The Week 16 NFL Game Preview with Advanced Stats was curated by Senior Staff Nerd Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. Whether you’re setting lineups for redraft, dynasty, or DFS, these stats highlight usage trends and defensive tendencies that go beyond the 2025 box score—giving you the inside info you need to win in Week 16 Semifinals!
Below in each dropdown are the full Week 16 Team Stats powered by Fantasy Points Data Suite. Use these metrics to make informed Start/Sit decisions, place prop bets, or make DFS lineup calls.
Matthew Golden – Golden is on track to see extended playing time due to some injuries, and he plays the Bears defense, which runs the 6th most man coverage. Golden ranks 12th in win rate vs man coverage.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Packers
🟡 11
🔴 6
🟡 20
🔴 8
17.3
81.8
43.5
56.5
60.4
24.9
224.9
117.0
Bears
🟡 21
🟡 13
🟢 28
🟡 15
31.8
63.2
45.6
54.4
66.2
26.1
217.2
151.9
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Packers
Jordan Love
Low QB1
92%
19.8
20.5
249.8
1.6
33.6
113.7
95.9
109.1
96.3
45.7
77.9
60.8
9.1
Bears
Caleb Williams
High QB2
87%
20.8
20.3
248.9
1.7
36.9
98.6
84.5
86.2
90.9
49.5
72.4
60.1
8.8
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Packers
Josh Jacobs
Mid RB1
94%
5.0
16.0
19.3
55
63
9.8
90.0
67.6
4.6
0.17
2.2
1.9
16.0
Packers
Emanuel Wilson
Outside Top 48
50%
13.7
7.1
7.4
23
28
3.5
17.4
25.3
1.1
0.02
2.3
1.6
5.8
Bears
D’Andre Swift
Mid RB2
85%
13.4
17.2
44
58
9.1
60.0
43.8
5.8
0.17
2.1
2.8
13.8
Bears
Kyle Monangai
Low RB3
71%
8.2
10.3
10.9
32
41
3.7
36.4
37.4
4.1
0.10
2.3
2.4
8.4
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
FPPG (L4)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
Man Win %
Zone Win %
Slot RTE %
YAC
EZ TGT
1st-Read %
Packers
Jayden Reed
Low WR2
81%
6.3
7.7
3.8
12.7
0.20
15.5
1.22 🟢
C.J. Gardner-Johnson
11.1
0.0
67.7
55
1
15.4
Packers
Matthew Golden
Outside Top 60
48%
4.7
3.5
3.3
10.6
0.20
18.6
—
—
29.0
4.7
42.4
93
2
13.5
Packers
Romeo Doubs
High WR5
58%
8.1
4.5
5.4
17.7
0.21
25.4
1.11 🟡
Nahshon Wright
24.6
12.4
18.5
142
8
21.8
Packers
Christian Watson**
High WR4
67%
11.6
12.8
5.4
17.0
0.20
23.8
1.40 🟢
Jaylon Johnson
20.9
8.6
31.1
91
2
23.3
Packers
Dontayvion Wicks**
Outside Top 60
45%
4.8
7.6
3.6
11.5
0.20
16.8
—
—
26.2
9.0
48.3
62
2
17.1
Bears
DJ Moore
Low WR3
72%
9.1
11.4
5.1
14.6
0.17
29.4
0.99 🟡
Carrington Valentine
24.5
9.5
30.3
188
9
17.0
Bears
Rome Odunze**
High WR4
68%
10.3
4.3
7.5
21.9
0.24
30.1
1.10 🟡
Keisean Nixon
26.2
11.5
38.5
226
11
26.2
Bears
Luther Burden III**
High WR4
68%
5.7
8.4
3.6
11.0
0.26
14.1
—
—
26.3
6.6
43.2
257
0
14.8
Bears
Olamide Zaccheaus
Outside Top 60
50%
4.4
2.9
4.3
12.5
0.22
19.2
0.91 🔴
Javon Bullard
8.8
5.4
49.1
129
3
13.5
** Keep your eyes on the practice reports until Friday. We could see all 4 or a few of them miss week 16. Golden would get a boost if Watson were to miss.
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
Slot RTE %
Inline RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Man Win Rate %
Zone Win Rate %
Packers
Luke Musgrave
Outside Top 24
35%
2.3
3.6
2.0
6.5
0.18
11.1
33.3
57.1
66.0
0.0
7.6
15.8
1.8
Bears
Cole Kmet
Outside Top 24
40%
4.2
5.2
3.0
8.7
0.16
18.0
20.1
54.3
125.0
3.0
8.6
10.4
1.1
Bears
Colston Loveland
High TE2
70%
7.1
9.1
4.1
12.6
0.21
20.2
29.7
46.4
210.0
3.0
14.4
9.7
4.3
Sunday Early Football | 1:00 PM | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Jets QB – the Saints have allowed just 1 quarterback in the last 8 matchups to surpass 200 passing yards.
