Each week I will take a look at how some of the rookies performed and what impact that makes on their dynasty stock. I will look at the snap counts and if the player is being productive with the opportunity. What is the cost to acquire the player? Do I think the player will be productive going forward or just had a good week?
Let’s look at the Week 2 rookies.
Isaih Pacheco, RB Kansas City Chiefs
2/6/0; 5 snaps (9%)
In Week 1 Pacheco looked like an emerging star leading the Chiefs in rushes and yards. The reality, though, was that he was playing mop up duty in a blow out. Pacheco is the RB3 for Kansas City. Head coach Andy Reid will continue to get him opportunities and experience as he looks toward next season. Barring injury to Clyde Edwards-Helaire or Jerick McKinnon, that will be Pacheco’s role in 2022. The going rate to acquire Pacheco is a second round pick. I’m willing to pay a late second, but would aim lower.
Breece Hall, RB New York Jets
7/50/0 ru / 1/1/10/1 rec
Week 1 was a relatively even split between and Hall and Michael Carter. Week 2 provided more of the same. Hall and Carter have looked interchangeable so far in 2022. At some point I think Hall becomes the lead back in New York before the seasons end. Not because Carter isn’t good, but because Hall is better. You are giving up a first+ to get Hall.
Jaylen Warren, RB Pittsburgh Steelers
4/15/0 ru / 1/1/0/0/ rec
Warren is a stash at this point. He is behind a work horse in Najee Harris and will not see much work. Grabbing Warren as a handcuff if you roster Harris is a prudent move as Warren has passed Benny Snell on the depth chart. Warren is going for a late third round pick. One approach I would try is to have him added as a thrown in on a bigger trade.
Tyler Allgeier, RB Atlanta Falcons
10/30/0; 19 (31%)
I was high on Allgeier leading up to the season for one big reason– opportunity. Corderrelle Patterson had a great year in 2021, but after a career year in his 30’s I expected the Falcons to dial it back some on Patterson’s usage. After not being active in Week 1 Allgeier tied with Patterson for the team lead in carries. Allgeier is going for an late second/early third round pick.
Ken Walker, RB Seattle Seahawks
4/10/0 ru / 3/2/5/0 rec; 12 (24%)
Walker is back from sports hernia surgery and made his debut in Week 2. This game was in hand for the 49ers and the Seahawks ran the ball just 14 times in this game. Walker was the consensus RB2 in rookie drafts last spring. How Pete Carroll splits up the running back touches going forward will be something I am keeping an eye on. A mid-first round pick is the value right now.
Ty Davis-Price, RB San Francisco 49ers
14/33/0; 30 (39%)
Elijah Mitchell’s injury moved Price from RB3 to RB2. TDP has been rising since in the dynasty community since being a surprise third round pick in the NFL draft. Wilson led the way with 18 carries and two receptions. San Francisco likes to run the ball and when he’s filling the RB2 role Price could have some flex-appeal.
Dameon Pierce, RB Houston Texans
15/69/0 ru / 1/1/8/0 rec; 39 (62%)
After surprisingly (to the dynasty community) being out touched by Rex Burkhead in Week 1, Dameon Pierce led the way for the Texans in Week 2. Pierce is looking like he could be the back to roster in Houston. Managers are trying to get a first round pick for Pierce. I am not ready to pay that price yet.
Garrett Wilson, WR New York Jets
1/-2/0 ru / 14/8/102/2 rec; 43 (61%)
After 8 targets in Week 1, Garrett Wilson checked in with 14 targets in Week 2. Joe Flacco seems to like the rookie. It will be interesting to see how things shake out when Zach Wilson returns, but for now Garrett Wilson looks like the real deal. You are probably paying a first+ to acquire him.
Drake London, WR Atlanta Falcons
12/8/86/0; 50 (82%)
Atlanta doesn’t have a lot of weapons as they go trough a rebuild. It looks like Drake London is going to be a foundation piece. London tied for the team lead in targets in Week 1. In Week 2 he dominated the targets. The 2022 wide receiver class is paying dividends early.
Jahan Dotson, WR Washington Commanders
5/4/58/1 rec; 73 (99%)
In rookie drafts I liked Jahan Dotson over Christian Watson. After two touchdowns on three catches in Week 1, I expected a a return to earth, And Dotson did return, scoring just one touchdown on four catches. It is looking like Dotson has already carved out a role and has a nose for the end zone. His stock will continue to rise.
Chris Olave, WR New Orleans Saints
13/5/80/0; 45 (74%)
It was a very uneven day for Olave. It looks like he will be a top 40 wide receiver this season. You want to see better efficiency moving forward, but I’m not sure that is possible with Jameis Winston at quarterback. His current value is checking in at a mid-late first round pick.
Isaiah Likely, TE, Baltimore Ravens
5/4/43/0; 21 (36%)
The Ravens employ a lot of two tight end sets. Likely flashed in the preseason when the starters weren’t playing. He has carried that over into the regular season and is making lays when he gets the chance. He is still dirt cheap, going for a third round pick.
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