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Week 5 – What We Learned

Another week in the books Nerds! A tough week behind us with the first week of byes seeing Atlanta, Denver and the Saints offenses all at home. We are through five weeks and the injuries just keep piling up as the reigning ADP 1.01 in dynasty startups season is over as we lost OBJ to a gruesome ankle injury. If this early season has shown us anything it’s that those teams that are deep and can afford a high profile injury may be the ones that make a title run this year. Top heavy teams are suffering big time this year with all the major injuries while those owners who stashed depth players are looking strong heading towards the second quarter of the dynasty season. Alright, let’s get into this week’s content and dynasty talking points.


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  • Matchup Proof WRs

If we all remember correctly this was the tag given to Nuk Hopkins the last few years while in Houston playing with a carousel of pure trash at quarterback. The big takeaway I had from week five games was the consistency at WR in a bad passing year to start the season. Three WRs have stood up and taken claim to the title of “Matchup Proof” to me. Now, remember not only do these guys pass the eye test but the numbers back it up. First is the guy who we kind of gave this title to Nuk Hopkins. Hopkins currently sits as the WR1 in PPR leagues after his explosion last Sunday night against the Chiefs. Hopkins had a crazy game mostly in garbage time but his consistency this season is very underrated and with rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson this looks like a match made in heaven. Despite Nuk’ three touchdown explosion which obviously you can’t bank on as a dynasty owner he has had at least four catches for 50 yards in every game this season. Nuk also has seven catches or more in four of five games and five touchdowns in five games. This production is sustainable especially as Watson becomes more comfortable with the offense. Next up is Antonio Brown who let’s be real if you own A.B you expect nothing less than him being a matchup-proof WR. This couldn’t have been more evident than last week when he saw one of the worst quarterback performances of his career and still managed 10/157 receiving line against possibly the best secondary in the NFL. Despite Brown’ one touchdown on the season, his consistency is what keeps him as the WR2 currently, A.B has at least ten receptions in three of five games and 150 or more yards in two of five games. Despite the concerns with Martavis Bryant being back and the Steelers drafting Juju Smith Schuster, it’s clear that Brown is still a target monster. Lastly is A.J Green a guy who seemingly is underrated year after year but proves he is an elite WR when he steps on the field. Crazy stat despite the Bengals not scoring an offensive touchdown for the first two games of the season Adriel Jeremiah sits as WR3 in PPR leagues through five weeks. AJG has at least five catches and 60 yards in every game this season including his explosion week five against the Bills defense going for 7/189/1. In five games Green has three touchdowns including two separate games of 110 yards and a touchdown each. It’s about time one of my favorite players in the league gets the recognition he deserves as a matchup-proof WR.

 

  • New Season Same Story Tight End Landscape

 I’m a self-proclaimed Tight End stacker in dynasty leagues specifically those that allow you to flex multiple. I like many were enamored with the 2017 TE draft class and thought they would make a huge year one impact. That hasn’t been too far off as currently, three tight ends are in the top 24 currently in PPR leagues. However, the major impact hasn’t been there and It’s not just the rookies much like in years past the position has been so top heavy that after the top three it’s almost a matchup game from week to week when setting lineups every week. Although Gronk has dominated this position for years it seems we have always had a decent four to five guys that stood out as a clear positional advantage that is simply not the case anymore. With the injury loss of Greg Olsen, the injuries of Jordan Reed and Jimmy Graham unfortunately still playing for the Seahawks this position looks weaker than ever. Zach Ertz who is the TE1, Travis Kelce TE2 and Gronk as TE3 with two missed games basically this position is an absolute dumpster fire. Evan Engram seems to be in line for a massive uptick in targets and the touchdown consistency of David Njoku gives this position some hope for dynasty going forward. As of now depth at TE is the way to go in dynasty with how weak the position is becoming even at the top tier.

 