Saints Backfield – We could see a deep sleeper this week against the Jets as they allow the 3rd most Exp Run% (Runs of 15+ yards) at 6.2%. Look toward Audric Estime if he starts.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards / G
Rush Yards / G
Jets
🟢 24
🟢 31
🟡 11
🟡 16
35.6
57.9
44.6
55.4
59.9
19.7
147.0
128.5
Saints
🔴 10
🟡 20
🟡 12
🟡 12
19.7
76.0
57.4
42.6
62.9
16.1
203.4
93.4
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Jets
Brady Cook
QB3
55%
6.7
6.7
189.0
0.5
38.5
58.1
52.8
32.1
85.6
42.5
70.5
74.6
8.0
Saints
Tyler Shough
Mid QB2
83%
13.65
17.7
202.8
1.0
31.4
99.1
81.9
92.4
77.7
38.5
78.1
64.4
8.6
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Jets
Breece Hall
Low RB2
80%
11.7
8.9
17.5
55
66
9.2
57.1
45.1
7.0
0.17
1.9
2.3
12.0
Saints
Devin Neal**
(Low RB2)
80%
5.7
10.4
8.1
16
44
6.0
20.0
13.9
3.5
0.11
1.8
1.8
7.3
Saints
Evan Hull
Outside Top 48
55%
1.4
1.4
3.7
3
21
1.1
0.0
16.7
1.7
1.4
2.5
Saints
Audric Estime
High RB4
66%
3.8
2.5
4.5
2
27
3.7
0.0
5.0
1.8
1.8
2.6
** Devin Neal seems unlikely to play which would put a committee between Evan Hull and Audric Estime. Estime seemed to fill the pass catching role after Neal got hurt last week. I wouldn’t expect Alvin Kamara to return this week either.
Josh Allen – Allen is going to need to be on the top of his game as he faces a Browns defense that runs the 2nd most man coverage in the league, and Allen’s QB Rate vs Man ranks in the bottom half among QBs.
Quinshon Judkins – The rookie may actually get some breathing room on runs against the Bills, who allow the 3rd most YBCO at 2.75. Judkins lands near the bottom in YBCO behind the Browns’ O-line.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Bills
🔴 6
🟢 29
🟡 14
🔴 1
27.6
68.7
41.1
58.9
63.4
29.4
222.7
158.5
Browns
🔴 4
🟡 14
🟡 13
🟡 17
43.9
55.6
71.4
28.6
61.7
16.1
171.9
92.4
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Bills
Josh Allen
High QB1
97%
27.3
24.8
231.3
2.6
34.5
87.1
108.7
112.5
99.3
55.6
78.7
62.1
7.3
Browns
Shedeur Sanders
QB3
63%
13.8
16.9
204.0
1.2
32.0
87.6
59.6
83.6
52.6
61.5
64.2
55.1
8.2
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Bills
James Cook
High RB1
96%
17.9
19.5
21.6
61
62
8.3
43.8
55.6
5.2
0.16
2.4
2.8
15.8
Bills
Ty Johnson
Low RB4
60%
4.0
5.0
3.4
7
29
6.1
3.1
7.8
6.9
0.03
2.1
2.5
4.1
Browns
Quinshon Judkins
Low RB2
81%
11.5
10.8
18.7
65
51
6.4
71.4
73.2
3.2
0.14
2.2
1.4
13.7
Browns
Dylan Sampson
Outside Top 48
55%
4.7
8.3
5.5
13
24
7.1
0.0
8.5
4.5
0.20
2.3
0.3
5.2
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
FPPG (L4)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
Man Win %
Zone Win %
Slot RTE %
YAC
EZ TGT
1st-Read %
Bills
Khalil Shakir
Low WR3
70%
8.5
7.9
5.9
19.4
0.23
24.5
1.24 🟢
Myles Harden
12.5
3.2
69.4
463
1
22.7
Browns
Jerry Jeudy
Low WR4
62%
5.9
6.2
6.4
18.0
0.18
33.7
0.86 🔴
Maxwell Hairston
23.9
11.0
17.4
159
6
24.7
Browns
Cedric Tillman
Outside Top 60
35%
4.1
2.3
3.5
9.6
0.14
23.2
0.84 🔴
Tre’Davious White
27.5
8.2
30.6
38
3
12.3
Browns
Isaiah Bond
Outside Top 60
40%
3.0
5.0
3.2
8.4
0.10
21.3
0.77 🔴
Taron Johnson
18.9
8.0
45.5
67
3
10.6
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
Slot RTE %
Inline RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Man Win Rate %
Zone Win Rate %
Bills
Dalton Kincaid
Low TE1
75%
10.0
8.5
4.3
15.1
0.28
16.2
51.9
24.7
252.0
4.0
18.2
20.4
7.2
Bills
Dawson Knox
Low TE2
60%
5.0
9.8
2.9
9.5
0.16
17.2
35.7
46.9
165.0
4.0
10.9
10.0
3.2
Browns
Harold Fannin Jr.
