The Week 13 Thursday Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite . If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 13 Thursday Preview!
Chicago Bears (4-7) vs Detroit Lions (10-1)
Photo by Scott W GrauIcon Sportswire Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Team Def. Rank Vs. QBs Def. Rank Vs. RBs Def. Rank Vs. WRs Def. Rank Vs. TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty% 2-HI Sfty% Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game Bears 2nd 19th 8th 14th 20.2 74.1 59 41 65.2 20.1 187.6 111.3 Lions 5th 3rd 21st 1st 43.8 51.2 56 44 63.3 32.7 243.5 150.8
Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Chicago Bears Player Fantasy Rank Week 13 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Caleb Williams 26th Low QB2 65% 16.3 15.2 34.7 5.1 244.5 65.1 53.4 34.1 8.2 7.5 Detroit Lions Player Fantasy Rank Week 13 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Jared Goff 9th High QB2 88% 20.8 19.2 27.8 2.2 254.5 69.3 57.9 23.7 7.5 11.1
The Bears have allowed back-to-back QB1 performances (Both were NFC North QBs).
The Lions have not allowed a quarterback to throw for 2 touchdowns this season.
Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Chicago Bears Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT D’Andre Swift 21st High RB3 77% 14.3 11.9 15.3 55.8 64% 9.7 33.3 40.4 4.8 0.14 2.3 1.65 Roschon Johnson 43rd Low RB4 51% 7.7 6.1 2.9 15.9 34% 4.2 45 31.1 0 0.08 1.88 1.02 Detroit Lions Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT David Montgomery 13th Mid RB2 85% 16.3 16.5 13.2 40.7 42% 8.2 52.2 50 3.4 0.19 2.5 1.86 Jahmyr Gibbs 5th High RB1 96% 18.8 17.9 14.0 43.3 52% 9.7 47.8 39.5 11 0.23 2.3 3.45
The Bears have allowed a running back over 70 yards in 4-straight games.
The Lions have kept opposing running backs under 40 rushing yards in back-to-back games.
Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Chicago Bears Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender D.J. Moore 36th Mid WR3 75% 12.6 13.4 94% 7.3 21.2 37.7 26.7 322 6 26.3 20.5 8.3 0.03 1.02 Terrion Arnold Keenan Allen 44th Mid WR4 67% 10.4 12.2 85% 7.9 23.2 32.4 53.1 132 8 29.9 31.2 7.9 -0.01 1.03 Emmanuel Moseley Rome Odunze 61st Mid WR4 64% 8.9 10.5 82% 6.4 18.2 32.5 35.5 184 8 21.8 25.7 7.8 0.03 0.9 Amik Robertson Cole Kmet (TE)TE16 Low TE2 60% 9.2 6.0 84% 4.3 12.6 24.9 59.5 177 1 11.9 14.5 4 Detroit Lions Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender Amon-Ra St. Brown 4th Mid WR1 95% 18.5 21.9 90% 7.8 26.7 26.7 51.4 268 5 31.8 27.9 17.2 -0.10 1.56 Kyler Gordon Jameson Williams 31st High WR3 78% 13.0 14.2 79% 5.3 17.3 27.3 32.9 280 4 24.2 20.8 20.1 -0.01 1.21 Tyrique Stevenson Tim Patrick 101st Outside the Top 60 30% 4.5 4.6 55% 2.2 8.3 15.3 22.9 91 0 8.4 16.3 8.8 0.01 0.96 Jaylon Johnson Sam LaPorta (TE)TE19 High TE2 79% 8.5 8.4 79% 3.8 12.3 21.1 24.6 209 3 13.3 10 8.6
The Bears have allowed a 100-yard receiver in 3 of the last 5 games.
The Bears have allowed a 60-yard TE in 4 of the last 6 games
Since Week 4, the Lions have allowed a opposing receiver over 70 yards in each game.
The Lions have allowed only 2 TEs over 30 yards this season.
