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Slant Pattern: WR Start/Sit – Week 7

Need help navigating the BYE weeks? Not sure what to do with Allen Robinson? @tristancook_ has your WR start/sit questions covered!

Hey Nerds! The Dynasty Nerds writers are here to provide you with weekly starts and sits. We will be making our recommendations based on weekly consensus PPR rankings from FantasyPros. Here is our squad, and the position groups they will be covering to help you each week. Follow us, friend us, tweet us, we look forward to hearing from you!

QB: Jason Snyder (@Spydes78)

RB: Gage Bridgford (@gbridgfordnfl)

WR: Tristan Cook (@tristancook_)

TE: Jake Oliver (@DarthDbacks)

FLEX: Ethan Wyatt (@DynastyWildcat)

IDP: Jon Glosser (@Glosser13)

One thing to keep in mind when making your start/sit decisions, it will ALWAYS depend on who your other options are. The players listed below are WRs that I expect to finish above/below their respective rankings. But, it doesn’t mean you need to take them out of (or put them into) your lineup, unless your alternatives are worth it. 

NOTE: Rankings are based on a 12-team PPR league. So, saying WR2 means top 24, or TE1 means top 12, etc. and are pulled from Fantasy Pros consensus expert rankings.

RECAP

Last week was a very good week for my calls. I ‘hit’ on 5 of my 6 calls. The only ‘miss’ being Robert Woods as a ‘start’. He only managed to catch 2/5 targets. Thankfully, one of them was a TD, so if you did put him in your lineup, he at least put up usable numbers. My other three ‘starts’ for week 6 were good. Marvin Jones finished as WR9, which was 25 spots higher than he was ranked. Brandin Cooks finished 9 spots above his ranking at WR18. Finally, OBJ only finished 7 spots above his ranking, but still had a solid performance. 


As far as my ‘sits’, Kadarius Toney and Allen Robinson finished as WR62 and WR47. Neither one had a particularly impressive day. It’s quite possible that I was going to be very wrong about Toney. He got hurt on the first drive of the game, but had already caught 3 passes for 36 yards. It worked out in my favor, but you never want to see a player get hurt. Anyway, let’s get to this week’s calls.

START

DeVonta Smith @ LV – WR 22

Credit: Todd Kirkland/Getty Images

Week 6 Stats | WR 71 | FPts: 5.1 | Tgts: 4 | Rec: 2 | Yds: 31 | TDs: 0

First, we have the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, DeVonta Smith as my first ‘start’ of the week. DeVonta has been up and down this year so far. He is coming off a ‘down’ week with only 2 catches for 31 yards on 4 targets. It was disappointing to see him struggle against a banged up Bucs secondary last week. But, the Eagles have been tough to watch on offense of late, so it wasn’t exactly a surprise to see. However, I’m optimistic for Smith this week. 

Everything is aligned for Smith to have a big game. First, the Raiders aren’t particularly strong in the secondary, and are dealing with some injuries. Also, the Eagles haven’t had much success running the ball. They also haven’t had the lead in many games. Both of which lead to more passing attempts. However, when they throw the ball, they also don’t have a particularly strong cast of receiving options. They traded Zach Ertz this week, and second year WR Jalen Reagor has been underwhelming to say the least. So, that leaves us with DeVonta. I expect him to have a big day this week.

Brandin Cooks @ ARI – WR 19

Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 Stats | WR 18 | FPts: 17.9 | Tgts: 13 | Rec: 9 | Yds: 89 | TDs: 0

My next ‘start’ is Brandin Cooks. It is starting to feel like Cooks is a mainstay in the ‘start’ section of this article. He seems to be ranked too low on the weekly rankings every week. WR 19 is actually a lot higher of a ranking that we’ve seen of late, but the point still holds true. He’s been underrated his entire career, and it doesn’t look like it’s going to change any time soon. 

Let’s look at the things we know. The Houston Texans are a bad football team, potentially the worst team in the NFL. This week, they are playing potentially the best team in the NFL. So, it’s quite likely that they will be trailing early. What does that mean? They will once again be throwing the ball a ton. There might be “garbage time” points in the 1st quarter. Or, if somehow the Texans come out and surprise us, it’ll likely be thanks in large part to Brandin Cooks. Start him this week with confidence. 

Jaylen Waddle VS ATL – WR 20

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle runs after catching a pass during an NFL game against the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, Sept. 26, 2021, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Credit: AP Photo/Rick Scuteri

Week 6 Stats | WR 4 | FPts: 29.0 | Tgts: 13 | Rec: 10 | Yds: 70 | TDs: 2

Moving right along, I have Jaylen Waddle as my next ‘start’. Waddle is coming off of a monster game last week in London against the Jags. He had 13 targets, caught 10 passes, and scored 2 TDs. The interesting part is that for a guy with the dynamic, game breaking speed that Waddle possesses, he only had 70 receiving yards. His usage has been a bit odd this year. This was actually his second game with 10 or more receptions and 70 or fewer receiving yards. Regardless, he is a good option this week.

