Danny Dimes is returning to the New York Giants on a four-year $160 million contract. $94 million guaranteed at the start, and he will make $82 million over his first two seasons with the team. Breaking it down over four years is about $40 million yearly, close to the rumored $45 million he wanted. This was an awful signing for a player who shot up in the final year of his rookie contract. Does Daniel Jones’ dynasty value become reassuring as he heads back to New York, where he finished QB 9 in 2022?
Jones took significant steps in his development under first-time head coach Brain Daboll as he helped lead the Giants into the playoffs. Jones went from someone who averaged over 20 turnovers a season to just 11 in 2022, as many see him progressing as a player, which it indeed does. He also had career highs in yards, attempts, and completion percentage. Remember, he also ran for 700 yards. He managed to play an entire 16-game season but threw less than a touchdown per game, and his yards per completion was the lowest in his career. Folks will tell you, well, his best receiver was Isiah Hodgins which is true, but it also meant Jones was given fewer chances at pushing the ball downfield to make mistakes. His yards per attempt was 24th in the league, and he threw just 30 balls 20 plus yards in 2022. There is no doubt that he made strides, but I don’t see a making of a good fantasy quarterback consistently.
On Dynasty Nerds ranking site, he is sitting at QB13 currently, which due to his rushing upside, is a decent spot for him. Once you add in this rookie class, he could easily get pushed down to QB15/16 in my books. Jones must keep up with his rushing upside to be a consistent fantasy option for us. I don’t think he will become a dynasty QB1 at this point in his career. He’ll need weapons to help his overall play, and with a weak free agency and draft class, it will be interesting to see what the Giants do. Also, remember that the Giants had the easiest strength of schedule in 2022. He is a solid QB2 to have on a team, and likely, I’d be someone I’d be looking to sell to upgrade at my quarterback spot.
Lucky for Daniel Jones, the Giants placed the franchise tag on Barkley, so he’ll likely be back with the team in 2023. Barkley accounted for 18% of his completions and 10% of Jones’ passing yards. I’d expect Barkley to continue to be an RB1 in fantasy football and still a top 7 dynasty running back. Let’s hope that Barkley doesn’t hold out due to being tagged because that seems possible.
Rest of the Offense
Jones will likely have new weapons in 2023, but Isaiah Hodgins was exciting down the stretch for fantasy. He averaged almost ten fantasy points per game over the final eight games with Jones, so there is a solid connection there. He is likely a WR4 in dynasty, but with sleeper appeal to improve. Daniel Bellinger is the only other name worth mentioning, as he was a great safety blanket for Jones over the middle of the field. He is a top 20 dynasty tight end right now, and I would love to see if he has more to his game, as he missed time due to a nasty injury.
Jones has never averaged over 20 turnovers in a season. His rookie year was his worst with 15. Last year he had 6.
Jones has 76 turnovers in 4 seasons. Had 19 fumbles in his rookie season alone.