There are very few games left in the regular season and with the trade deadline, either this week or rapidly approaching any extra information you can have can only help you make the tough decisions. In this game, we are constantly trying to improve even if you’re carrying a great team into the late season you can always add a piece to help put you over the top. Hope everyone enjoys this weeks talking points and continues their championship drive or stocks up those picks for the rookie draft.
Decided to do something different this week and break down each of the first 6 RBs in dynasty through nine weeks.
- Todd Gurley – Gurley ranks first in the NFL in many categories just as he does in dynasty fantasy football. The 182 carries for Gurley is 31 more than the next closest and he has a touchdown in 12 straight games. Gurley currently has more points than the Buffalo Bills team. The last player to outscore a team by himself was LaDainian Tomlinson during the 2006 season. Gurley is currently averaging less than one full fantasy point than L.T. did in that amazing 2006 season.
- Alvin Kamara – Kamara has had one bad game all season in the Mark Ingram return game before the bye. Since that game, the Saints have played three games and Kamara has 6 touchdowns. Kamara has out-touched Ingram in every game since the bye including inside the 10-yard line where he has four touchdowns. Kamara has been unstoppable yet again in 2018.
- Saquon Barkley – All but guaranteed the offensive rookie of the year Quon has been special. Barkley has 7 of the Giants 14 total offensive touchdowns. Over 1,000 scrimmage yards and 7 touchdowns in his first season with games yet to play. Barkley’s rushing statistics haven’t blown anyone away but with his team rushing only 32% of plays which is the lowest in the NFL there’s nothing to worry about. Barkley has a realistic chance to go over 2,000 scrimmage yards in his rookie season in the words of the great Adrian Peterson the sky is truly the limit for Barkley.
- James Conner – This has truly been a great underdog story and as dynasty owners, we would hate to see it come to an end. Conner has just been awesome this season leading the AFC in rushing yards and scrimmage yards for RBs and only Todd Gurley with more in the entire league. Conner just scored his 10th touchdown on Thursday Night Football out doing his former teammate Le’Veon Bell who has never had more than 9. Bell may return but regardless what happens this season has been a fun ride for Conner and I don’t think this guy is going anywhere he has proved his worth.
- Kareem Hunt – After a slow start to the season Hunt has just dominated in his last six games. Hasn’t finished outside of RB16 in his last eight games played. His 24 touchdowns are the most ever by a Chiefs player in their first 25 games. Hunt has reached the territory of demanding two first-round picks plus in dynasty value.
- James White – The streak continues for White and his great season. White will really have to tank to not finish this season as an RB1. While being on the field for 60% of the offensive snaps he has done nothing but produce in a season where Gronk has been nonexistent in the offense. Even if you take away the rushing numbers from White this season he still remains as an RB1 through the first nine weeks. White has been a tough guy to acquire in dynasty leagues because of how productive he has been I’ve seen very few bad teams that are rostering White. If you have him you are most likely enjoying this run and deciding if you will sell White this offseason.
Instant Dynasty Reaction: Dez Bryant
- Dez Bryant – Now this is more of a useless talking point now after the news broke of Dez tearing his Achilles in practice. It’s truly a shame because Dez was truly a great player at one time. Anytime you can add a piece like that to a high powered offense you have to at least get a little bit excited. Dez may never play this game again but I’ll say what I wanted too about his value pre-injury. Dez was likely going to be the slot WR and taking most of Ben Watson’s red zone targets. Watson who has had 9/105/2 stat line in his last two games has had value in this offense. Dez was coming off his worst year as a number one WR playing 16 games for the first time since 2015. The Saints lost Cam Meredith who has been a big disappointment and was hoping Dez could pick up the slack. Likely with Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara, there weren’t many targets to go around so Dez would have been TD dependent at best. It’s a shame we won’t get to see Dez back on the field and return some dynasty value to those who kept him on their rosters for the whole season. It’s rare players ever bounce back from Achilles injuries but there’s hope that Dez can play again the question will be can you afford to keep him on medium to shallow dynasty rosters for that slim chance to play again.
Dynasty 10 Pack: Stats To Know
- Logan Thomas had 7 catches in week nine. Most by a Bills player since November of 2017.
- AJG loss means 26% of targets and 50% of end zone targets available in Bengals pass game.
