Hey Nerds! The Dynasty Nerds writers are here to provide you with weekly starts and sits. We will be making our recommendations based on weekly consensus PPR rankings from FantasyPros. Here is our squad and the position groups they will be covering to help you each week. Follow us, friend us, tweet us.
- QB: Jayson Snyder (@Spydes78)
- RB: Gage Bridgford (@gbridgfordnfl)
- WR: Tristan Cook (@tristancook_)
- TE: Jake O (@DarthDbacks)
- FLEX: Ethan Wyatt (@dynastywildcat)
- IDP: Jon Glosser (@Glosser13)
We look forward to hearing from you!
NOTE: Rankings are based on a 12-team PPR league. So, saying WR2 means top 24, or TE1 means top 12, etc. and are pulled from Fantasy Pros consensus expert rankings.
About Last Week…
Previous Week Record: 1-3
Season Long Record: 24-21
Week 11 Starts:
It was another rough week for the predictions of yours truly in Week 11. Unfortunately, the NFL is often impervious to the most rational data trends and sound reasoning. Such is life.
The lone bright spot came with my suggestion to roll with Aaron Rodgers against the Vikings. Despite Green Bay finding themselves on the losing side, the game itself proved to be the shootout that I suspected. With 385 yards and 4 touchdowns, Rodgers ended with 33.5 fantasy points and was Week 11’s QB2.
Unfortunately, my recommendation to start Joe Burrow was not nearly as fruitful. The Raiders unexpectedly posed a major obstacle to a Bengals passing offense that had been hot heading into their bye. Joe Mixon instead carried the day for Cincinnati, with Burrow limited to 148 yards and a single touchdown. The Bengals secured the win. But as the QB24, Joe fell far short of my expectations.
Week 11 Sits:
Suggesting that readers avoid Taylor Heinicke against the Panthers almost seemed too easy. Carolina had put a stranglehold on opponents, and Heinicke’s early season success seemed like a distant memory. That’s why they play the games. Heinicke showed up in a big way, propelling Washington to an upset victory with 205 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Lastly, was my ill fated suggestion to sit Jalen Hurts in Week 11. If you recall, I reasoned that the Eagles had leaned heavily into a rush first attack which had limited Hurts’ output statistically in recent weeks. As it turned out, I was partially correct. The Eagles continued to define themselves as a run first team, and Hurts managed only 147 yards and no touchdowns through the air. What I failed to foresee, was that Hurts would collect a franchise record 3 touchdowns with his legs. These valuable ground stats made Hurts a standout QB3, slashing my recommendation to ribbons.
WEEK 12 STARTS
In Week 11, microscopic germs did what gargantuan defenders could not in 2021. They silenced Lamar Jackson. After being unable to take the field versus the Bears due to a non-Covid illness, expect a well-rested Jackson to return to the limelight in Week 12.
Prior to feeling unwell, Jackson had been playing at a torrid pace. In the 3 weeks preceding his absence, Lamar had averaged an impressive 24.5 fantasy points per game. Over this stretch, no quarterback produced at a higher rate.
Jackson’s anticipated return will come Sunday night in a primetime matchup against division foe, Cleveland. Following a successful 2020 campaign, the last place Browns have by all accounts regressed this season. Against quarterbacks, Cleveland has surrendered an average of 18.2 fantasy points per game, 12th most porous in the league. It feels like an ideal matchup for Jackson.
Oddsmakers seem to agree. Despite uncertainty regarding Jackson’s recovery from illness, they have still assigned a robust over/under of 46.5, with the Ravens favored by a beefy 4.5. Expect both of these marks to inflate with any positive news regarding Jackson’s health.
Take advantage of short memories and a great matchup to get a dynamic playmaker like Lamar Jackson in your Week 12 lineup.
Though often overlooked, he’s a rock solid fantasy producer. Kirk Cousins isn’t a player anyone brags about but he quietly delivers.
Over the last four weeks, Cousins is the QB5, dropping an average of 19.4 fantasy points per contest. Over that stretch, he has accumulated 8 touchdowns without a single interception. In Week 11, he went toe to toe statistically with a white hot Aaron Rodgers, and emerged victorious. He’s on a roll, folks.