  • WR1 Struggles

 Alright, guys, I don’t wanna kick a player when they are down but watching the games this has to be said. Amari Cooper and Sammy Watkins I mean how do we honestly explain this? Even as a truther of both players this is head scratching. I suppose here we will start with Sammy because I know I mentioned in my instant reaction article on Watkins after the trade to the Rams that I loved the deal long term if the Rams were able to keep him but year one would be tough especially looking at the elite CBs on his schedule and who he would have to face. Learning a new system with basically a rookie QB wasn’t a recipe for success but Watkins showed promise in his huge breakout against the 49ers with 6/106/2 stat line. Unfortunately, since Watkins has one reception for 17 yards yes you read that write the most frustrating thing about this is one of those games were against the Cowboys who have allowed some very big games to WRs this season. Walking being out produced by Robert Woods and seeing less red zone targets than rookie WR Cooper Kupp is very concerning. Sammy is so matchup dependent right now in dynasty it’s frustrating we expect lower outputs against elite secondaries but when he’s not producing against favorable matchups we have to wonder what’s going on. Still, stick to my take that Sammy will be a very good fit in this offense going into year two but as of now, we are all left shaking our heads. Now I’ll try not to spend much time on this because Amari Cooper is the poster boy for WR1 struggles in 2017. I mean for good reason it truly has me at a loss for words. Since the Raiders opening drive where Cooper scored one of the most impressive touchdowns I’ve seen from a WR in terms of run after the catch this season he has been atrocious. Since that drive, Cooper has 11/104/0 on just 31 targets in basically five full games. The struggle is real I’ve seen dynasty owners start Chris Hogan and Devin Funchess over him the past few weeks which as much as those guys are producing this year this shouldn’t be happening in dynasty. The talent is clearly still there as much as Cooper has struggled with drops his first two seasons he still managed over 1,000 yards in back to back seasons. Cooper has been rumored to have knee issues but either way, this has to get figured out we can only hope with Carr most likely returning this week the Raiders find a way to get him the ball because him being out targeted by a banged up Michael Crabtree and Seth Roberts is unacceptable.

 

  • Zero RB Takes

 Yes, the bell cows bounced back last week and in a way the top tier kept their value going into week six. Melvin Gordon and Fournette had monster games with two touchdowns each and on limited carries, Bell produced on his ten receptions. Zero RB was back in a big way week five with Aaron Jones, Buck Allen, Marlon Mack and Andre Ellington all finishing as an RB1 this week. Charcandrick West outscored Kareem Hunt, Doug Martin in his first game back on limited snaps produced and Jerick McKinnon solidified himself as the Dalvin Cook replacement all turning in RB1 performances. I have a few takeaways as I just love covering this topic every single week. Wayne Gallman will start going forward for the Giants but McAdoo in his time as an offensive coordinator and head coach has a history of not giving one RB more than 20 touches. Assuming Vereen and Orleans Darkwa and Mr. Bad at football Paul Perkins stays in the mix this committee could be extremely frustrating. Lev Bell will be force fed the rest of this season after that debacle against the Jaguars on Sunday and the obvious regression of his quarterback. The RBBC teams seem to grow every week with the Eagles, Cardinals, Seahawks, Saints, and Patriots leading the way we now have potentially the Lions, Broncos and Packers to add to this list making start and sit decisions much more difficult every week for our dynasty teams. The RB landscape switches on a dime so we will follow this all season along.

 

  • Interesting On Pace Stats

 Came across these interesting on pace stats on my twitter timeline make sure you guys give credit and follow @PyroStag on twitter.

 

  • 13 RBs on pace for over 500+ yards

# of players in past years: ‘12- 1, 13’- 11, 14’- 3, 15”- 5, 16’-4

 

  • 13 RBs on pace for 1000 rushing yards

# of players in past years: 12’-16, 13’- 13, 14’- 13, 15’- 7, 16’- 12

 

  • 7 RBs on pace for 10+ rushing touchdowns

# of players in past years: 12’- 8, 13’- 5, 14’- 2,15’- 5, 16’- 7

 

  • 6 WRs on pace for 100+ receptions

# of players in past years: 12’- 5, 13’- 5, 14’- 4, 15’- 7, 16’- 3

 

  • 14 WRs on pace for 1000 receiving yards

# of players in past years: 12’- 19, 13’- 23, 14’- 21, 15’- 22, 16’- 23

 

  • 7 WRs on pace for 10+ touchdowns

# of players in past years: 12’- 5, 13’- 5, 14’- 4, 15’- 7, 16’- 3

 

 

Dynasty Stashes

  • Travis Rudolph – 18 touchdowns in his three years at Florida State. Giants in desperate need of pass catchers.
  • Jake Butt – Rumored to be practicing next week. Butt one of the most productive college TEs before an injury in a bowl game. Complete TE worth buying low to stash on your roster for the future.
  • Jamize Olawale – Deep stash has seen some work the past two weeks. Lynch injury away from potential goal line and passing work. Raiders RB rotation is complicated worth a hail mary.


Decided against the Buy Low/Sell High this week but the advice I’ll give is go after those top injured players if you aren’t a contender this season and see if you can get an elite injured player for cheaper than expected for next season. There are elite injured players at QB, RB, WR and TE this early in the season and you may find a win now team that’s willing to sell slightly lower now to give them the advantage to win it all this year. Alright, That’s it for this week guys I hope you enjoy the weekly content and I’ll keep them coming. Follow all the Nerds staff on twitter that contribute regularly and as always keep building your dynasty teams whether it be for this season or next. Hit me up on twitter as always to talk dynasty I’ll see you again next week for the week six takeaways.

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About JonGlosser

Buffalo N.Y native, Die hard Syracuse basketball fan. Fell in love with football at a young age and can't keep my opinions to myself, so I decided to write about them. Enjoy