The Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit with Advanced Stats was curated by Senior Staff Nerd Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. Whether you’re setting lineups for redraft, dynasty, or DFS, these stats highlight usage trends and defensive tendencies that go beyond the 2025 box score—giving you the inside info you need to win in Week 15!
Use these metrics alongside Dynasty Nerds Week 15 Waiver Wire article and our All-in-One Weekly Content hub to optimize your fantasy football lineups.
Below in each dropdown are the full Week 15 Team Stats powered by Fantasy Points Data Suite. Use these metrics to make informed Start/Sit decisions, place prop bets, or make DFS lineup calls.
TreVeyon Henderson – The Patriots running back comes with a favorable matchup against the Bills, which allows the 3rd most YACO per attempt (2.37), only if he can see the workload to produce for us in Week 15.
James Cook – It’s not an ideal matchup, but the Patriots have allowed 90 all-purpose yards to an opposing running back in 3 of the last 5 games.
Ladd McConkey – The Chargers run a high percentage of snaps in the slot, and the Chiefs allowed the 5th most slot target % in the league.
Patrick Mahomes – Mahomes could struggle against his division foe, the Chargers, as they allow the 3rd-lowest Adj Comp % (71.3%). Mahomes is already sitting in the bottom half at 75.5%.
Cedric Tillman – It’s a long shot for the Browns receiver, but the Bears play the 5th most man coverage, and Tillman ranks 12th in win rate vs man coverage.
Shedeur Sanders – The rookie quarterback could build off last week against the Bears this week. The Bears allow the 5th-highest Adj Comp % (78.8%). Sanders ranked last among starters, so that we could see more efficiency from him.
Team Stats | Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Browns
🔴 4
🟡 11
🟡 11
🟡 19
45.5
54.5
72.7
27.3
62.2
17.2
174.2
95.6
Bears
🟢 24
🟡 17
🟢 30
🟡 17
33.6
62.7
49.2
50.8
66.4
25.7
217.1
152.6
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Browns
Shedeur Sanders
QB3
69%
16.4
16.4
204.8
1.5
29.5
79.1
78.1
96.0
65.6
67.0
64.0
52.4
8.0
Bears
Caleb Williams
Low QB2
75%
20.6
17.1
248.4
1.7
37.3
98.1
83.0
83.1
90.9
50.0
72.1
58.9
8.6
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
Last 4 Wks FPPG
Touches/G
ATT %
Snap %
TGT %
i5 %
i20 %
EXP Run %
MTF/Att
YACO/Att
YBCO/Att
XFP
Browns
Quinshon Judkins
High RB2
87%
12.2
11.5
19.0
65
50
6.0
71.4
73.2
3.3
0.14
2.3
1.4
14.0
Browns
Dylan Sampson
Outside Top 48
48%
4.7
6.7
5.5
14
24
7.1
0.0
8.5
4.5
0.20
2.3
0.3
5.2
Bears
D’Andre Swift
High RB3
78%
13.0
10.1
17.1
44
58
9.8
63.2
44.6
5.8
0.17
2.1
2.7
14.0
Bears
Kyle Monangai
High RB3
78%
8.6
12.1
10.9
32
41
3.7
33.3
36.5
4.4
0.11
2.4
2.4
8.3
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
SLOT RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Browns
Jerry Jeudy
High WR4
68%
6.1
6.3
6.5
18.5
0.19
33.3
0.92 🔴
Nahshon Wright
24.5
11.8
17.1
160.0
6.0
25.5
Browns
Cedric Tillman
Outside Top 60
40%
4.5
2.6
3.9
10.6
0.14
25.7
0.88 🔴
Jaylon Johnson
27.4
8.7
31.2
38.0
3.0
13.7
Browns
Isaiah Bond
Outside Top 60
35%
2.5
2.7
3.1
8.2
0.10
20.5
0.76 🔴
C.J. Gardner-Johnson
14.3
8.8
43.9
51.0
3.0
10.0
Bears
DJ Moore
High WR4
68%
8.2
6.8
5.2
14.6
0.16
29.8
0.95 🔴
Myles Harden
25.0
9.0
31.7
186.0
6.0
17.3
Bears
Rome Odunze
—
—
10.3
4.6
7.5
21.9
0.24
30.1
—
—
26.2
11.5
38.5
226.0
11.0
26.2
Bears
Luther Burden III
Low WR3
74%
5.3
6.6
3.3
10.0
0.24
13.8
1.25 🟢
Tyson Campbell
21.4
3.8
43.4
205.0
0.0
13.7
Bears
Olamide Zaccheaus
Outside Top 60
35%
4.7
2.9
4.4
12.6
0.22
19.1
1.01 🟡
Denzel Ward
11.1
6.0
49.2
129.0
3.0
13.8
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
SLOT RTE %
INLINE RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
Browns
David Njoku
Outside Top 24
50%
5.8
2.3
4.0
10.5
0.2
21.5
31.8
53.5
172.0
3.0
12.8
7.1
3.1
Browns
Harold Fannin Jr.