- Since week 5 only James White and Saquon Barkley average more receptions per game for RBs than Jalen Richard.
- Jordan Howard gets 64% of the RB opportunities when Chicago has the lead, Tarik Cohen leads the team in targets and gets 45% of the RB opportunities when Chicago is trailing.
- Over the past month, both Chris Herndon and Jeff Heuerman have been TE1’s. Both currently rank as TE2’s for the season.
- Christian McCaffrey has played 96.5% of plays thats the highest rate in the league.
- Kareem Hunt averaging over 137 yards from scrimmage in the last six games with 10 total touchdowns.
- Matt Stafford has finished as a QB1 only once all season. Lowest pass yards per game since 2010.
- Dion Lewis has 277 yards last two games in firmly in contention to sneak back into late RB1 territory.
- Los Angeles Rams offense averages 44.1 yards per possession. Best in the NFL.
- J Howard – From time to time I like to bring up a certain player who is flying under the radar during the season this week, it’s O.J Howard. Now I’m sure you guys aren’t oblivious Howard is a special talent and playing well ranking as the TE6 this season with a bye week and a missed game and a half already this season. Howard hasn’t been talked about in the dynasty community nearly as much as George Kittle and David Njoku this year. I have discussed how great I think this TE class will be and already is a few weeks back. Howard seems the easiest to acquire of the three right now in dynasty. Outside of week 4 Howard has had 50+ yards in every game and ranks third in fantasy points per game for TEs only to Ertz and Kelce. The five touchdowns this season for Howard is also third-best among TEs. PFF has Howard rated as their single highest graded TE. The hype right now of George Kittle is the main reason I have found Howard to be easier to acquire in dynasty leagues. Most recent ADP data has Kittle going 49th overall and Howard 64th. The difference there in ADP is not worth the difference in production. While Kittle is currently the TE3 through nine weeks, Howard has been a TE1 five times this season including the TE5 three times. With the wasteland the TE position has become over the past few years in dynasty it would be great to have a top tier TE for years to come and O.J Howard offers you that chance. Whenever I see a great player flying under the radar I will always advocate for buying them.
Commit To Your Strategy
- Dynasty Trades – The greatest thing about this game is there’s no right or wrong way to approach trading. If you play this game long enough you will come across many different strategies. How you choose to approach trading can have a great deal with how many championships you will win.
- Selling For It All – The most common strategy guys use at this time of the year. It’s easy to be a guaranteed playoff team and look to the bottom of the league and try to pick veterans off of those teams to acquire for draft picks. This is the most common because when you are a bad team there’s no chance you can get better by not trading or acquiring picks. This comes with a risk even as a contender because if you don’t win it all you’ll most likely regret some of those trades when the next rookie draft is happening.
- Staying Put – A strategy most of the league likely complains about but we have all seen those dynasty players. A middling team that has no desire to buy or sell players unless something blows them away. It’s a league morale killer but everyone plays this game differently and you can’t hate these guys even though you might want to. As a dynasty player being the 5th to 8th best record in a league is the most frustrating spot to be. It’s usually the more aggressive and experienced dynasty players that can realize if they are a contender or not early enough in a season to turn it around one way or another. It’s a tough realization to come to for a dynasty player but one that more than likely you will have to come up against occasionally if you play this game long enough.
- More Picks – A strategy that I prefer on the few bad dynasty teams I have. When you are selling for picks you have to be realistic in player values and how your league rules affect those picks and values. This strategy obviously most common for the rebuilding teams when selling for picks you are betting on yourself and how well you will draft. There’s very few contenders or middling teams that will value 2nd or 3rd round picks highly but as a rebuilder, those picks can be so valuable. Buying picks midseason is far easier than in rookie drafts. You will be surprised how much control over the league you can have by rolling into a rookie draft with multiple picks in each round. These picks can help you move up or down easier in a draft as well as help acquire proven talent with other owners wanting rookies in the draft.
No matter your strategy in dynasty it’s important to commit to it. Understanding your league rules and scoring helps provide you with the most useful tools when creating values for players or rookie picks. The best leagues I’m in have very aggressive players who like to trade constantly although this creates chaos in group chats from time to time I wouldn’t have it any other way. Dynasty strategy talking points could go on for hours I will have more of this in the offseason for the nerds out there.