New York Giants (2-9) vs Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Photo by Andrew DiebIcon Sportswire Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Team Def. Rank Vs. QBs Def. Rank Vs. RBs Def. Rank Vs. WRs Def. Rank Vs. TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty% 2-HI Sfty% Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game Giants 24th 26th 13th 2nd 31.5 62.2 62.7 37.3 64.4 14.8 187.9 115.9 Cowboys 28th 30th 22nd 18th 28.8 67.9 55.5 44.5 65.1 20.1 240.6 82.5
Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview
New York Giants Player Fantasy Rank Week 13 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Tommy DeVito *39th QB3 45% 10.8 10.8 31.0 7.0 221.0 71 46.6 51.3 6.5 16.1 Dallas Cowboys Player Fantasy Rank Week 12 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Cooper Rush 45th QB3 40% 7.1 12.3 21.3 1.6 117.6 69.8 54.6 20.3 6.7 7.4
* Tommy DeVito may be a long shot to play – Drew Lock would be the starter (Still a QB3 value)
The Giants have allowed at least 20 rushing yards to a quarterback in 6 of the last 7 games.
The Cowboys have allowed a QB1 in 4 of the previous 5 games.
Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview
New York Giants Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT Devin Singletary 45th Low RB4 50% 7.3 5.9 8.0 27.4 55% 5.9 33.3 24.3 5 0.2 2.86 1.21 Tyrone Tracy 34th Low RB2 82% 9.9 10.8 10.5 39.7 45% 7.1 14.3 28.9 6.9 0.18 2.72 2.34 Dallas Cowboys Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT Ezekiel Elliott 60th Outside the Top 48 38% 4.4 2.1 5.8 23.9 32% 3.3 37.5 36.4 0 0.03 2.02 1.17 Rico Dowdle 31st Mid RB2 84% 11.2 11.6 11.2 46.1 49% 9.1 33.3 34.8 1.8 0.07 2.36 2
The Giants have allowed an RB15 or better finish in 5-straight games.
The Cowboys have allowed an 80-yard running back in 4 of the last 6 games.
Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview
New York Giants Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender Malik Nabers 9th High WR2 88% 16.9 12.7 92% 11.4 33.2 35.4 21.6 217 5 42.9 30 13.1 -0.18 1.09 Trevon Diggs Wan’Dale Robinson 42nd High WR5 58% 10.8 7.9 73% 8.1 22 31.7 79.1 238 0 25.5 19.4 5.5 -0.25 0.91 Jourdan Lewis Darius Slayton 64th Outside the Top 60 40% 8.6 4.5 85% 4.9 15.1 30.8 21.1 101 4 14.8 22.2 9.8 -0.18 0.87 DaRon Bland Theo Johnson (TE)TE34 Low TE2 54% 5.2 9.6 79% 3.5 9.4 27.0 50.8 132 1 10.3 12 1.5 Dallas Cowboys Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender CeeDee Lamb 6th Low WR1 91% 17.5 15.0 84% 10.7 25.1 35.7 51.7 357 8 32.3 24.5 12.1 0.10 1.35 Andru Phillips Jalen Tolbert 55th Outside the Top 60 42% 9.3 7.4 85% 5.2 12.6 35.8 29.4 82 6 13.9 12.5 7.3 0.14 0.99 Cordale Flott Luke Schoonmaker (TE)TE43 Outside the Top 24 50% 3.6 6.5 30% 2.3 5.4 10.1 42.3 69 2 5.2 15 5.6
** Brandin Cooks has been activiated off IR – is expect to have a role (Outside the Top 60)
The Giants have allowed 1 WR over 70 yards in 4-straight games.
Since Week 5, the Giants have not allowed a TE1 finish. (The last time was Dallas.)
The Cowboys have allowed a 100-yard receiver in 2 of the last 3 games.
Dallas has allowed 6 touchdowns to a TE in the last 7 games.
Miami Dolphins (5-6) vs Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Photo by Scott WintersIcon Sportswire Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Team Def. Rank Vs. QBs Def. Rank Vs. RBs Def. Rank Vs. WRs Def. Rank Vs. TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty% 2-HI Sfty% Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game Dolphins 3rd 20th 1st 16th 22.4 72.3 50.4 49.6 63.6 19.5 207.1 116.8 Packers 6th 15th 7th 22nd 23.1 73.1 52.8 47.2 61.9 26.2 230.3 151.6
Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Miami Dolphins Player Fantasy Rank Week 13 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Tua Tagovailoa 11st Mid QB2 80% 20.4 24.4 33.3 1.7 257.3 72.8 61.2 20 5.9 9.1 Green Bay Packers Player Fantasy Rank Week 13 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Jordan Love 10th Low QB1 90% 20.7 16.6 31.1 2.0 254.7 68.2 47.9 29.3 9.5 10.7
The Dolphins have forced an interception in 4-straight games.