Mid TE1
85%
8.7
11.5
7.0
20.1
0.26
26.4
43.9
39.6
342.0
2.0
22.3
10.3
5.2
Kansas City Chiefs (6-8) @ Tennessee Titans (2-12)
George Pickens – With Pickens’ recent struggles, he is in for a tough matchup as the Chargers have allowed just one receiver over 65 yards since Week 9.
Chargers WRs – The Cowboys have allowed at least 1 receiving touchdown to an opposing receiver in 7 straight games.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Chargers
🔴 2
🟡 12
🔴 1
🔴 10
23.6
73.3
44.1
55.9
64.6
22.5
214.5
123.4
Cowboys
🟢 32
🟢 25
🟢 32
🟡 13
21.3
74.8
53.9
46.1
65.9
29.1
276.1
120.8
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Chargers
Justin Herbert
Mid QB2
84%
20.5
14.5
257.9
1.7
38.6
83.0
93.2
98.6
86.7
46.1
78.1
64.5
8.0
Cowboys
Dak Prescott
Low QB1
90%
22.8
21.5
290.8
2.0
40.6
104.9
95.4
90.0
111.3
45.1
78.6
62.6
8.1
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Chargers
Omarion Hampton
Low RB2
80%
12.5
10.4
16.7
24
62
10.1
83.3
72.0
7.4
0.14
2.3
2.3
13.3
Chargers
Kinami Vidal
Low RB3
70%
10.2
12.1
15.0
38
60
5.6
58.3
52.0
4.1
0.13
2.0
2.2
11.6
Cowboys
Javonte Williams
High RB2
85%
14.9
13.9
18.8
63
73
7.9
65.5
65.3
5.7
0.13
2.9
1.9
16.5
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
FPPG (L4)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
Man Win %
Zone Win %
Slot RTE %
YAC
EZ TGT
1st-Read %
Chargers
Ladd McConkey
Mid WR2
84%
9.4
5.5
6.7
20.7
0.20
33.6
1.07 🟡
Reddy Steward
25.0
9.1
63.8
287
9
21.0
Chargers
Keenan Allen
Low WR3
72%
9.0
4.9
7.2
20.9
0.25
27.3
1.25 🟢
DaRon Bland
25.2
9.2
39.5
194
9
24.3
Chargers
Tre Harris
Low WR5
52%
2.9
4.5
2.2
6.5
0.20
14.1
1.00 🟡
Shavon Revel
15.3
5.5
36.4
100
1
7.7
Chargers
Quentin Johnston**
Low WR5
52%
9.6
5.8
5.9
16.6
0.16
34.5
—
—
19.0
11.6
14.0
205
7
20.8
Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb
Mid WR1
95%
13.4
14.9
9.0
22.2
0.27
32.3
1.23 🟢
Tarheeb Still
28.9
9.9
34.9
314
9
27.9
Cowboys
George Pickens
Mid WR2
85%
15.0
12.5
8.4
21.5
0.23
35.8
1.17 🟢
Donte Jackson
25.2
11.1
10.0
404
16
28.1
Cowboys
Ryan Flournoy
Outside Top 60
40%
6.3
8.2
4.0
9.1
0.20
17.0
1.05 🟡
Cam Hart
14.1
4.4
34.4
159
5
8.9
** Johnston is schedule to return in Week 16 but keep your eyes on the practice reports. Tre Harris would be an interesting play if no Johnston
Jaxson Dart – The rookie QB could be a surprise play in the passing game against the Vikings, who run the 5th most Zone coverage. Dart ranks in the top 7 in QB rate vs Zone.
