRsDef. Rank Vs. TEsDef. 2 Man %Def. Zone %1-HI Sfty%2-HI Sfty%Offensive Plays RanPoints Per GamePass Yards Per GameRush Yards per Game
Giants24th26th13th2nd31.562.262.737.364.414.8187.9115.9
Cowboys28th30th22nd18th28.867.955.544.565.120.1240.682.5

Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview

New York Giants
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 13 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Tommy DeVito*39thQB345%10.810.831.07.0221.07146.651.36.516.1
Dallas Cowboys
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 12 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Cooper Rush45thQB340%7.112.321.31.6117.669.854.620.36.77.4
* Tommy DeVito may be a long shot to play – Drew Lock would be the starter (Still a QB3 value)
  • The Giants have allowed at least 20 rushing yards to a quarterback in 6 of the last 7 games.
  • The Cowboys have allowed a QB1 in 4 of the previous 5 games.

Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview

New York Giants
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
Devin Singletary45thLow RB450%7.35.98.027.455%5.933.324.350.22.861.21
Tyrone Tracy34thLow RB282%9.910.810.539.745%7.114.328.96.90.182.722.34
Dallas Cowboys
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
Ezekiel Elliott60thOutside the Top 4838%4.42.15.823.932%3.337.536.400.032.021.17
Rico Dowdle31stMid RB284%11.211.611.246.149%9.133.334.81.80.072.362
  • The Giants have allowed an RB15 or better finish in 5-straight games.
  • The Cowboys have allowed an 80-yard running back in 4 of the last 6 games.

Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview

New York Giants
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
Malik Nabers9thHigh WR288%16.912.792%11.433.235.421.6217542.93013.1-0.181.09Trevon Diggs
Wan’Dale Robinson42ndHigh WR558%10.87.973%8.12231.779.1238025.519.45.5-0.250.91Jourdan Lewis
Darius Slayton64thOutside the Top 6040%8.64.585%4.915.130.821.1101414.822.29.8-0.180.87DaRon Bland
Theo Johnson (TE)TE34Low TE254%5.29.679%3.59.427.050.8132110.3121.5
Dallas Cowboys
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
CeeDee Lamb6thLow WR191%17.515.084%10.725.135.751.7357832.324.512.10.101.35Andru Phillips
Jalen Tolbert55thOutside the Top 6042%9.37.485%5.212.635.829.482613.912.57.30.140.99Cordale Flott
Luke Schoonmaker (TE)TE43Outside the Top 2450%3.66.530%2.35.410.142.36925.2155.6
** Brandin Cooks has been activiated off IR – is expect to have a role (Outside the Top 60)
  • The Giants have allowed 1 WR over 70 yards in 4-straight games.
    • Since Week 5, the Giants have not allowed a TE1 finish. (The last time was Dallas.)
  • The Cowboys have allowed a 100-yard receiver in 2 of the last 3 games.
    • Dallas has allowed 6 touchdowns to a TE in the last 7 games.

Miami Dolphins (5-6) vs Green Bay Packers (8-3)

Week 13 Thursday Preview Thanksgiving Black Friday Games Players to Know Fantasy Points Data Suite Start/Sit advice
(Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)

Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview

TeamDef. Rank Vs. QBsDef. Rank Vs. RBsDef. Rank Vs. WRsDef. Rank Vs. TEsDef. 2 Man %Def. Zone %1-HI Sfty%2-HI Sfty%Offensive Plays RanPoints Per GamePass Yards Per GameRush Yards per Game
Dolphins3rd20th1st16th22.472.350.449.663.619.5207.1116.8
Packers6th15th7th22nd23.173.152.847.261.926.2230.3151.6

Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Miami Dolphins
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 13 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Tua Tagovailoa11stMid QB280%20.424.433.31.7257.372.861.2205.99.1
Green Bay Packers
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 13 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Jordan Love10thLow QB190%20.716.631.12.0254.768.247.929.39.510.7
  • The Dolphins have forced an interception in 4-straight games.
  • Since Week 5, the Packers have allowed just 6 passing touchdowns.

Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Miami Dolphins
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
Raheem Mostert49thOutside the Top 4843%6.23.87.519.033%4.25038.93.30.151.731.88
De’Von Achane8thMid RB195%17.320.912.041.859%14.85042.64.50.182.182.08
Jaylen Wright86thOutside the Top 4849%2.41.15.918.722%0.9011.16.80.172.361.76
Green Bay Packers
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
Josh Jacobs11stHigh RB289%16.521.618.458.267%8.872.253.240.212.791.89
Emanuel Wilson54thOutside the Top 4842%5.25.26.019.019%3.45.612.96.10.122.552.18
  • Miami has not allowed an RB1 in 5-straight games.
  • The Packers have allowed a 70-yard running back in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Miami Dolphins
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
Tyreek Hill39thLow WR282%11.713.280%6.619.927.336.3206824.623.47.7-0.061.17Keisean Nixon
Jaylen Waddle47thHigh WR469%9.912.680%5.115.726.727.6215217.729.37.6-0.121.02Carrington Valentine
Jonnu Smith (TE)TE6Mid TE188%11.417.251%5.717.420.152312319.24.33.8
Green Bay Packers
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
Christian Watson77thLow WR461%7.29.459%3.411.615.926.496614.13017.2-0.241.23Kader Kohou
Jayden Reed26thLow WR280%13.510.656%4.716.322.580.2316221.225.48.4-0.361.00Jalen Ramsey
Dontayvion Wicks89thOutside the Top 6047%5.71.251%4.214.113.729.172715.941.218.5-0.381.11Storm Duck
Tucker Kraft (TE)TE13Low TE181%9.76.180%3.611.923.132.7296111.56.32.8
  • The Dolphins have not allowed a receiver to score in 3-straight games.
    • The Dolphins have allowed 55-or-more yards to a TE in 3 of the last 5 games.
  • The Packers have not allowed a receiver over 70 yards since Week 5.
    • The Packers have allowed a TE over 40 yards in 4 of the last 6 games.

Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) vs Kansas City Chiefs (10-1)

Week 13 Thursday Preview Thanksgiving Black Friday Games Players to Know Fantasy Points Data Suite Start/Sit advice
(Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)

Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview

TeamDef. Rank Vs. QBsDef. Rank Vs. RBsDef. Rank Vs. WRsDef. Rank Vs. TEsDef. 2 Man %Def. Zone %1-HI Sfty%2-HI Sfty%Offensive Plays RanPoints Per GamePass Yards Per GameRush Yards per Game
Raiders25th18th11st30th24.971.455.744.362.218.721874.6
Chiefs23rd1st15th27th36.155.5406065.724.5226.5116.3

Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 13 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Aidan O’Connell46thQB330%6.6020.50.0113.859.854.128.26.88.5
Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerFantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 13 RankingConfidence Start RatingFP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksA/GSCRMYDS/G1 Read %YAC %Press %ADOTCHK %
Patrick Mahomes12thMid QB195%20.126.434.64.0259.962.260.329.76.18.1
  • The Raiders have allowed 250 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in 4-straight games.
  • The Chiefs have allowed 260 passing yards in back-to-back games.

Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
Zamir White67thOutside the top 4830%3.748.128.131%2.82021.91.50.081.771.05
Alexander Mattison32ndHigh RB466%10.86.89.742.050%7.764.351.33.10.132.181.12
Ameer Abdullah51stLow RB451%5.511.32.310.838%6.014.312.24.00.21.72.7
Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksATT/GATT %Off. Snaps/GTGT %i5%i20%EXP Run %MTF/ATTYACO/ATTYBCO/ATT
Isiah Pacheco15thLow RB369%16.0017.010.873%15.150.070.00.00.12.02.0
Samaje Perine55thOutside the Top 4825%5.16.61.44.826%6.63.81.500.072.132.4
Kareem Hunt17thLow RB280%14.813.419.449.260%6.983.371.41.30.092.051.67
Keep your eyes on the practice reports – Ameer Abdullah could get another start (would be a High RB4)
  • The Raiders have allowed a 70-yard running back in 4 of the last 6 games.
  • The Chiefs have not allowed a running back over 60 rushing yards.

Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
Jakobi Meyers21stMid WR375%14.116.592%8.321.536.833.5186428.321.66.9-0.080.80Nazeeh Johnson
Tre Tucker70thOutside the Top 6038%7.98.185%5.113.334.926.6167118.613.64.8-0.051.07Trent McDuffie
Brock Bowers (TE)TE2High TE195%15.218.281%9.023.131.556.1401427.114.93.9
Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerFantasy Rank (PPR)Week 13 RankingStart %FP/GFP/G Last 4 WeeksOff. Snaps/GTGT/GTGT %RTE/GSLOT RTE %YACEZTGT1READ %MAN WIN RATEZONE WIN RATEMatchupAdvantageDefender
DeAndre Hopkins55thMid WR375%9.314.750%4.413.92329.260518.421.710.80.261.36Decamerion Richardson
Xavier Worthy51stLow WR460%9.56.864%5.213.92833.119641921.24.90.121.00Jack Jones
JuJu Smith-Shuster109thOutside the Top 6025%4.11.763%2.15.813.448.611116.1255.5
Travis Kelce (TE)TE5High TE197%12.314.483%8.022.330.742.3259326.222.96.5
Noah Gray (TE)TE23Low TE255%7.611.261%2.73.65.94.6611306.3
  • The Raiders have allowed opposing WR1s to have 60 yards and a touchdown in back-to-back games.
    • The Raiders have allowed a 90-yard TE with a touchdown in 3 of the last 4 games.
  • The last time Brock Bowers played the Chiefs, he had 5 receptions for 58 yards.

More Week 13 Matchup Content

If you enjoyed this Week 13 Thursday/Friday Preview, I encourage you to check out some of our other articles:

Our Dynasty Nerds Writing Staff recently finished a two-round 1QB Rookie Mock for the 2025 NFL Draft! Read about the top 24 rookie prospects, along with All-22 video footage from our Nerds Film Room to gain an early edge on your league mates:

Thank you for reading the Week 13 Thursday/Friday Preview! Are you interested in joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “COACH” for 15% off any membership. You can get access to the DynastyGM tool (including our Trade Calculator and new Trade Finder), the Prospect Film Room, an extra weekly podcast, full rankings, and much, much more!

Glossary of Terms | Week 13 Thursday Preview

Quarterbacks
FP/GFantasy Points per Game
YPAPassing Yards per Attempt
SCRMQB Rush Attempts per Game
YDS/GYards Per Game
First Read %Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws
YAC %Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch
Press %Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure
ADOTAverage Depth of Target
Running Backs
FP/GFantasy Points per Game
ATT/GAttempts per Game
ATT %Team Carry Share
TGT %Team Target Share
Off. Snaps/GOffensive Snaps per Game
i5 %Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries
i20 %Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries
EXP RUN %Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards
MTF/ATTMissed Tackles Forced per Attempt
YACO/ATTYards After Contact per Attempt
YBCO/ATTYards Before Contact per Attempt
Pass Catchers
FP/GFantasy Points per Game
Off. Snaps/GOffensive Snaps Per Game
TGT/GTargets Per Game
TGT %Team Target Share
RTE/GRoutes Run Per Game
SLOT RTE %Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot
YACYards After the Catch
EZTGTEndzone Targets
1READ %Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets
MAN WIN RATEPercentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
ZONE WIN RATEPercentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
Matchup ScoreA weighted score taking into account league average CB play vs. the totality of the CBs a WR is slated to face in a given matchup + how much we expect him to face each CB individually, not just the one he will see the most
Advantage ScoreA weighted score taking into account the skill gap between a WR and the totality of CBs he’s expected to face. A player of high caliber may have a poor matchup score but still have a strong advantage score and vice versa.

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