The main reasons behind my optimism are simple. First, Jaylen Waddle is easily the best weapon on the Dolphins. It’s clear that they are scheming to get him as many touches as they possibly can. So, while we may have expected to see more yards per catch, the production is valuable. Potentially part of the reason for the higher number of short passes is because Miami can’t protect the QB. It’s hard to throw the ball down the field when you can’t block the rushers. Finally, the Falcons don’t have a particularly worrisome defense. So, I am starting Jaylen Waddle with confidence this week. 

AJ Brown VS KC – WR 18

AJ Brown fantasy
AJ Brown (Credit: Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Week 6 Stats | WR 20 | FPts: 16.1 | Tgts: 9 | Rec: 7 | Yds: 91 | TDs: 0

My next ‘start’ is AJ Brown. It seems a bit silly to have him on this list. He’s struggled a bit this year, with injuries and not quite being on the same page as Ryan Tannehill. The Titans are coming off of a dramatic last second goal line stand against the Bills on Monday Night. AJ Brown struggled a bit in the first half, but managed to put together a solid stat line at the end of the night. 

This week, the Titans face off against the Kansas City Chiefs, in what should be a very good game. There’s no doubt that Tennessee will one again try to feed Derrick Henry early and often. But, I am expecting the Titans to need to also throw a significant amount to keep up with KC. The Chiefs struggle against the pass, so I’m anticipating another big game for AJ Brown.

Tyler Lockett VS NO – WR 21

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – JANUARY 12: Tyler Lockett #16 of the Seattle Seahawks runs for yards during the NFC Divisional Playoff game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on January 12, 2020 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

Week 6 Stats | WR 69 | FPts: 5.5 | Tgts: 7 | Rec: 2 | Yds: 35 | TDs: 0

The last ‘start’ for week 7 is Tyler Lockett. He and Geno Smith struggled to get on the same page last week in Seattle’s heartbreaking loss to the Steelers. He was targeted 7 times, but only was able to haul in 2 passes for 35 yards. We certainly aren’t going to be able to count on the same production numbers from the Seattle offense without Russ, but I think better days are ahead for Tyler Lockett.

More specifically, I think this week lines up well for Lockett. The Seahawks face off against a Saints secondary that is allowing the 5th most passing yards per game in the NFC. Seattle is currently quite thin at the RB position. Tyler Lockett is still one of the most heavily targeted receivers in the NFL. And, I expect to see Marshon Lattimore spending most of the game guarding DK Metcalf. So, I feel good about Lockett this week!

SIT

Julio Jones VS KC – WR 28

Credit: Wade Payne | AP Photo

Week 6 Stats | WR 5 | FPts: 29.6 | Tgts: 13 | Rec: 10 | Yds: 189 | TDs: 0

My first ‘sit’ this week is the ‘other’ Titans’ WR, Julio Jones. As of writing this, there’s a chance that he will miss the game, so if that’s the case you’ll obviously not be starting him. But, if he is healthy, I’m here to tell you to keep him out of your lineup if at all possible. We are in the midst of the worst of the BYE weeks, so you may be forced into the uncomfortable position of counting on Julio.

All of the reasons why I believe AJ Brown is a good ‘start’ this week could apply to Julio. But, there’s one slight, but important difference. AJ Brown is the top option in this passing attack. Julio isn’t that guy anymore, especially at less than 100%. There’s no denying his talent, and we saw him have a big game in week 2 against Seattle. But, until I see him fully healthy and put up a good performance on the field, I don’t have any confidence in starting him.

Allen Robinson @ TB – WR 27

Oct 4, 2020; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears wide receiver Allen Robinson (12) makes a touchdown catch against Indianapolis Colts cornerback Isaiah Rodgers (34) during the fourth quarter at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 Stats | WR 49 | FPts: 9.3 | Tgts: 5 | Rec: 3 | Yds: 59 | TDs: 0

My final ‘sit’ is another mainstay in this article, and that is Allen Robinson. At this point, it seems unnecessarily risky to be starting A-Rob. He only has one game of over 10 fantasy points this year, and simply cannot be trusted. Justin Fields and the Bears’ offense hasn’t exactly looked good this year. More specifically, the connection between Robinson and Fields just hasn’t seemed to be there. 

I’ve had him as a ‘sit’ a few times this year, and have yet to be proven wrong. I’ve said it multiple times before, Allen Robinson has the talent to have a big game in any given week, and I’m sure he’ll break out one of these games. But, how are we supposed to keep rolling him out there when he hasn’t cracked 10 fantasy points since week 2? I’m staying away from A-Rob in my starting lineup until I see it on the field at least once.

That’s it for week 7, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter (@tristancook_) if you have any specific questions for who I would start. There are also weekly office hours in the Facebook group and on Twitter each Sunday morning before the early games kick-off. There are a handful of writers that will answer all the questions posted, so you are usually able to get a few different takes on your situation. Make sure to come back next week to see how these picks turned out. Good luck!

Also, are you interested in joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “tcook” for 15% off any membership. Sign up here and get an edge on all of your league mates today! You can get access to the DynastyGM tool (including our Trade Calculator and new Trade Finder), the Prospect Film Room, an extra weekly podcast, full rankings, and much, much more!

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