Mid TE1
85%
8.8
10.3
6.5
18.5
0.3
25.5
45.8
37.3
317.0
1.0
20.5
10.2
2.8
Bears
Cole Kmet
Outside Top 24
45%
4.2
6.0
2.9
8.5
0.2
18.3
20.5
52.7
98.0
3.0
8.1
11.1
1.3
Bears
Colston Loveland
Low TE1
81%
7.0
8.4
4.0
12.3
0.2
20.4
28.6
46.9
189.0
3.0
13.7
9.3
3.8
Washington Commanders (3-10) @ New York Giants (2-11)
Theo Johnson – Tight end Johnson could see a big opportunity against the Commanders, who allow the 3rd most slot % targets to pass catchers. Johnson runs over 50% of his runs from the slot.
Commanders QBs – Whoever plays QB for Washington this week has the potential to do well against the Giants, who have allowed 2 or more touchdowns to opposing QBs in 5 of the last 6 games.
Team Stats | Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Commanders
🟢 29
🟢 28
🟢 28
🟢 31
18.6
74.9
41.7
58.3
59.8
20.2
191.0
136.5
Giants
🟢 31
🟢 31
🟢 29
🔴 8
33.5
61.7
61.7
38.3
64.5
21.5
216.6
123.5
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Commanders
Jayden Daniels**
Low QB1
90%
18.6
2.7
220.0
1.4
34.9
83.9
85.6
101.0
78.8
45.4
76.8
61.7
7.9
Commanders
Marcus Mariota
High QB2
87%
15.6
14.2
205.5
1.3
24.4
77.4
85.1
82.4
86.5
40.0
72.8
69.6
9.5
Giants
Jaxson Dart
Low QB1
92%
19.4
13.6
189.3
1.8
27.6
80.4
99.3
83.8
102.6
52.4
74.3
64.5
8.4
** Jayden Daniels is uncertain for Week 15 as of Wednesday Morning.
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
Last 4 Wks FPPG
Touches/G
ATT %
Snap %
TGT %
i5 %
i20 %
EXP Run %
MTF/Att
YACO/Att
YBCO/Att
XFP
Commanders
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Outside Top 48
50%
6.6
3.0
10.3
34
38
3.1
22.2
24.6
4.0
0.12
2.4
2.0
6.9
Commanders
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Mid RB3
75%
5.7
8.1
7.5
22
28
0.6
38.9
40.7
3.7
0.11
3.0
1.6
5.1
Commanders
Jeremy McNichols
Outside Top 48
57%
3.9
2.9
3.8
9
31
6.0
5.6
8.2
9.4
0.31
4.5
2.1
4.0
Giants
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
High RB4
69%
7.3
11.4
12.3
29
49
8.0
10.0
15.5
2.7
0.07
2.0
1.8
8.9
Giants
Devin Singletary
Mid RB3
75%
5.2
13.2
7.5
22
27
3.1
28.0
21.1
1.2
0.08
1.9
1.6
6.1
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
SLOT RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Commanders
Terry McLaurin
High WR2
88%
9.6
12.4
6.8
19.8
0.25
26.3
1.30 🟢
Paulson Adebo
19.1
10.6
13.3
56.0
5.0
26.2
Commanders
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Mid WR3
74%
10.7
10.2
6.8
23.1
0.24
27.7
1.19 🟢
Andru Phillips
14.1
5.4
63.0
349.0
5.0
27.8
Giants
Wan’Dale Robinson
Mid WR1
84%
10.5
12.9
8.5
25.9
0.25
33.5
1.08 🟡
Noah Igbinoghene
18.1
3.9
68.0
369.0
5.0
30.9
Giants
Darius Slayton
Low WR4
62%
5.8
8.0
3.9
11.7
0.13
28.2
1.09 🟡
Mike Sainristil
11.7
4.8
18.1
165.0
2.0
15.0
Giants
Isaiah Hodgins
Outside Top 60
46%
6.8
6.8
4.3
14.4
0.20
25.0
1.13 🟡
Jonathan Jones
6.9
9.3
28.0
11.0
1.0
10.4
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
SLOT RTE %
INLINE RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
Commanders
Ben Sinnott
Outside Top 24
40%
1.0
0.7
0.3
1.1
0.09
3.9
23.4
59.6
21.0
0
0.4
11.1
0
Giants
Theo Johnson
High TE2
80%
7.4
6.2
5.2
16.2
0.2
27.7
52.8
26.9
174.0
7.0
18.9
15.6
3.5
Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) @ Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
AJ Brown – The Eagles receiver continues to be a good start against the Raiders, who play the most zone coverage in the league, and Brown ranks inside the top 15 among receivers.