Since Week 5, the Packers have allowed just 6 passing touchdowns.
Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Miami Dolphins Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT Raheem Mostert 49th Outside the Top 48 43% 6.2 3.8 7.5 19.0 33% 4.2 50 38.9 3.3 0.15 1.73 1.88 De’Von Achane 8th Mid RB1 95% 17.3 20.9 12.0 41.8 59% 14.8 50 42.6 4.5 0.18 2.18 2.08 Jaylen Wright 86th Outside the Top 48 49% 2.4 1.1 5.9 18.7 22% 0.9 0 11.1 6.8 0.17 2.36 1.76 Green Bay Packers Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT Josh Jacobs 11st High RB2 89% 16.5 21.6 18.4 58.2 67% 8.8 72.2 53.2 4 0.21 2.79 1.89 Emanuel Wilson 54th Outside the Top 48 42% 5.2 5.2 6.0 19.0 19% 3.4 5.6 12.9 6.1 0.12 2.55 2.18
Miami has not allowed an RB1 in 5-straight games.
The Packers have allowed a 70-yard running back in 4 of the last 5 games.
Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Miami Dolphins Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender Tyreek Hill 39th Low WR2 82% 11.7 13.2 80% 6.6 19.9 27.3 36.3 206 8 24.6 23.4 7.7 -0.06 1.17 Keisean Nixon Jaylen Waddle 47th High WR4 69% 9.9 12.6 80% 5.1 15.7 26.7 27.6 215 2 17.7 29.3 7.6 -0.12 1.02 Carrington Valentine Jonnu Smith (TE) TE6 Mid TE1 88% 11.4 17.2 51% 5.7 17.4 20.1 52 312 3 19.2 4.3 3.8 Green Bay Packers Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender Christian Watson 77th Low WR4 61% 7.2 9.4 59% 3.4 11.6 15.9 26.4 96 6 14.1 30 17.2 -0.24 1.23 Kader Kohou Jayden Reed 26th Low WR2 80% 13.5 10.6 56% 4.7 16.3 22.5 80.2 316 2 21.2 25.4 8.4 -0.36 1.00 Jalen Ramsey Dontayvion Wicks 89th Outside the Top 60 47% 5.7 1.2 51% 4.2 14.1 13.7 29.1 72 7 15.9 41.2 18.5 -0.38 1.11 Storm Duck Tucker Kraft (TE) TE13 Low TE1 81% 9.7 6.1 80% 3.6 11.9 23.1 32.7 296 1 11.5 6.3 2.8
The Dolphins have not allowed a receiver to score in 3-straight games.
The Dolphins have allowed 55-or-more yards to a TE in 3 of the last 5 games.
The Packers have not allowed a receiver over 70 yards since Week 5.
The Packers have allowed a TE over 40 yards in 4 of the last 6 games.
Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) vs Kansas City Chiefs (10-1)
Photo by Scott WintersIcon Sportswire Game Summary | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Team Def. Rank Vs. QBs Def. Rank Vs. RBs Def. Rank Vs. WRs Def. Rank Vs. TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty% 2-HI Sfty% Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game Raiders 25th 18th 11st 30th 24.9 71.4 55.7 44.3 62.2 18.7 218 74.6 Chiefs 23rd 1st 15th 27th 36.1 55.5 40 60 65.7 24.5 226.5 116.3
Quarterbacks | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Las Vegas Raiders Player Fantasy Rank Week 13 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Aidan O’Connell 46th QB3 30% 6.6 0 20.5 0.0 113.8 59.8 54.1 28.2 6.8 8.5 Kansas City Chiefs Player Fantasy Rank Week 13 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT CHK % Patrick Mahomes 12th Mid QB1 95% 20.1 26.4 34.6 4.0 259.9 62.2 60.3 29.7 6.1 8.1
The Raiders have allowed 250 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in 4-straight games.
The Chiefs have allowed 260 passing yards in back-to-back games.