J.J. McCarthy – Seems like a great matchup, but the Giants do run the 5th-most 1-high safety coverage in the league, and McCarthy ranks in the bottom 3 against 1-high safety coverage.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Vikings
🔴 3
🟡 17
🔴 5
🟡 14
16.0
79.3
32.5
67.5
55.8
20.6
177.1
102.3
Giants
🟢 31
🟢 30
🟢 30
🔴 7
31.2
63.9
59.5
40.5
64.6
21.4
218.1
125.1
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Vikings
J.J. McCarthy
High QB2
86%
16.1
18.1
187.0
1.8
30.5
76.6
65.6
72.4
71.8
39.0
71.8
71.4
9.8
Giants
Jaxson Dart
Mid QB2
82%
20.0
19.9
200.2
1.8
29.0
83.0
97.0
82.6
100.4
51.5
72.9
65.9
8.8
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Vikings
Aaron Jones
Mid RB2
84%
8.0
6.3
11.5
31
53
11.6
20.0
20.7
4.3
0.09
1.9
2.5
9.7
Vikings
Jordan Mason
Mid RB4
63%
7.9
5.9
11.1
47
44
3.6
63.6
61.4
4.9
0.18
2.5
2.2
7.7
Giants
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Mid RB2
82%
8.7
13.8
12.8
31
52
8.0
9.1
17.2
2.3
0.10
2.1
1.8
9.3
Giants
Devin Singletary
Low RB4
60%
4.9
8.1
7.4
22
26
3.1
29.6
20.8
1.1
0.09
1.9
1.6
6.0
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
FPPG (L4)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
Man Win %
Zone Win %
Slot RTE %
YAC
EZ TGT
1st-Read %
Vikings
Justin Jefferson
High WR3
76%
9.2
3.4
8.4
28.0
0.26
32.2
1.06 🟡
Cordale Flott
23.6
11.1
24.6
337
11
33.6
Vikings
Jordan Addison
Mid WR3
74%
8.8
5.5
6.5
18.9
0.20
30.7
1.05 🟡
Paulson Adebo
14.8
9.7
22.5
142
4
24.0
Vikings
Jalen Nailor
Low WR5
50%
5.6
5.6
3.4
10.9
0.10
22.9
0.92 🔴
Andru Phillips
23.7
7.1
61.3
103
7
11.2
Giants
Wan’Dale Robinson
High WR3
78%
10.8
15.6
8.6
25.8
0.24
34.1
1.08 🟡
Byron Murphy
17.4
4.2
67.7
392
7
30.7
Giants
Darius Slayton
Low WR5
50%
5.9
7.7
4.5
13.3
0.15
28.8
0.96 🟡
Isaiah Rodgers
14.9
6.0
17.7
174
3
17.4
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
Slot RTE %
Inline RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Man Win Rate %
Zone Win Rate %
Vikings
T.J. Hockenson
Low TE2
60%
6.2
7.4
4.6
15.7
0.18
25.5
40.1
44.5
209.0
3.0
14.3
9.9
3.9
Giants
Theo Johnson
High TE2
71%
7.5
7.4
5.1
15.8
0.18
27.9
53.8
26.2
215.0
7.0
18.4
15.7
3.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7) @ Carolina Panthers (7-7)
Trevor Lawrence – The Jaguars QB has a real test coming up against the Broncos, who allow the lowest Adj Comp% in the league at 70.4% which isn’t far off from Lawrence’s 74.5% currently.
RJ Havrey – The rookie running back is likely going to need a touchdown to save his day against the Jaguars, who allow the 3rd-lowest Exp Run% in the league at 2.9%.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
Jaguars
🟡 20
🔴 4
🟡 17
🟢 24
17.0
79.7
45.2
54.8
64.2
26.9
215.0
120.7
Broncos
🔴 7
🔴 8
🔴 2
🟡 21
32.2
64.1
46.3
53.7
64.1
24.4
226.0
119.5
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence
High QB2
88%
21.9
31.6
250.9
2.1
37.4
92.6
83.6
95.6
82.1
42.8
74.5
70.0
9.1
Broncos
Bo Nix
High QB2
86%
22.3
23.8
257.0
1.9
38.9
103.7
86.0
93.2
86.3
52.5
75.8
62.5
8.2
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Jaguars
Travis Etienne Jr.
Low RB1
91%
14.8
18.6
17.3
52
59
8.5
42.3
48.5
3.8
0.13
2.0
2.4
14.3
Jaguars
LeQuint Allen Jr.