Team Stats | Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Raiders
🟡 17
🟢 24
🟢 25
🔴 4
11.3
84.1
62.1
37.9
56.8
15.1
184.5
72.7
Eagles
🟡 16
🟢 25
🟡 14
🔴 3
24.0
71.4
46.4
53.6
58.0
22.5
196.3
108.5
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Raiders
Geno Smith**
QB3
60%
14.2
15.0
212.0
1.2
35.6
86.8
80.7
84.3
84.6
58.2
77.0
66.8
6.6
Raiders
Kenny Pickett
QB3
55%
2.9
10.3
37.0
0.3
5.3
49.6
143.2
71.9
155.6
16.2
92.3
57.1
8.3
Eagles
Jalen Hurts
High QB1
95%
23.8
17.0
236.9
2.3
33.3
119.3
95.5
107.3
100.1
39.8
75.6
62.3
9.1
** Geno Smith is uncertain for Week 15 as of Wednesday Morning.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – He should continue his dominance against the Colts, who run the 4th most man coverage. JSN ranks 10th in win rate vs man coverage (Separation).
Josh Downs – Downs runs a high percentage of snaps in the slot, and Seattle allowed the 3rd most slot target % in the league.
Team Stats | Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High %
2-High %
Offensive Plays
Points Per Game
Pass Yds/G
Rush Yds/G
Colts
🟡 13
🟡 12
🟢 26
🟢 26
33.8
57.8
54.0
46.0
60.2
28.9
237.5
130.9
Seahawks
🔴 9
🔴 5
🔴 4
🟢 27
19.4
76.3
54.3
45.7
58.5
29.8
235.6
117.8
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Colts
Riley Leonard**
QB3
40%
5.2
5.2
75.5
0.5
16.5
83.3
52.5
41.0
71.1
50.3
64.3
67.7
6.1
Seahawks
Sam Darnold
Mid QB2
83%
18.1
14.3
248.8
1.7
29.1
107.5
101.2
95.4
112.0
42.3
78.7
64.4
9.0
**Leonard is dealing with an injury and is uncertain to play. It could be Philip Rivers or Brett Rypien starting.
Josh Jacobs – The Packers RB will likely be a little touchdown-dependent this week against the Broncos, which will allow the lowest Exp Run% at 1.4%.
RJ Havrey – The rookie running back could see some involvement in the passing game, as the Packers have allowed at least 3 receptions to an opposing back in 5 straight games.
