Hello Nerds! The DynastyNerds writers are here once again to provide you with your weekly starts and sits. We will be making our recommendations based on weekly consensus PPR rankings from FantasyPros. Here are the cast and the position groups they will be covering to help you win your week. Follow us, friend us, stalk us, whatever floats your boat!
- QB: Mike Liu (@MikeMeUpP)
- RB: Erik Kortz (@ekballer)
- WR: Tristan Cook (@tristancook_)
- TE: Mychal Warno (@dynastydadmike)
- FLEX: Tyler Grzegorek (@tyler_grez)
One thing to keep in mind when making your start/sit decisions, it will ALWAYS depend on who your other options are. The players listed below are WRs that I expect to finish above/below their respective rankings. But, it doesn’t mean you need to take them out of (or put them into) your lineup, unless your alternatives are worth it.
Mike Williams vs Raiders – WR 29
4/71/1 on 9 targets
My first ‘start’ for championship week is Mike Williams. Over the past two weeks, we finally have begun to the breakout that so many people had been expecting. This week, Williams gets to square off against the much-maligned Raiders secondary. The soon-to-be Las Vegas Raiders are allowing the 2nd most passing yards per game in the AFC. The Chargers pass for the 2nd most yards per game in the AFC. This seems like the perfect opportunity for Mike Williams to have a big game.
No one has ever questioned the tools that Mike Williams possesses, but until his past couple of games, we hadn’t seen those tools translate into fantasy points. I expect the uptick in production to continue this week. You should feel comfortable putting Williams into your lineup.
Odell Beckham Jr. vs Ravens – WR 33
8/66/0 on 13 targets
Next, I once again have Odell Beckham Jr. as a ‘start’. If you are still alive in your fantasy playoffs and have OBJ on your roster, it’s safe to say that you have made it this far without counting on him every week. However, I think there are several reasons for optimism with Beckham.
First, OBJ is arguably the most talented WR in the NFL. It certainly is not a consensus, but no discussion regarding the best WR in the NFL should take place with his name on the shortlist for that award. So, despite the bad matchup with Marcus Peters and the Baltimore Ravens secondary, Odell has the talent to overcome a tough opponent.
Second, Beckham is coming off of a solid week, where he was targeted 13 times! 8/66 is not the most ideal performance with 13 targets, but any time a receiver of his caliber is being heavily targeted, you’ll find him in my lineup.
Finally, I see this game playing out in one of two ways. Either the Ravens are up big (what we all expect), and the Browns are forced to throw to play catchup. Or, the Browns are able to keep pace with the Ravens offense, which means fantasy production. So, what this all adds up to is OBJ should be in your lineup. To borrow the argument that @MikeMeUpP loves to use. I would rather go down with OBJ in my lineup than lose with him on my bench when he goes off.
Tyler Boyd @ Dolphins – WR 26
3/26/0 on 7 targets
My final ‘start’ for week 16 is Bengals WR Tyler Boyd. After being a ‘sit’ for me in week 15 and producing an abysmal week against the Patriots, Boyd lands on the ‘start’ list this week. Boyd was completely shut down by Stephon Gillmore and Co. last week, but I am expecting a much better day on Sunday.
This is primarily due to the matchup. Boyd and the Bengals face off against the Dolphins this week. Miami has not been a particularly difficult fantasy opponent for WRs on the season. I expect Boyd to be heavily involved in the Cincinnati offense and to take full advantage of his opportunities. Fire up Boyd with confidence this week.
Julian Edelman vs Bills – WR 11
2/9/0 on 5 targets
My first ‘sit’ for this week is Julian Edelman. There are two primary reasons for my apprehension towards Jules this week. First, the Bills have a very good secondary. And, second, Edelman is dealing with an injury that is clearly impacting his play.
As for my first concern, the Bills trail only the Patriots and 49ers in passing yards allowed per game and are subsequently one of the toughest opponents for fantasy points allowed to WRs. In their previous matchup this season, Edelman was held to 4/30/0 on 7 targets.
Furthermore, the injury to Edelman is a legitimate one. He didn’t look like himself last week against the Bengals, only hauling in 2 passes for 9 yards. For a player that relies on quickness and route running, his injury makes me nervous.
It’s certainly possible that Edelman can tally a handful of catches and fall into the end zone, but I don’t feel confident in using him this week. If you have other options, I’d strongly consider them.
John Brown @ Patriots – WR 34
7/99/0 on 9 targets
Next, I have John Brown as a ‘sit’. It’s probably not a huge shocker that I am suggesting avoiding a WR facing the Patriots, but here we are. John Brown has certainly been a valuable player to own this year, as he has provided many strong performances. He even put up a respectable 5/69/0 on 11 targets in the Week 4 game vs New England.
However, with a championship on the line, I don’t want to be counting on John Brown to beat one of the best cover corners on arguably the best defense in the league, on the road. He is the type of player that can salvage a bad week with one long catch, but unless I am in a pinch, I’ll be looking elsewhere.
Emmanuel Sanders vs Rams – WR 27
2/9/0 on 4 targets
Finally, my last ‘sit’ of the week is Emmanuel Sanders. Sanders, and the entire 49ers team, really disappointed last week at home against a bad Falcons team. After putting up a monster game against the Saints, Sanders put up a clunker at home against the mediocre (at best) Falcons secondary. This week, he will be facing off against a much better team, with probably the best corner in the league. I want no part of that. The Rams may choose to use Jalen Ramsey on someone like George Kittle rather than Sanders, but I don’t want to be counting on that. Sanders has been a little hit or miss since joining the 49ers, and I think this week will be a ‘miss’. He’s not going to be in my championship week lineup.
That’s all for week 16, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter (@tristancook_) if you have any specific questions for who I would start. There are also weekly office hours in the Facebook group on Sunday mornings before the early games kick-off. There are a handful of writers that will answer all the questions posted to the thread, so you are usually able to get a few different takes on your situation. Good luck this week!