Monday FANTASY PREVIEW for Week 7: EXPLOIT THE MATCHUP

The Week 7 Fantasy Preview for Monday Night Football was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the MNF fantasy preview!

Here are the Week 7 Start/Sit articles as well QB | RB | WR | TE | IDP

Injury Update | Week 7 | Fantasy Preview

• Will Levis is OUT on Sunday. Mason Rudolph is starting vs. Buffalo.
  • Rudolph is a QB2 & bumps up Calvin Ridley & DeAndre Hopkins to FLEX value.

Baltimore Ravens (4-2) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2)

Game Summary | MNF Fantasy Preview

• Monday Night Football: 8:15 PM
  • Raymond James Stadium
  • Field Type: Grass
• Weather: Clear
• Baltimore Ravens are favored (-3.5) with an Over/Under of 49.5
• Stream on ESPN/ABC

Team	Def. Rank Vs. QBS	Def. Rank Vs. RBS	Def. Rank Vs. WRS	Def. Rank Vs. TES	Def. 2 Man %	Def. Zone %	Offensive Plays Ran	Points Per Game	Pass Yards Per Game	Rush Yards per Game
Ravens	30th	5th	32nd	23rd	28	69.6	65.5	29.5	248.3	205.3
Buccaneers	31st	16th	21st	16th	14.7	82.4	60.2	29.7	230.3	136.8

Quarterbacks | Fantasy Preview

Baltimore Ravens
Player	Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	A/G	SCRM	YDS/G	1 Read %	YAC %	Press %	ADOT
Lamar Jackson	2nd	High QB1	100%	27.2	29.3	10.7	322.0	67	53.8	34.3	8.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player	Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	A/G	SCRM	YDS/G	1 Read %	YAC %	Press %	ADOT
Baker Mayfield	1st	Mid QB1	95%	27.5	31.5	3.5	270.8	71.4	64.4	24	5.6

• The Ravens have allowed 260 or more passing yards in 5 of their 6 games.
  • Baker Mayfield has no fewer than 29 fantasy points (6 PPT) in the last 3 weeks.
• The Buccaneers have allowed 4 quarterbacks over 20 rushing yards and given up 4 rushing touchdowns to a quarterback.
  • Lamar Jackson has 40 rushing yards or more in every game this year. 

Running Backs | Fantasy Preview

Baltimore Ravens
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	ATT/G	ATT %	TGT %	Off. Snaps/G	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
Derrick Henry	2nd	High RB1	98%	22.6	19.8	56.9	4.5	55%	91.7	57.1	8.4	0.13	2.67	3.24
Justice Hill	41st	High RB4	68%	8.4	3.3	9.6	11.9	46%	0	7.1	5	0.2	2.4	2.1
Tama Bay Buccaneers
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	ATT/G	ATT %	TGT %	Off. Snaps/G	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
Rachaad White	36th	Mid RB4	63%	9.7	10.2	32.9	10.1	67%	33.3	27.8	5.9	0.24	2.9	0.76
Bucky Irving	35th	Low RB3	71%	10.0	9.7	37.4	6.0	41%	50	48.1	10.3	0.28	3.29	2.36
Sean Tucker	53rd	Outside the Top 48	45%	6.2	4.0	10.3	2.1	13%	8.3	7.4	0	0	1	2.5

• The Ravens have not allowed a running back over 50 rushing yards this season.
  • Sean Tucker had 111 of 134 rushing yards in the 4th quarter of last week’s game. 
• The Buccaneers have allowed 5 or more receptions to opposing backfields in 5 of their 6 games. 

Pass Catchers | Fantasy Preview

Baltimore Ravens
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
Zay Flowers	27th	High WR2	86%	13.7	78%	8.0	27.1%	30.2	34.8	204	2	32.2	37.7	11.7
Rashod Batemon	58th	Mid WR5	55%	9.4	71%	4.3	14.7%	26.2	6.4	58	2	15.3	40	11.7
Mark Andrews (TE)	TE23	Low TE1	75%	6.3	54%	3.0	10.17%	18.5	67.6	57	1	12.7	33.3	6.1
Isaiah Likley (TE)	TE9	High TE2	65%	9.5	62%	4.2	14.12%	18.2	58.7	120	5	15.3	28.1	4.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
Mike Evans	23rd	High WR2	88%	14.3	78%	6.7	21.16	28.5	29.8	82	8	25.2	39.3	12.9
Chris Godwin	4th	Mid WR1	95%	20.8	87%	8.8	28.04	29.8	63.7	335	2	34.1	27.7	9.4
Jalen McMillan	107th	Outside the Top 60	20%	3.7	64%	1.8	3.70	15.6	25.6	8	0	5.3	19.4	16.7
Cade Otton (TE)	TE20	High TE2	65%	6.5	92%	5.2	16.40	26.0	27.6	93	2	14.1	16.4	6.3

• The Ravens have allowed over 40 receiving yards to opposing tight ends in 4 of 6 games.
  • The Ravens’ secondary has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to opposing receivers in the last 2 weeks. 
• The Buccaneers have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns in the previous 3 weeks.
  • Tampa Bay has allowed 4 tight ends in the last 3 games over 45 receiving yards.

Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) vs Arizona Cardinals (2-4)

Game Summary | MNF Fantasy Preview

• Monday Night Football: 9:00 PM
  • State Farm Stadium
  • Field Type: Turf
• Weather: Indoors
• Los Angeles Chargers are favored (-2) with an Over/Under of 43.5
• Stream on ESPN+

Team	Def. Rank Vs. QBS	Def. Rank Vs. RBS	Def. Rank Vs. WRS	Def. Rank Vs. TES	Def. 2 Man %	Def. Zone %	Offensive Plays Ran	Points Per Game	Pass Yards Per Game	Rush Yards per Game
Chargers	6th	3rd	8th	13th	31.3	62.1	58.4	18.2	153.2	127.8
Cardinals	29th	25th	27th	17th	25	68	57.5	22.2	187	145.2

Quarterbacks | Fantasy Preview

Los Angeles Chargers
Player	Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	A/G	SCRM	YDS/G	1 Read %	YAC %	Press %	ADOT
Justin Herbert	29th	Low QB2	68%	13.4	25.0	3.6	168.2	64.8	56	29.9	8
Arizona Cardinals
Player	Fantasy Rank (6 PPT)	Week 7 Ranking	Confidence Start Rating	FP/G	A/G	SCRM	YDS/G	1 Read %	YAC %	Press %	ADOT
Kyler Murray	13th	Low QB1	87%	19.9	28.3	5.0	241.2	71.8	46	27.9	8.1

• The Chargers have forced an interception in every game.
  • Kyler Murray has struggled with 4 of his 6 games scoring under 17 fantasy points.
• Justin Herbert has not exceeded 16 fantasy points in any game this year. 

Running Backs | Fantasy Preview

Los Angeles Chargers
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	ATT/G	ATT %	TGT %	Off. Snaps/G	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
J.K. Dobbins	13th	Low RB1	90%	15.8	16.2	52.9	10.2	63%	100	52.9	6.2	0.2	2.17	3.23
Kimani Vidal	25th	Low RB4	50%	13.1	4.0	2.6	1.6	24%	0	20	0	0	0	0
Arizona Cardinals
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	ATT/G	ATT %	TGT %	Off. Snaps/G	i5%	i20%	EXP Run %	MTF/ATT	YACO/ATT	YBCO/ATT
James Conner	23rd	Mid RB2	85%	13.2	14.8	54.3	8.8	62%	100	68	5.6	0.31	2.61	1.87
Trey Benson	77th	Outside the Top 48	25%	2.8	6.0	18.3	1.2	17%	0	8.7	0	0.16	1.84	1.4

• The Chargers have allowed only one rushing touchdown on the season.
  • In 4 of 6 games, when James Connor has 10 or more attempts, he produced over 10 fantasy points. 
• The Cardinals have allowed over 120 rushing yards to opposing backfields in each of the last 4 games.
  • J.K. Dobbins has been under 4 YPC in his last 3 games. 

Pass Catchers | Fantasy Preview

Los Angeles Chargers
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
Joshua Palmer	93rd	Outside the top 60	45%	5.0	65%	3.8	11.8	20.3	32.1	33	1	12.9	25	12.8
Ladd McConkey	45th	Mid WR3	75%	10.6	66%	6.4	25.2	22	70	100	3	30.5	35.1	10.3
Quentin Johnston	51st	Mid WR5	55%	9.8	67%	4.4	17.3	19.8	8.1	86	2	24.4	20	8.8
Hayden Hurst (TE)	TE50	Outside the top 24	15%	2.4	50%	2.0	7.87	14.0	48.6	19	2	9.8	16.7	0
Arizona Cardinals
Player	Fantasy Rank (PPR)	Week 7 Ranking	Start %	FP/G	Off. Snaps/G	TGT/G	TGT %	RTE/G	SLOT RTE %	YAC	EZTGT	1READ %	MAN WIN RATE	ZONE WIN RATE
Marvin Harrison	39th	Mid WR2	85%	11.5	72%	6.2	21.8	24.5	24.5	44	6	25.4	38.9	13.5
Michael Wilson	62nd	Mid WR5	55%	9.1	82%	5.0	17.6	27.7	27.1	48	3	20.5	31.6	20
Greg Dortch	87th	Outside the Top 60	25%	5.8	56%	4.5	15.9	21.3	67.2	124	0	14.8	25.8	6.5
Trey McBride (TE)	TE3	High TE1	95%	12.2	87%	7.6	22.35	27.4	54.7	119	1	27.6	39.3	13.7

• Not a single Chargers receiver has over 70 receiving yards this season.
• The Cardinals have allowed opposing WR1s 15 or more fantasy points in the last 4 games.

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Thank you for reading the Fantasy Preview for the Monday Night Football games in Week 7. If you’re looking for Trade Targets, look no further than fellow Nerd Mychal Warno‘s trade advice from this week:

Fantasy TRADE ADVICE: The Best PLAYER TARGETS Week 7

If you’re looking for future rookie content, Senior Nerd Tristan Cook just released his QB, RB, WR, and TE rankings for the 2025 NFL Draft Class:

The 2025 NFL Draft: Best QB and Promising TE Rankings

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