Team Stats | Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Packers
🔴 7
🔴 8
🟡 12
🟡 11
16.1
82.9
41.9
58.1
60.2
24.8
223.2
117.2
Broncos
🔴 6
🔴 6
🔴 2
🟢 22
33.5
63.5
42.9
57.1
64.1
23.7
220.2
121.8
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Packers
Jordan Love
High QB2
84%
20.1
22.0
245.5
1.7
32.6
119.3
97.4
112.4
99.8
46.4
78.5
62.2
8.9
Broncos
Bo Nix
High QB2
85%
21.2
15.7
252.8
1.8
39.1
104.9
81.4
90.4
82.6
54.1
76.1
63.4
8.0
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
Last 4 Wks FPPG
Touches/G
ATT %
Snap %
TGT %
i5 %
i20 %
EXP Run %
MTF/Att
YACO/Att
YBCO/Att
XFP
Packers
Josh Jacobs
Mid RB1
93%
16.0
9.9
19.8
55
64
10.1
90.0
68.2
4.4
0.18
2.3
1.7
16.3
Packers
Emanuel Wilson
Outside Top 48
53%
5.4
10.3
7.8
23
29
3.9
17.4
26.0
1.1
0.02
2.4
1.6
6.2
Broncos
RJ Harvey
Mid RB2
84%
10.2
15.1
9.8
26
36
8.9
43.8
31.6
3.3
0.19
1.8
2.1
10.1
Broncos
Jaleel McLaughlin
Outside Top 48
54%
3.8
5.0
5.0
5
14
2.6
20.0
14.3
0.12
1.6
2.2
4.3
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
SLOT RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Packers
Jayden Reed
High WR4
68%
5.7
7.3
3.0
11.5
0.30
10.0
1.12 🟡
Ja’Quan McMillian
0.0
0.0
80.0
20.0
1.0
15.2
Packers
Romeo Doubs
High WR5
56%
8.4
5.2
5.6
18.8
0.23
24.8
1.03 🟡
Riley Moss
26.0
11.2
17.6
130.0
8.0
22.6
Packers
Christian Watson
High WR3
78%
12.6
16.3
5.4
17.8
0.20
24.6
1.29 🟢
Pat Surtain
22.9
8.2
30.8
83.0
2.0
23.6
Packers
Dontayvion Wicks
Outside Top 60
40%
5.1
7.7
3.7
12.4
0.20
16.5
—
—
25.9
8.4
50.3
61.0
2.0
17.8
Broncos
Courtland Sutton
High WR3
76%
10.6
10.6
6.9
18.5
0.21
31.5
1.06 🟡
Carrington Valentine
25.7
13.0
19.8
211.0
5.0
23.4
Broncos
Troy Franklin
Low WR4
60%
8.8
5.4
6.8
18.3
0.24
28.1
0.97 🔴
Keisean Nixon
25.8
8.8
44.7
157.0
8.0
21.4
Broncos
Pat Bryant
High WR5
57%
3.7
7.2
2.8
7.2
0.15
17.3
0.77 🔴
Javon Bullard
22.2
6.8
58.7
118.0
3.0
8.4
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
SLOT RTE %
INLINE RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
Packers
Luke Musgrave
Outside Top 24
35%
1.9
1.9
1.7
5.7
0.2
10.5
32.4
57.4
46.0
0.0
6.2
13.8
1.1
Broncos
Evan Engram
Outside Top 24
58%
5.1
6.0
5.1
13.2
0.2
22.2
45.1
41.0
250.0
2.0
13.3
17.8
6.0
Tennessee Titans (2-11) @ San Francisco 49ers (9-4)
Tyler Shough – While the rookie has been on a roll, it could fall apart this week against the Panthers, who run the 3rd most zone plays. Shough ranked at the bottom in his QB rate vs. zone coverage.
Devin Neal – If the rookie running backs get another start, he’ll have a solid matchup against the Panthers, who allow the 3rd highest YBCO at 2.80. With that much yardage, Neal should be able to be very creative on his runs.
Matthew Stafford – The veteran QB should be able to oush the ball downfield against the Linos, who allow the highest Adot at 10.3. Stafford already ranks inside the top 10, so expect some big plays downfield.
Kyren Williams – The Rams RB will likely be a little touchdown-dependent this week against the Lions, which will allow the 2nd lowest Exp Run% at 2.1%.
JJ McCarthy – The Vikings QB could have another solid outing against the Cowboys, allowing the 2nd-highest ADJ Comp% at 80.5. A big bump up from McCarthy’s season percentage of 72.1%.
Dak Prescott – Despite Prescott’s hot streak in fantasy, it could be tough against the Vikings, who have allowed 1 passing touchdown in the last 5 games. In that span, they have not allowed a quarterback to pass for over 200 yards.