Outside Top 48
45%
1.3
1.0
2.0
4
23
2.4
0.0
3.0
0.11
1.8
2.7
2.1
Broncos
RJ Harvey**
Mid RB2
83%
10.2
16.4
10.5
29
38
8.5
47.1
36.1
2.7
0.15
1.8
2.1
10.3
Broncos
Jaleel McLaughlin
Outside Top 48
45%
3.1
2.5
4.4
5
13
2.2
16.7
12.0
0.11
1.5
2.1
3.6
**Keep an eye on the practice reports this week for Harvey. McLaughlin would jump to a mid RB3 if worst case happens to Harvey.
Bijan Robinson – The star running back should thrive against the Cardinals, who allow the 6th-most Exp Run% at 6.%. Robinson should be able to break a few big runs against them.
Michael Wilson – is averaging 22 fantasy points per game without Marvin Harrison Jr. playing.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards / Game
Rush Yards / Game
Falcons
🟡 18
🟡 19
🟢 27
🔴 3
23.6
71.3
55.7
44.3
61.5
20.1
217.7
122.7
Cardinals
🟡 15
🟢 28
🟡 18
🟢 27
19.2
70.3
38.8
61.2
65.1
21.6
238.4
95.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Falcons
Kirk Cousins
Low QB2
77%
11.4
17.3
175.3
0.9
27.3
83.4
81.3
86.9
85.6
59.5
73.8
59.3
7.4
Cardinals
Jacoby Brissett
Mid QB1
94%
20.1
23.5
259.3
1.7
39.7
105.6
92.3
103.5
88.1
46.9
74.0
65.3
7.9
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Falcons
Bijan Robinson
High RB1
99%
19.0
18.9
21.3
61
78
17.2
38.9
48.4
5.6
0.23
2.9
2.2
18.1
Falcons
Tyler Allgeier
Mid RB4
65%
7.4
6.9
8.7
29
29
2.8
50.0
46.8
4.5
0.13
1.9
1.7
7.0
Cardinals
Emari Demercado
Outside Top 48
50%
4.4
1.1
4.7
10
22
3.7
0.0
11.9
12.5
0.16
1.9
5.7
4.3
Cardinals
Michael Carter
Mid RB3
73%
6.5
7.9
9.5
21
44
7.9
25.0
25.8
0.04
1.4
1.9
9.5
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
FPPG (L4)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
Man Win %
Zone Win %
Slot RTE %
YAC
EZ TGT
1st-Read %
Falcons
Drake London**
High WR2
89%
16.3
0.0
10.4
30.3
0.30
31.0
1.52 🟢
Denzel Burke
20.8
11.7
30.1
237
7
38.5
Falcons
Darnell Mooney
Outside Top 60
45%
4.7
6.1
4.8
15.1
0.17
28.7
0.89 🔴
Garrett Williams
17.2
6.4
42.7
66
5
20.7
Falcons
David Sills V
Mid WR5
55%
2.4
7.0
2.1
6.3
0.10
18.2
0.83 🔴
Will Johnson
29.2
4.6
42.0
44
2
7.1
Cardinals
Marvin Harrison Jr.**
Mid WR2
85%
10.5
9.9
6.9
19.3
0.21
32.9
—
—
22.6
13.3
23.4
125
12
24.2
Cardinals
Michael Wilson
Mid WR1
94%
9.6
16.9
7.6
18.9
0.21
36.1
1.32 🟢
A.J. Terrell
32.2
8.7
30.2
202
8
25.3
** Both London & Harrison Jr. could be back in Week 16. If London plays no other receivers matter. If he misses then Sills V is an interesting play. If Harrison Jr. plays, Wilson get knocked down to a Low WR2.
Derrick Henry – Could struggle against the Patriots’ run defense, which is allowing the fewest YACO at 1.45. Unless we get vintage Henry, it could be a TD-or-bust game.