Running Backs | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Las Vegas Raiders Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT Zamir White 67th Outside the top 48 30% 3.7 4 8.1 28.1 31% 2.8 20 21.9 1.5 0.08 1.77 1.05 Alexander Mattison 32nd High RB4 66% 10.8 6.8 9.7 42.0 50% 7.7 64.3 51.3 3.1 0.13 2.18 1.12 Ameer Abdullah 51st Low RB4 51% 5.5 11.3 2.3 10.8 38% 6.0 14.3 12.2 4.0 0.2 1.7 2.7 Kansas City Chiefs Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks ATT/G ATT % Off. Snaps/G TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT Isiah Pacheco 15th Low RB3 69% 16.0 0 17.0 10.8 73% 15.1 50.0 70.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 2.0 Samaje Perine 55th Outside the Top 48 25% 5.1 6.6 1.4 4.8 26% 6.6 3.8 1.5 0 0.07 2.13 2.4 Kareem Hunt 17th Low RB2 80% 14.8 13.4 19.4 49.2 60% 6.9 83.3 71.4 1.3 0.09 2.05 1.67
Keep your eyes on the practice reports – Ameer Abdullah could get another start (would be a High RB4)
The Raiders have allowed a 70-yard running back in 4 of the last 6 games.
The Chiefs have not allowed a running back over 60 rushing yards.
Pass Catchers | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Las Vegas Raiders Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender Jakobi Meyers 21st Mid WR3 75% 14.1 16.5 92% 8.3 21.5 36.8 33.5 186 4 28.3 21.6 6.9 -0.08 0.80 Nazeeh Johnson Tre Tucker 70th Outside the Top 60 38% 7.9 8.1 85% 5.1 13.3 34.9 26.6 167 1 18.6 13.6 4.8 -0.05 1.07 Trent McDuffie Brock Bowers (TE) TE2 High TE1 95% 15.2 18.2 81% 9.0 23.1 31.5 56.1 401 4 27.1 14.9 3.9 Kansas City Chiefs Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 13 Ranking Start % FP/G FP/G Last 4 Weeks Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE Matchup Advantage Defender DeAndre Hopkins 55th Mid WR3 75% 9.3 14.7 50% 4.4 13.9 23 29.2 60 5 18.4 21.7 10.8 0.26 1.36 Decamerion Richardson Xavier Worthy 51st Low WR4 60% 9.5 6.8 64% 5.2 13.9 28 33.1 196 4 19 21.2 4.9 0.12 1.00 Jack Jones JuJu Smith-Shuster 109th Outside the Top 60 25% 4.1 1.7 63% 2.1 5.8 13.4 48.6 111 1 6.1 25 5.5 Travis Kelce (TE) TE5 High TE1 97% 12.3 14.4 83% 8.0 22.3 30.7 42.3 259 3 26.2 22.9 6.5 Noah Gray (TE) TE23 Low TE2 55% 7.6 11.2 61% 2.7 3.6 5.9 4.6 61 1 3 0 6.3
The Raiders have allowed opposing WR1s to have 60 yards and a touchdown in back-to-back games.
The Raiders have allowed a 90-yard TE with a touchdown in 3 of the last 4 games.
The last time Brock Bowers played the Chiefs, he had 5 receptions for 58 yards.
More Week 13 Matchup Content
If you enjoyed this Week 13 Thursday/Friday Preview, I encourage you to check out some of our other articles:
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Glossary of Terms | Week 13 Thursday Preview
Quarterbacks FP/G Fantasy Points per Game YPA Passing Yards per Attempt SCRM QB Rush Attempts per Game YDS/G Yards Per Game First Read % Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws YAC % Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch Press % Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure ADOT Average Depth of Target
Running Backs FP/G Fantasy Points per Game ATT/G Attempts per Game ATT % Team Carry Share TGT % Team Target Share Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps per Game i5 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries i20 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries EXP RUN % Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards MTF/ATT Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt YACO/ATT Yards After Contact per Attempt YBCO/ATT Yards Before Contact per Attempt
Pass Catchers FP/G Fantasy Points per Game Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps Per Game TGT/G Targets Per Game TGT % Team Target Share RTE/G Routes Run Per Game SLOT RTE % Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot YAC Yards After the Catch EZTGT Endzone Targets 1READ % Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets MAN WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score ZONE WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score Matchup Score A weighted score taking into account league average CB play vs. the totality of the CBs a WR is slated to face in a given matchup + how much we expect him to face each CB individually, not just the one he will see the most Advantage Score A weighted score taking into account the skill gap between a WR and the totality of CBs he’s expected to face. A player of high caliber may have a poor matchup score but still have a strong advantage score and vice versa.
Written by
Steven Pintado
Member of the Dynasty Nerds Analytics/Writing Team Twitter: @coachstevep - A Jersey Guy working in Finance! Big Dolphins fan and have been playing fantasy football since 2008.
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