Team Stats | Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards /G
Rush Yards /G
Vikings
🔴 3
🟡 14
🔴 3
🟡 16
18.2
77.1
35.9
64.1
56.1
19.6
171.5
104.2
Cowboys
🟢 32
🟢 26
🟢 32
🔴 10
20.2
76.4
54.9
45.1
65.7
29.3
275.5
119.5
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Vikings
J.J. McCarthy
Low QB2
77%
14.5
11.6
175.9
1.6
31.1
66.5
62.4
63.6
71.6
39.3
72.1
70.9
9.5
Cowboys
Dak Prescott
Mid QB1
93%
23.6
26.6
290.4
2.2
40.6
106.1
95.8
90.7
111.9
44.4
78.5
64.5
8.2
Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 15 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
Last 4 Wks FPPG
Touches/G
ATT %
Snap %
TGT %
i5 %
i20 %
EXP Run %
MTF/Att
YACO/Att
YBCO/Att
XFP
Vikings
Aaron Jones
High RB3
77%
8.0
6.7
11.1
29
53
11.5
50.0
20.8
3.7
0.07
2.0
2.7
9.6
Vikings
Jordan Mason
High RB4
67%
8.3
7.8
11.2
48
45
3.8
75.0
66.7
5.3
0.17
2.5
2.2
7.8
Cowboys
Javonte Williams
Mid RB2
85%
14.9
12.1
19.1
63
76
8.5
68.0
68.2
4.7
0.13
3.0
1.8
16.8
Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
SLOT RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Vikings
Justin Jefferson
High WR3
79%
9.6
4.7
8.4
27.9
0.26
32.8
1.16 🟢
DaRon Bland
20.9
12.4
24.6
330.0
8.0
33.2
Vikings
Jordan Addison
Low WR3
72%
8.9
5.8
7.0
19.7
0.20
32.0
1.09 🟡
Shavon Revel
15.2
8.5
22.8
123.0
4.0
25.1
Vikings
Jalen Nailor
Outside Top 60
35%
4.6
1.7
3.2
10.3
0.10
23.4
0.86 🔴
Reddy Steward
22.2
7.4
60.9
101.0
5.0
10.8
Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb**
Low WR1
90%
13.3
15.1
8.9
22.3
0.27
31.7
1.30 🟢
Fabian Moreau
31.1
11.2
33.8
285.0
8.0
27.2
Cowboys
George Pickens
Mid WR1
94%
15.8
17.5
8.8
22.3
0.24
35.8
1.32 🟢
Isaiah Rodgers
26.2
11.9
10.5
388.0
16.0
28.4
Cowboys
Ryan Flournoy
Low WR4
60%
6.3
8.4
3.9
8.7
0.20
16.3
— 🔴
15.6
4.2
33.3
121.0
5.0
8.7
** Lamb uncertainfor Week 15.
Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 15 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
SLOT RTE %
INLINE RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
MAN WIN RATE
ZONE WIN RATE
Vikings
T.J. Hockenson
Outside Top 24
58%
6.0
6.6
4.6
15.4
0.2
25.8
40.8
43.8
188.0
3.0
14.2
9.7
3.4
Cowboys
Jake Ferguson
Mid TE1
83%
10.4
8.2
6.9
18.3
0.2
30.4
54.7
36.7
294.0
9.0
20.3
12.0
2.7
BREAKING NEWS
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Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats Glossary
This glossary explains every advanced stat used in The Full Slate Week 14 Start/Sit Preview. Each abbreviation includes a definition so you can make sharper lineup calls.
Full Glossary of Statistical Terms (Condensed Table)
QB efficiency metric factoring yards, TDs, INTs, and sacks. More accurate than yards per attempt.
Confidence Meter
Level of Confidence
Measures reliability of weekly fantasy projections. Higher = safer start/sit play.
ADOT
Average Depth of Target
Average air yards on a player’s targets. Higher ADOT = big-play role.
FPPG
Fantasy Points Per Game
Average fantasy points scored per week across positions.
YAC %
Yards After Catch Percentage
Share of a receiver’s yards that come after the catch. High YAC % = playmaking ability.
Total Yards/G
Total Yards per Game
Average rushing + passing yards per game. Useful for workload evaluation.
ADJ Comp %
Adjusted Completion Percentage
QB accuracy adjusted for drops, spikes, throwaways, batted passes, and pressure.
SCRM/G
Scrambles Per Game
Average QB scrambles per game. Adds rushing upside in fantasy scoring.
1 Read %
First Read Throw Percentage
% of throws to the first read or designed one-read plays. Reflects QB decision-making.
TD/G
Touchdowns Per Game
Average number of TDs per game (passing, rushing, or receiving).
Press %
Pressure Rate
Percentage of QB dropbacks under pressure. Impacts passing efficiency.
FP/DB
Fantasy Points per Dropback
QB fantasy efficiency metric: points scored per dropback.
CHK %
Checkdown Percentage
How often a QB targets short checkdowns. Higher = conservative play.
CPOE
Completion Percentage Over Expectation
QB completion % compared to expected based on depth/coverage. Shows accuracy skill.
i20 %
Inside 20 Rushing Share
% of team rush attempts inside the 20. Strong red-zone usage indicator.