Kayshon Boutte – The Ravens have allowed a 100-yard receiver in 3 straight games to outside receivers.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards /G
Rush Yards /G
Patriots
🟡 17
🔴 2
🟡 19
🟢 26
30.0
67.3
52.3
47.7
61.1
27.3
241.8
122.4
Ravens
🟡 16
🟡 18
🟢 22
🔴 4
29.6
64.8
59.5
40.5
57.0
23.9
178.4
146.2
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
Patriots
Drake Maye
High QB1
96%
23.2
21.0
281.4
1.9
36.0
121.8
102.5
103.9
113.5
40.9
80.9
67.2
9.2
Ravens
Lamar Jackson
Mid QB1
93%
20.5
14.9
231.3
1.8
30.6
111.2
97.6
91.0
112.8
44.1
76.6
62.4
9.3
Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
Patriots
Rhamondre Stevenson
Low RB3
71%
7.9
6.7
11.8
27
59
8.5
56.3
41.8
3.7
0.21
2.2
1.3
10.2
Patriots
TreVeyon Henderson
Mid RB1
93%
11.5
16.3
12.6
36
48
9.7
19.0
33.8
5.6
0.13
1.8
3.6
10.6
Ravens
Derrick Henry
Low RB1
88%
13.6
14.9
17.7
59
54
5.2
81.5
57.1
6.0
0.10
2.3
2.5
13.2
Ravens
Keaton Mitchell
Outside Top 48
45%
4.5
6.7
4.6
10
16
3.9
0.0
14.3
15.4
0.08
1.5
6.1
3.7
Ravens
Rasheen Ali
Outside Top 48
40%
2.4
4.7
1.6
2
20
1.9
0.0
3.2
1.3
2.7
1.3
Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 16 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
FPPG (L4)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
Man Win %
Zone Win %
Slot RTE %
YAC
EZ TGT
1st-Read %
Patriots
Stefon Diggs
Mid WR3
74%
8.9
3.7
5.9
19.7
0.25
23.1
1.38 🟢
Marlon Humphrey
23.4
3.8
52.5
251
3
21.7
Patriots
DeMario Douglas
Outside Top 60
45%
5.3
3.6
2.8
9.0
0.20
13.4
—
—
42.9
4.7
79.1
169
3
11.2
Patriots
Kayshon Boutte
Low WR4
63%
8.5
5.8
3.3
11.0
0.13
24.8
1.09 🟡
Nate Wiggins
16.3
12.6
10.7
37
6
13.8
Patriots
Mack Hollins
Low WR5
52%
5.3
4.6
4.0
13.6
0.20
20.9
1.03 🟡
Chidobe Awuzie
25.3
10.2
23.3
96
5
17.0
Ravens
Zay Flowers
Mid WR2
84%
10.3
10.0
7.1
27.2
0.25
28.6
1.17 🟢
Christian Gonzalez
25.2
9.4
35.3
378
4
33.2
Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
Slot RTE %
Inline RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Man Win Rate %
Zone Win Rate %
Patriots
Hunter Henry
Mid TE2
67%
8.3
10.9
5.1
16.8
0.19
26.4
45.1
34.9
277.0
5.0
19.2
22.3
3.1
Ravens
Mark Andrews
Mid TE2
68%
6.9
3.1
4.3
15.9
0.21
20.0
70.0
12.1
93.0
10.0
20.8
18.2
2.4
Ravens
Isaiah Likely
Outside Top 24
58%
3.6
7.3
2.9
10.8
0.17
16.4
71.1
14.4
106.0
3.0
8.7
14.9
1.6
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Tyler Warren – The 49ers have allowed a touchdown to an opposing TE in 5 of the last 6 games.
Ricky Pearsall – If Pearsall ends up playing in Week 16, he’ll have a good shot to thrive against a Colts defense that runs the 7th most man coverage, and Pearsall ranks inside the top 10 in win rate vs man.
Team Stats | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team
Def. Rank vs QBs
Def. Rank vs RBs
Def. Rank vs WRs
Def. Rank vs TEs
Def. 2-Man %
Def. Zone %
1-High Sfty %
2-High Sfty %
Offensive Plays Ran
Points Per Game
Pass Yards Per Game
Rush Yards Per Game
49ers
🟢 22
🟡 15
🟡 16
🟢 25
14.6
81.4
51.3
48.7
64.7
24.6
246.1
101.4
Colts
🟡 13
🟡 11
🟢 26
🟢 22
31.3
59.7
54.1
45.9
60.1
28.0
229.0
128.5
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
Fantasy Points P/G
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Total Yards/G
TD/G
D/GM
QB Rate vs Man
QB Rate vs Zone
QB Rate vs 2 High
QB Rate vs 1 High
YAC %
ADJ Comp %
1st Read %
ADOT
49ers
Brock Purdy
Mid QB1
93%
21.4
20.2
254.8
2.2
34.5
121.9
78.2
92.2
99.0
44.7
79.3
60.5
7.7
Colts
Philip Rivers
QB3
60%
8.3
8.3
115.0
1.0
28.0
85.4
61.1
73.2
72.9
80.0
69.2
85.2
4.8
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
Touches/G
ATT %
Off. Snaps %
TGT %
i5%
i20%
EXP Run %
MTF/ATT
YACO/ATT
YBCO/ATT
XFP
49ers
Christian McCaffrey
High RB1
97%
21.5
18.1
24.6
64
83
21.3
81.0
77.1
2.3
0.14
1.9
1.7
24.3
49ers
Brian Robinson Jr.