In Week 12 Cousins and the Vikes will take the show on the road to San Francisco. The Niners too have been operating at a high level of late, winning 3 of their last 4, including an impressive Week 10 drubbing of the Rams.
However, when you dig a bit deeper, you find that the Niners’ recent success has come despite a permeable pass defense. Relinquishing an average of 18.5 fantasy points per game to QBs, San Francisco is currently the 10th worst unit in the league.
A high flying Minnesota passing attack coupled with a susceptible Niner defense seems to bode well for Cousins in this matchup. And, handicappers seem to agree. With an over/under of 48.5 and San Francisco favored by a scant 2.5, points are on the menu.
Forget the style points, and beam up Captain Kirk this week for some reliable fantasy production.
WEEK 12 SITS
Poor, Teddy. Things once looked so promising. The former first round selection appeared destined for greatness after leading the Vikings to an 11-5 sophomore season.
Then came a horrific knee injury, which led many to question whether he’d ever walk again let alone lace up his cleats. After months and months of arduous rehabilitation, the young quarterback landed an apprenticeship, biding his time while learning from all-time great Drew Brees.
In 2020, Bridgewater finally found an opportunity to start in Carolina. But after a single disappointing season, he was shipped off to Denver for minimal return.
And now, with a 5-5 record on a floundering Broncos squad, it’s fair to wonder whether Teddy’s last days as an NFL starter are circling the drain. Over the last 4 weeks, Bridgewater is the QB24, averaging a meager 14.5 fantasy points per game.
In Week 12, Teddy will take on the visiting Chargers, winners of 2 of their last 3. Los Angeles is of course helmed by Brandon Staley, a defensive-minded up and comer. Under his leadership, the Chargers have been tough on opposing quarterbacks, surrendering an average of just 16.1 fantasy points per game. This mark qualifies L.A. as the 6th most smothering group in the NFL.
With Denver fading, and facing a stout Chargers squad, things seem bleak for the resurrection of ‘Teddy Two-Gloves’. Vegas has installed Los Angeles as a slight road favorite, with scoring likely to be at a premium in a matchup of skilled pass defenses.
Rather than start Bridgewater in Week 12, savvy owners will look to trade him for whatever remaining value he may hold before the last grains of sand pass through the hourglass.
Daniel Jones’ three year career has not been without promise. However, Monday night’s visit to Tampa Bay was certainly not a high point.
Jones ended up with 167 yards, a touchdown, and 2 interceptions against a banged up and vulnerable Bucs pass defense. It was a thoroughly underwhelming performance. So much so that by Tuesday morning, offensive coordinator Jason Garrett, had been relieved of his post.
But lest you think this a knee jerk reaction by Giants owner, John Mara, let us examine recent trends. Over the last 4 weeks, Daniel Jones has been the QB34, mustering an average of 11.6 fantasy points per game. There are only 32 teams in the NFL, gang. It’s been pretty brutal for the G-Men.
So, now what? Well, the long and short is that Jones and the reeling Giants will need to scramble together a game plan on a short week for the visiting upstart Eagles. And before Giant fans get too exuberant at Garrett’s departure, word is that Freddie Kitchens will assume play calling duties in his absence. Yes, the same Freddie Kitchens who made a mess of things in Cleveland, and was dismissed after a single dismal 6-10 season in 2019.
The circumstances of this divisional matchup certainly seem ominous. No one will mistake Philadelphia for the ‘85 Bears anytime soon. However, they’ll certainly carry momentum after winning 3 of their last 4. In contrast, the 3-7 Giants appear to be a team in a freefall, making it tough to trust even their most elite of weapons.
Do yourself a favor, and avoid a chaotic situation by keeping Danny Dimes on your bench this week.
I thoroughly enjoyed bringing you this piece, and would love to continue the conversation on quarterback start/sits. Please feel free to comment below or contact me @Spydes78 on Twitter. And also, stay tuned to @DynastyNerds for a steady pipeline of content from our eminently qualified staff to carry you through your season. If you like what you read, please consider becoming a subscriber to any of the elite tools that Dynasty Nerds has to offer. Make sure to use the promo code “SPYDES” to receive a 15% discount. Thanks for reading and enjoy the grind!
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