Touches/G
Touches Per Game
Average carries + receptions per game for RB/WR/TE.
EXP Run %
Explosive Run Percentage
% of runs that go for 15+ yards. Shows big-play ability.
ATT %
Team Carry Share
Percentage of team rushing attempts handled by the RB.
MTF/ATT
Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt
How often a RB forces missed tackles on carries. Shows elusiveness.
TGT %
Target Share
% of team passing attempts going to a player. High TGT % = featured role.
YACO/ATT
Yards After Contact per Attempt
Average rushing yards after first contact. Indicates power running.
i5 %
Inside 5 Rushing Share
% of team rush attempts inside the 5. Heavy TD upside indicator.
YBCO/ATT
Yards Before Contact per Attempt
Average rushing yards before contact. Reflects O-line run blocking.
Off. Snaps/G
Offensive Snaps Per Game
Average number of plays a player is on the field per week.
XFP/G
Expected Fantasy Points per Game
Usage-based stat estimating expected PPR fantasy points per week.
TGT/G
Targets Per Game
Average number of targets a player gets each week.
YAC
Yards After Catch
Total receiving yards gained after the catch. Key WR/TE stat.
EZ TGT
End Zone Targets
Passes thrown to a receiver in the end zone. Strong TD predictor.
RTE/G
Routes Run Per Game
Average number of pass routes a player runs weekly.
SLOT RTE %
Slot Route Rate
% of player’s routes from the slot alignment. Shows usage role.
TPRR
Targets Per Route Run
How often a player is targeted per route. Efficiency in earning targets.
Zone Win Rate
Win Rate vs Zone
Receiver success rate against zone coverage.
Catch %
Catch Rate
% of total targets successfully caught. Basic WR efficiency stat.
Man Win Rate
Win Rate vs Man
Receiver success rate against man-to-man coverage.
Click above to see the Full Glossary of Statistical Terms
🧠 FAQ | Week 15 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats
Q1: Which Week 15 quarterbacks offer the most downfield passing upside based on ADOT?
A: ADOT tells you how aggressive a quarterback is at pushing the ball vertically. For Week 15, compare each QB’s ADOT in this guide to identify which passers create big-play chances instead of relying on short throws. Steven Pintado includes ADOT for every matchup so you can quickly spot the quarterbacks positioned for deeper shots this week.
Q2: How can YAC% help me find wide receivers with breakout potential in Week 15?
A: YAC% highlights which receivers generate extra yards after the catch — a major edge when choosing upside flex plays. A high YAC% means the receiver doesn’t need perfect volume to post a spike week. Use the YAC% numbers listed for every WR in this Week 15 preview to identify who’s most capable of turning short targets into meaningful production.
Q3: What advanced data points matter most for picking the right running backs in Week 15
A: Three metrics stand out: i20% (red-zone rushing share), YACO/ATT (yards after contact), and EXP Run% (rate of explosive gains). Together, they reveal which RBs have touchdown paths, tackle-breaking ability, and big-play upside. All of these are included under each Week 15 matchup, making it easy to compare RB profiles before setting your lineup.
Q4: How do defensive scheme tendencies influence wide receiver Start/Sit calls in Week 15?
A: Certain receivers excel against man coverage while others thrive against zone-heavy defenses. This article lists each defense’s coverage frequency — 2-Man, Zone, 1-High, and 2-High — along with every WR’s Man Win Rate and Zone Win Rate. Match your receivers to the opponent’s scheme tendencies to make sharper Week 15 decisions.
Q5: Which quarterbacks have the safest Week 15 floors based on their accuracy and coverage splits?
A: Look closely at metrics such as QB Rate vs Man, QB Rate vs Zone, and ADJ Comp%. These show how consistently a passer performs across different coverages and how well they maintain accuracy under pressure. The Week 15 tables include all of these splits, helping you find quarterbacks less likely to crater in challenging matchups.
Q6: How does TPRR help determine the most reliable wide receiver starters for Week 15
A: TPRR (Targets Per Route Run) measures how frequently a receiver earns a target whenever he’s on the field. High TPRR players rarely disappear, even when game scripts shift. With TPRR and target share listed for every WR in this Week 15 guide, you can quickly spot pass catchers who maintain steady involvement regardless of matchup.
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Member of the Dynasty Nerds Analytics/Writing Team Twitter: @coachstevep - A Jersey Guy working in Finance! Big Dolphins fan and have been playing fantasy football since 2008.
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