Outside Top 48
45%
3.7
3.2
6.3
20
17
2.1
4.8
10.8
3.7
0.14
2.5
1.8
4.3
Colts
Jonathan Taylor
Low RB1
89%
21.2
11.1
22.1
73
84
9.9
62.1
67.4
5.9
0.15
2.6
2.7
18.2
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Ranking
Confidence
FPPG
FPPG (L4)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
R/G
Advantage Score
Primary Defender
Man Win %
Zone Win %
Slot RTE %
YAC
EZ TGT
1st-Read %
49ers
Jauan Jennings
High WR2
88%
9.5
13.9
6.1
18.2
0.21
27.8
1.21 🟢
Johnathan Edwards
23.1
8.8
29.1
139
7
26.9
49ers
Ricky Pearsall**
High WR4
68%
7.5
5.6
5.8
16.6
0.19
28.9
—
—
31.3
15.8
24.2
83
4
22.8
49ers
Demarcus Robinson
Outside Top 60
50%
2.7
2.2
2.5
7.4
0.10
17.0
0.82 🔴
Kenny Moore
23.3
9.7
38.5
29
2
8.3
Colts
Michael Pittman Jr.
High WR3
79%
10.9
7.4
7.1
21.6
0.23
29.7
1.14 🟡
Deommodore Lenoir
21.8
6.0
28.8
266
4
25.1
Colts
Alec Pierce
High WR5
57%
9.2
7.9
5.8
17.6
0.19
29.6
1.01 🟡
Renardo Green
16.1
13.1
9.6
139
6
21.4
Colts
Josh Downs
Low WR4
60%
6.7
5.1
5.4
16.3
0.24
21.2
1.08 🟡
Upton Stout
17.3
9.4
80.8
103
3
18.4
** Pearall uncertain for Week 16 – but has a good matchup.
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team
Player
Week 16 Rankings
Confidence Meter
FPPG
FPPG (Last 4 Weeks)
TGT/G
TGT %
TPRR
RTE/G
Slot RTE %
Inline RTE %
YAC
EZTGT
1READ %
Man Win Rate %
Zone Win Rate %
49ers
George Kittle
High TE1
95%
11.8
12.8
6.0
19.7
0.24
24.9
28.6
61.6
220.0
3.0
22.4
21.6
4.4
Colts
Tyler Warren
Low TE1
78%
9.6
5.7
6.4
19.3
0.22
28.2
46.8
37.0
440.0
5.0
21.9
2.3
2.7
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Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats Glossary
This glossary explains every advanced stat used in The Full Slate Week 16 Start/Sit Preview. Each abbreviation includes a definition so you can make sharper lineup calls.
Full Glossary of Statistical Terms (Condensed Table)
QB efficiency metric factoring yards, TDs, INTs, and sacks. More accurate than yards per attempt.
Confidence Meter
Level of Confidence
Measures reliability of weekly fantasy projections. Higher = safer start/sit play.
ADOT
Average Depth of Target
Average air yards on a player’s targets. Higher ADOT = big-play role.
FPPG
Fantasy Points Per Game
Average fantasy points scored per week across positions.
YAC %
Yards After Catch Percentage
Share of a receiver’s yards that come after the catch. High YAC % = playmaking ability.
Total Yards/G
Total Yards per Game
Average rushing + passing yards per game. Useful for workload evaluation.
ADJ Comp %
Adjusted Completion Percentage
QB accuracy adjusted for drops, spikes, throwaways, batted passes, and pressure.
SCRM/G
Scrambles Per Game
Average QB scrambles per game. Adds rushing upside in fantasy scoring.
1 Read %
First Read Throw Percentage
% of throws to the first read or designed one-read plays. Reflects QB decision-making.
TD/G
Touchdowns Per Game
Average number of TDs per game (passing, rushing, or receiving).
Press %
Pressure Rate
Percentage of QB dropbacks under pressure. Impacts passing efficiency.
FP/DB
Fantasy Points per Dropback
QB fantasy efficiency metric: points scored per dropback.
CHK %
Checkdown Percentage
How often a QB targets short checkdowns. Higher = conservative play.
CPOE
Completion Percentage Over Expectation
QB completion % compared to expected based on depth/coverage. Shows accuracy skill.
i20 %
Inside 20 Rushing Share
% of team rush attempts inside the 20. Strong red-zone usage indicator.
Touches/G
Touches Per Game
Average carries + receptions per game for RB/WR/TE.
EXP Run %
Explosive Run Percentage
% of runs that go for 15+ yards. Shows big-play ability.
ATT %
Team Carry Share
Percentage of team rushing attempts handled by the RB.
MTF/ATT
Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt
How often a RB forces missed tackles on carries. Shows elusiveness.
TGT %
Target Share
% of team passing attempts going to a player. High TGT % = featured role.
YACO/ATT
Yards After Contact per Attempt
Average rushing yards after first contact. Indicates power running.
i5 %
Inside 5 Rushing Share
% of team rush attempts inside the 5. Heavy TD upside indicator.
YBCO/ATT
Yards Before Contact per Attempt
Average rushing yards before contact. Reflects O-line run blocking.
Off. Snaps/G
Offensive Snaps Per Game
Average number of plays a player is on the field per week.
XFP/G
Expected Fantasy Points per Game
Usage-based stat estimating expected PPR fantasy points per week.
TGT/G
Targets Per Game
Average number of targets a player gets each week.
YAC
Yards After Catch
Total receiving yards gained after the catch. Key WR/TE stat.
EZ TGT
End Zone Targets
Passes thrown to a receiver in the end zone. Strong TD predictor.
RTE/G
Routes Run Per Game
Average number of pass routes a player runs weekly.
SLOT RTE %
Slot Route Rate
% of player’s routes from the slot alignment. Shows usage role.
TPRR
Targets Per Route Run
How often a player is targeted per route. Efficiency in earning targets.
Zone Win Rate
Win Rate vs Zone
Receiver success rate against zone coverage.
Catch %
Catch Rate
% of total targets successfully caught. Basic WR efficiency stat.
Man Win Rate
Win Rate vs Man
Receiver success rate against man-to-man coverage.
Click above to see the Full Glossary of Statistical Terms
FAQ | Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats
Q1: Which quarterback has the best ADOT profile for Week 16 Start/Sit decisions?
A: If you’re looking for downfield passing upside in Week 16 focus on quarterbacks with strong ADOT (Average Depth of Target). ADOT measures how far the ball travels in the air on a QB’s average throw. Steven Pintado lists the ADOT for every quarterback in each matchup in this Week 16 guide, so you can quickly compare deep-shot volume before locking in your starter.
Q2: How can I use YAC% to spot sneaky wide receiver starts for Week 16?
A:YAC% (Yards After Catch Percentage) shows how often a wideout creates yards on their own — crucial for choosing upside plays in Week 16. Receivers with high YAC% can outperform even in tough matchups. This article includes the YAC% for every WR in every Week 16 game, helping you identify which players are most likely to turn short throws into big gains.
Q3: What advanced stats help identify the best Week 16 running back starts?
A: For Week 16 RB Start/Sit calls, prioritize i20% (Inside 20 Rushing Share), YACO/ATT (Yards After Contact), and Explosive Run Rate (EXP Run %). These reveal goal-line usage, power, and big-play potential. Steven includes all of these RB stats directly under each matchup so you can easily see which backs have the best Week 16 fantasy profiles.
Q4: How do defensive coverage tendencies impact Start/Sit decisions for Week 16?
A: Week 16 matchups vary widely by scheme — some defenses run heavy man coverage, others rely on zone. WRs with strong Man Win Rate or Zone Win Rate get big boosts depending on opponent tendencies. Each Week 16 game in this article lists the coverage percentages (2-Man, Zone, 1-High, 2-High) so you can start receivers who fit the matchup and sit those who don’t.
Q5: Which quarterbacks are the safest Week 16 starts based on pressure splits?
A: When choosing Week 16 quarterbacks, look at pressure splits — how QBs perform when blitzed or pressured vs clean pockets. Steven’s Week 16 tables include QB Rate vs Man, Zone, 2-High, 1-High, plus advanced accuracy metrics like ADJ Comp% (Adjusted Completion Percentage). These help you find QBs who won’t collapse under pressure and are safe to start this week.
Q6: How can TPRR help identify wide receivers to start in Week 16?
A:TPRR (Targets Per Route Run) is one of the most predictive WR stats in fantasy. A high TPRR means a player earns targets whenever he’s on the field — ideal for Week 16 flex calls. Every WR section in this guide includes TPRR and TGT%, so you can quickly see which players stay involved even when the offense shifts game scripts.
Member of the Dynasty Nerds Analytics/Writing Team Twitter: @coachstevep - A Jersey Guy working in Finance! Big Dolphins fan and have been playing fantasy football since 2008.
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